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A Fortunate Universe – Life in a finely-tuned cosmos | afortunateuniverse.wordpress.com Reviews
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Life in a finely-tuned cosmos
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October 2016 – A Fortunate Universe
https://afortunateuniverse.wordpress.com/2016/10
Life in a finely-tuned cosmos. What to Read: The Fine-Tuning of the Universe for Intelligent life. I’ve spent a lot of time critiquing articles. On the fine-tuning of the universe for intelligent life. I should really give the other side of the story. Below are some of the good ones, ranging from popular level books to technical articles. I’ve given my recommendations for popular cosmology books here. 1,209 more words. October 27, 2016. Fine-Tuning and the Myth of “One variable at a time”. This is a myth...
A Fortunate Universe: Available for pre-order – A Fortunate Universe
https://afortunateuniverse.wordpress.com/2016/05/13/a-fortunate-universe-available-for-pre-order
Life in a finely-tuned cosmos. A Fortunate Universe: Available for pre-order. 8220;A Fortunate Universe” is now available for pre-order at all good on-line bookstores, especially our wonderful publishers, Cambridge Universe Press. In the coming weeks and months, this blog will be coming alive with discussions on physics, the universe and life. To get a taste, have a read of Luke Barnes’s fine tuning discussions at Letter to Nature. May 13, 2016. November 8, 2016. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Sydney Worksh...
afortunateuniverse – A Fortunate Universe
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Life in a finely-tuned cosmos. Talk in Sydney: The Universe for Beginners. I’ll be speaking in Sydney on Monday 16th January at the Macarthur Astronomy Forum. It’s free and open to everyone. The details:. The Universe for Beginners. The night sky might seem to be a random collection of odd objects: stars, planets, asteroids, brown dwarfs, white dwarfs, supernovae remnants, pulsars, galaxies. Are they just a menagerie, or can we make sense of them? 16th January, 2017. January 10, 2017. By Geraint Lewis an...
Sydney Workshop on Fine-Tuning — Letters to Nature – A Fortunate Universe
https://afortunateuniverse.wordpress.com/2016/10/24/sydney-workshop-on-fine-tuning-letters-to-nature
Life in a finely-tuned cosmos. Sydney Workshop on Fine-Tuning Letters to Nature. On the 24-25 November, 2016, Geraint Lewis and I will be running the 2016 Fine-tuning, the Multiverse and Life Workshop, hosted at the University of Sydney. We’re hoping to get a good crowd of physicists, astronomers and philosophers together to chat about these interesting issues. Register now! Abstract: Issues of fine-tuning and naturalness are central to []. Via Sydney Workshop on Fine-Tuning Letters to Nature. October 27...
Talk in Sydney: The Universe for Beginners – A Fortunate Universe
https://afortunateuniverse.wordpress.com/2017/01/10/talk-in-sydney-the-universe-for-beginners
Life in a finely-tuned cosmos. Talk in Sydney: The Universe for Beginners. I’ll be speaking in Sydney on Monday 16th January at the Macarthur Astronomy Forum. It’s free and open to everyone. The details:. The Universe for Beginners. The night sky might seem to be a random collection of odd objects: stars, planets, asteroids, brown dwarfs, white dwarfs, supernovae remnants, pulsars, galaxies. Are they just a menagerie, or can we make sense of them? 16th January, 2017. January 10, 2017. View afortunateuniv...
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plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
What is a statistical model? | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/07/10/what-is-a-statistical-model
Two analogies on ‘Waking Up’. The Ubiquity of Non-Informative Priors →. What is a statistical model? July 10, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. What is a statistical model? My own views are different. Firstly, I don’t think statistical models are representations of the data at all (barring one exception, which I will discuss later). Instead, they are representations of the. Whether or not we should trust the results of an inference, which is what we usually want to know. About the values of. Is on the x-axis and.
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Testing model assumptions | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2014/09/09/testing-model-assumptions
Hard Integrals →. September 9, 2014. Brendon J. Brewer. We’re usually taught that it’s important to test model assumptions. For example, if your inference assumes the probability distribution for the data is a normal/gaussian distribution, then you should look at a histogram of the data to see if it actually looks like a gaussian. If it doesn’t, then you have a large risk of getting wrong or misleading answers. Or so we’re told. Consider the following simple example. There is a parameter. An important qu...
