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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NO2AV/YouGov poll has YES 4 percent ahead
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2011/03/07/38622
The web's premier resource for political betting. Laquo; Was the LD collapse all predicted in pre-election polls? Does the calendar give YES a slight edge? NO2AV/YouGov poll has YES 4 percent ahead. March 7th, 2011. Latest AV referendum polls. Repercentaged by PB. Actual wording on the ballot, online, polling restricted to members of its polling panel. No turnout weighting. Politically weighted via past vote and newspaper type. Now YouGov are using the wording on the ballot. Note that this latest YouGov ...
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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » GE 2015 – the view of the spread betting trader
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/05/07/ge-2015-the-view-of-the-spread-betting-trader
The web's premier resource for political betting. Laquo; Another 3 polls have it neck and neck on MegaPollingWednesday. LAB close the gap to 1 with Ipsos and it’s level-pegging with Ashcroft. GE 2015 – the view of the spread betting trader. May 7th, 2015. 4Â hours before voting starts – the spread betting markets from @SportingIndex. Mdash; Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 7, 2015. By Aidan Nutbrown, senior trader at Sporting Index with overall responsibility for the firmâ s Election markets. The key dif...
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The web's premier resource for political betting. Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”. August 23rd, 2016. The challenger needs to change strategy. This morning there’s been another effort. By the Smith campaign to claim that “private polling” suggests that the battle is close and that he could win. That might help with waverers who are worried by Smith’s lack of experience. An outcome where Corbyn finishes in the lo...
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politicalbetting.com » WHITE HOUSE RACE
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/category/democratic-nomination
The web's premier resource for political betting. Archive for the 'WHITE HOUSE RACE' Category. Laquo; Previous Entries. Next Page ». Trump: grinding his way to victory? Saturday, September 17th, 2016. Suddenly his path to the White House is looking a lot clearer. More seriously, her polling has taken a turn for the worse. FiveThirtyEight. Has a very good article highlighting how Trump is doing disproportionately well in the swing states, compounding his gains in the overall national shares. Not that he i...
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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the eve of the LAB ballots going out – a party at war
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/08/12/on-the-eve-of-the-lab-ballots-going-out-a-party-at-war
The web's premier resource for political betting. Laquo; The lucid Harvard professor who could make Hillary’s White House bid a bit less straightforward. Don Brind: Why having an â œelectableâ leader matters so much. On the eve of the LAB ballots going out – a party at war. August 12th, 2015. The front page of todays I sums up Labours crisis pic.twitter.com/A8HSVmtAoK. Mdash; Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 12, 2015. Mdash; Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 12, 2015. 2CONTACT PB* * *.
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politicalbetting.com » 2015 » July
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/07
The web's premier resource for political betting. Archive for July, 2015. Laquo; Previous Entries. Next Page ». David Herdson asks: Where are UKIPâ s 34 peers? Friday, July 31st, 2015. An unreformed Lords shouldnâ t be a closed shop for the old parties. Con 202 (actual 226). Lab 181 (actual 212). LD 101 (actual 101). UKIP 34 (actual 3). SNP 15 (actual 0 on principle). DUP 4 (actual 4). Plaid 3 (actual 2). Sinn Fein 3 (actual 0 on principle). SDLP 2 (actual 0). UUP 2 (actual 2). Various things stand out o...
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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn will win but he is popular with the wrong people at the wrong time for the wrong reasons
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/08/15/corbyn-will-win-but-he-is-popular-with-the-wrong-people-at-the-wrong-time-for-the-wrong-reasons
The web's premier resource for political betting. Laquo; Keiran Pedley looks at whether Cameron could fight the 2020 general election. If there is a Corbyn victory then it might make referendum NO bets look quite tempting. Corbyn will win but he is popular with the wrong people at the wrong time for the wrong reasons. August 15th, 2015. Surfing a wave of superficial attractiveness can only get so far. The problem for Corbyn is that he has virtually no experience at them and hasnâ t been inclined to gain ...
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politicalbetting.com » David Cameron
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/category/david-cameron
The web's premier resource for political betting. Archive for the 'David Cameron' Category. Laquo; Previous Entries. Next Page ». The boundary review is so favourable to CON because Cam/Osbo defied the Electoral Commission to fix it that way. Wednesday, September 14th, 2016. The former Top Tory Two have left TMay a great legacy. There’ve been two major changes to the electoral system that the Tories have brought which have combined together to make the boundary review so favourable to them. This went thr...
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politicalbetting.com » Pollsters/polling
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/category/pollsterspolling
The web's premier resource for political betting. Archive for the 'Pollsters/polling' Category. Laquo; Previous Entries. Next Page ». With polls tightening & the betting moves to Trump tonight’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show/Podcast returns to WH2016. Thursday, September 15th, 2016. Joining Keiran (on the programme is the Politco polling analyst, Steven Shepard (@POLITICO Steve) and Federica Cocco (@federicacocco) statistical journalist at the Financial Times in the UK. The audio podcast is available here.
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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly Gove is being talked of as leader…
http://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2012/06/22/suddenly-gove-is-being-talked-of-as-leader
The web's premier resource for political betting. Laquo; Henry G Manson looks at the PM’s tax avoidance responses? Welcome to Friday’s PB NightHawks cafe. Suddenly Gove is being talked of as leader…. June 22nd, 2012. Should you be taking the Ladbrokes 16/1? Anybody who watched BB1’s “The Week” last night will have heard Michael Portillo. Talk in strong terms about Michael Gove’s chances of becoming next Tory leader. Portillo described the education secretary as a “. Serious candidate for the future.