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义不帝秦 Braveheart: April 2007
http://press4freedom.blogspot.com/2007_04_01_archive.html
彼即肆然而为帝于天下,则连有蹈东海而死耳,不愿为之民也 - 鲁仲连 "There can be no tyrants where there are no slaves." Jose Rizal. Sunday, April 15, 2007. 谢谢潘永杰先生对拙作 以民调定江山 东方日报 名家 版,. 26-28 日 的回应 民调并非政党选举提名的好办法 东方日报 文荟 版,. 以民调决定候选人,实际上是把遴选权力从党领袖交到一群随机抽样产生的选民手中,至于这些 统计学 意义上的选民代表到底是用什么标准来遴选,并不需要阐明 虽然可以通过研究设计来探讨。 Open primary) 的根本差异,其实只在于前者的遴选者是被动随机地产生的少数人,可能包括最后不投票者 而后者的遴选者则是主动参与投票者,可能包含全部选民,但也必然排除不投票者。 Population) 的民调在范围意义上相应于允许任何选民 包括非党员 投选个别政党候选人的 开放式初选。 而台湾民进党 排蓝式 民调,便相应于只允许党员投票的 封闭式初选. 这种 木马论 正是台湾民进党鹰派鼓吹 排蓝民调 的理据。 Alert] 号&#...
义不帝秦 Braveheart: March 2007
http://press4freedom.blogspot.com/2007_03_01_archive.html
彼即肆然而为帝于天下,则连有蹈东海而死耳,不愿为之民也 - 鲁仲连 "There can be no tyrants where there are no slaves." Jose Rizal. Tuesday, March 27, 2007. 谢伟伦先生在 市郊 第四期发表 理性的囚徒,抑或现代的斑衣吹笛者 - 民调,民意与民主政治 一文,回应拙作 迟到半世纪的民调 本版,2007.02.26-28 ,对民调的功能与影响提出深入探讨,并提供台湾经验借景,是本地讨论此事不可多得的好文章。 民调的可信度有两个障碍 一是动机 诚信 ,二是能力 技术。 有预测性的民调 譬如 投票意向 ,准确与否最终更有外在指标。 民意本来就是可变的,多数人的民意不代表真理,民意甚至不是理性的 参 Arrow的不可能定律 等 ,但这些本质都不足以不应该让我们放弃选举制度。 民调缺乏选举的 委托 (mandate) 意涵,对政治人物只有示警的效果 就像反战或反涨价示威一样 ,自然不会比选举更危险。 Posted by Chin Huat at 8:58 AM. 最大族群比例 马来区 混合区 华人区. 70% 60 91 14.
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22909;讀部落. Because I care 因为我在乎. 21488;北外勞詩文. 22283;際邊緣. Centre of Independent Journalism. Centre of Orang Asli Concern. Chinese muslim in msia. Collective Of Sex Workers And Supporters, COSWAS. Environmental Dev in Malaysia. Feminist issues in prostitution. Sarawak Indigenous Community News. 反垄断周刊 Anti Media Monopoly Zhoukan. Sign The Refugee Convention and Stop The Arrests, Detention and Deportation of Refugees. SOS to save Sungai Pulai estuary. Support the Students Facing Charge. You are commenting us...
义不帝秦 Braveheart: November 2006
http://press4freedom.blogspot.com/2006_11_01_archive.html
彼即肆然而为帝于天下,则连有蹈东海而死耳,不愿为之民也 - 鲁仲连 "There can be no tyrants where there are no slaves." Jose Rizal. Saturday, November 25, 2006. Alert] Press Freedom, may I count you in? There are two dates for press freedom. Would you be free? The first one is "Date of Yellow Ribbon, Tea with MCA Leaders". Date: 1 December 2006 (Friday). Time: 7.00 pm onwards. Venue: MCA headquater, Jalan Ampang, Kuala Lumpur. Agenda: (a) Media Laws Reform. B) No to Partisan Control of Media. Date: 27 November to 26 December 2006. Nanya...
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