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Inference bait and switch | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/06/08/inference-bait-and-switch
El cebo y el anzuelo en la inferencia →. Inference bait and switch. June 8, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. Despite the friendly atmosphere, there is still a lot to be debated, and when the topics come up, all sorts of interesting things can happen, such as the following (poorly reconstructed from memory) conversation I had a couple of weeks ago. I’ve done my best not to misrepresent my colleague’s views. ME: I agree. Additional complaints about people still using p-values in the first place. Which is something...
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El cebo y el anzuelo en la inferencia | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/06/15/el-cebo-y-el-anzuelo-en-la-inferencia
Inference bait and switch. Two analogies on ‘Waking Up’ →. El cebo y el anzuelo en la inferencia. June 15, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. Esta es una traducción al español de la entrada “Inference bait and switch” que publiqué recientemente. La traducí para divertirme y practicar mi segundo idioma. Es mi primer intento de traducir algo tan complejo como esto, entonces lo siento por algún error. Muchas gracias a Patricio Maturana Russel. YO: En tu opinión, cómo se deberían usar los valores p? COLEGA: Los cientí...
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The nature of probability | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/03/08/the-nature-of-probability
Publication Bias and P-Values. How many “distributions of the data” are there? The nature of probability. March 8, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. Recently I was involved in a Twitter conversation about quantum mechanics, during which I claimed that the nature of probability has been completely solved. I was going to write a blog post about quantum theory, but my thoughts on it aren’t mature enough so I decided to focus on the completely solved nature of probability. The first main application of probability to...
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Brendon J. Brewer | Plausibility Theory
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Author Archives: Brendon J. Brewer. About Brendon J. Brewer. I am a senior lecturer in the Department of Statistics at The University of Auckland. Any opinions expressed here are mine and are not endorsed by my employer. A frequentist does his maths homework. September 29, 2016. Gains from trade versus(? September 10, 2016. Markets and Auckland Housing. August 28, 2016. Like many similar cities around the world, Auckland housing has become much more expensive very rapidly over the last few years. The...
plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
The Ubiquity of Non-Informative Priors | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/08/09/the-ubiquity-of-non-informative-priors
What is a statistical model? Sabbatical update →. The Ubiquity of Non-Informative Priors. August 9, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. Over on the Bayesian Philosophy. Blog, there is an interesting short post. I have previously criticised notions of “complete ignorance”. I) The phrase “at random”. For example, there are 10 balls in an urn and one is selected at random. This is a disguise for the principle of indifference. V) Assumptions of independence, such as the “iid” conditional priors you see ever...None of t...
plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
The prior isn’t the only prior | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2013/12/05/the-prior-isnt-the-only-prior
Entropic priors are okay (but you probably shouldn’t use them) →. The prior isn’t the only prior. December 5, 2013. Brendon J. Brewer. One of my favorite pastimes is railing against certain word choices when they may imply things that aren’t true. An example of this is the usage of the word “prior” in Bayesian inference. If a quantity. Is unknown, then the prior. Is not are listed below:. The process that generated the data. The pdf that your data kinda looks like when you plot a histogram. These are fix...
plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
Sabbatical | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/05/29/sabbatical
How many “distributions of the data” are there? Inference bait and switch →. May 29, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. August 1 – August 28: Travelling through Europe on vacation (by train! No work stops. Cities: Copenhagen, Wien, Lyon, Barcelona, San Sebastian, London. August 28 – September 26th: Cambridge, UK. Here I’ll be working with a materials science group on statistical mechanics applications of Nested Sampling, as well as spending time in the IoA with the gravitational lensers. About Brendon J. Brewer.
plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com
How many “distributions of the data” are there? | Plausibility Theory
https://plausibilitytheory.wordpress.com/2015/05/19/how-many-distributions-of-the-data-are-there
The nature of probability. How many “distributions of the data” are there? May 19, 2015. Brendon J. Brewer. Is parameters. “Sampling distribution” implies the data is literally sampled from some population, a popular metaphor that is very strained in most problems. On the other hand, “likelihood” is often reserved for the function of. You get when you plug in the observed value of. To demonstrate sloppy language, imagine I wanted to call. The probability distributions we need are. Usually known as the sa...
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Tallsharon's Extraordinary Adventures
My travels, my creative non-fiction and fiction story starts, my thoughts, stuff i like, things that catch my interest, random thoughts. Sunday, September 29, 2013. What I didn't notice. I'm back. I think. I'm starting to notice things around me again. Perhaps it was the vacation, boredom, uncertainty, whatever. I've been reading. All sorts of interesting things. Right now it's Dreaming in Hindi. Besides just being an interesting glimpse into someone elses mind, it has some really thought pro...All my la...
Blog de AFortunateLife - Although more than friends ∆ - Skyrock.com
Mot de passe :. J'ai oublié mon mot de passe. Although more than friends ∆. Par propriété exclusive de. L'auteur, la copie et les utilisations partielles ou totales de son travail sont interdites; conformément aux articles L.111-1 et L.123-1 du code de la propriété intellectuelle. Tous Droits Réservés. 20 Juin 2014 ♥. Mise à jour :. Abonne-toi à mon blog! 1 Fiction ♥. CLOTHES OF BLOG . Pub Autoriser seulement sur cette article. Ou poster avec :. Posté le mardi 15 juillet 2014 11:00. Tu fais du foot?
A fortunate man
Thoughts of a GP (family doctor) working for the National Health Service in the UK. Thursday, 11 April 2013. Links to this post. Thursday, 28 March 2013. We are few in number at this evening's Maundy Thursday service, held in the chancel which gives an air of intimacy in an otherwise cold church. The foot washing emphasizes Jesus' command to love and serve one another. Links to this post. Tuesday, 26 March 2013. Links to this post. Monday, 25 March 2013. For some reason the last patient of my morning sur...
A Fortunate Soul
A beader invites you to share her pitfalls and pride along the path to becoming a bead artist. Saturday, March 30, 2013. Bead Soup Reveal Day! It's Saturday, March 31st and the Big Reveal Day. Http:/ www.maryellenbeads.com/. Mary Ellen gave me a lovely clasp for my butterfly necklace but when the necklace was done, it just wasn't the right piece for such a chunky necklace. I've always coveted something from Green Girl Studios so I was so excited to get the clasp! Http:/ www.prettythingsblog.com/. Friday,...
afortunatestrokeofserendipity.blogspot.com
Letters to the Little Ones
Things Aren’t Always As They Seem. Friday, November 8, 2013. Let's be real here. The last few months have been killer. Selling a house, moving in with family, who have been awesome, and losing a job. I am the first to admit it could always be worse, I admit that mostly because I think if I say it, then it won't get worse, like the universe can hear me and no longer feels the need to prove it. When I feel discouraged like I can't fight on, I think of you. I think what would you do? So thank you my friend,...
afortunateuniverse.wordpress.com
A Fortunate Universe – Life in a finely-tuned cosmos
Life in a finely-tuned cosmos. Talk in Sydney: The Universe for Beginners. I’ll be speaking in Sydney on Monday 16th January at the Macarthur Astronomy Forum. It’s free and open to everyone. The details:. The Universe for Beginners. The night sky might seem to be a random collection of odd objects: stars, planets, asteroids, brown dwarfs, white dwarfs, supernovae remnants, pulsars, galaxies. Are they just a menagerie, or can we make sense of them? 16th January, 2017. January 10, 2017. By Geraint Lewis an...
afortunats
Cómo suena este Blog. Miércoles, 14 de marzo de 2012. Publicado por 30 aniversario. Enviar por correo electrónico. Martes, 13 de marzo de 2012. Publicado por 30 aniversario. Enviar por correo electrónico. Viernes, 20 de enero de 2012. Veles e vents han mos desigs complir. Faent camins dubtosos per la mar. Mestre i Ponent contra d'ells veig armar;. Xaloc, Llevant, los deuen subvenir. Ab llurs amics, lo Grec e lo Migjorn,. Fent humils precs al vent Tramuntanal. Que en son bufar los sia parcial. E, io força...
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