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In Search of Normativity

In Search of Normativity. Tuesday, April 6, 2010. Frequentist Magic vs. Bayesian Magic. This is a belated reply to cousin it's 2009 post Bayesian Flame. Which claimed that frequentists can give calibrated estimates for unknown parameters without using priors:. And here's an ultra-short example of what frequentists can do: estimate 100 independent unknown parameters from 100 different sample data sets and have 90 of the estimates turn out to be. What is going on here? Well, we know that it must involve a ...

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In Search of Normativity | blog.weidai.com Reviews

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In Search of Normativity. Tuesday, April 6, 2010. Frequentist Magic vs. Bayesian Magic. This is a belated reply to cousin it's 2009 post Bayesian Flame. Which claimed that frequentists can give calibrated estimates for unknown parameters without using priors:. And here's an ultra-short example of what frequentists can do: estimate 100 independent unknown parameters from 100 different sample data sets and have 90 of the estimates turn out to be. What is going on here? Well, we know that it must involve a ...

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2 magic

3 actually

4 heads

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7 does

8 posted by

9 wei dai

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In Search of Normativity | blog.weidai.com Reviews

https://blog.weidai.com

In Search of Normativity. Tuesday, April 6, 2010. Frequentist Magic vs. Bayesian Magic. This is a belated reply to cousin it's 2009 post Bayesian Flame. Which claimed that frequentists can give calibrated estimates for unknown parameters without using priors:. And here's an ultra-short example of what frequentists can do: estimate 100 independent unknown parameters from 100 different sample data sets and have 90 of the estimates turn out to be. What is going on here? Well, we know that it must involve a ...

INTERNAL PAGES

blog.weidai.com

1

Anthropic Thoughts: microeconomic crisis

http://blog.weidai.com/2009/02/microeconomic-crisis.html

Monday, February 23, 2009. There seem to be a lot of interesting microeconomics issues in the current economic crisis. But there is little discussion of the micro issues, in comparison with the macro ones. For example:. Why did the financial industry screw up so badly? But why weren't our institutions more resilient on a micro level? Is there any way to improve them to be more resilient in the future? Why weren't all those flaws visible? Why or why not? Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom).

2

Anthropic Thoughts: expected utility maximization needed to avoid pricing vulnerabilities?

http://blog.weidai.com/2008/12/expected-utility-maximization-needed-to.html

Saturday, December 13, 2008. Expected utility maximization needed to avoid pricing vulnerabilities? This is a comment on Stephen Omohundro's “The Nature of Self-Improving Artificial Intelligence”. Which I found by way of http:/ www.overcomingbias.com/2008/12/two-visions-of/comments/page/2/#comment-142322542. I tried posting this as a comment on Steve's log, but it seems stuck in moderation. To give a real-world example, suppose I my SO asks me “Do you want chicken or pork for dinner? I suppose the first ...

3

Anthropic Thoughts: Complexity of Value != Complexity of Outcome

http://blog.weidai.com/2010/01/complexity-of-value-complexity-of.html

Thursday, January 28, 2010. Complexity of value is the thesis that our preferences, the things we care about, don't. Compress down to one simple rule, or a few simple rules. To review why it's important (by quoting from the wiki. Underestimating the complexity of value leads to underestimating the difficulty of Friendly AI. And there are notable cognitive biases and fallacies which lead people to underestimate this complexity. The case that only a few of our values scale, then we can potentially obtain a...

4

Anthropic Thoughts: April 2010

http://blog.weidai.com/2010_04_01_archive.html

Tuesday, April 6, 2010. Frequentist Magic vs. Bayesian Magic. This is a belated reply to cousin it's 2009 post Bayesian Flame. Which claimed that frequentists can give calibrated estimates for unknown parameters without using priors:. And here's an ultra-short example of what frequentists can do: estimate 100 independent unknown parameters from 100 different sample data sets and have 90 of the estimates turn out to be. What is going on here? Can Bayesians get their priors from the same source? Well, we k...

5

Anthropic Thoughts: January 2010

http://blog.weidai.com/2010_01_01_archive.html

Thursday, January 28, 2010. Complexity of value is the thesis that our preferences, the things we care about, don't. Compress down to one simple rule, or a few simple rules. To review why it's important (by quoting from the wiki. Underestimating the complexity of value leads to underestimating the difficulty of Friendly AI. And there are notable cognitive biases and fallacies which lead people to underestimate this complexity. The case that only a few of our values scale, then we can potentially obtain a...

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In Search of Normativity

In Search of Normativity. Tuesday, April 6, 2010. Frequentist Magic vs. Bayesian Magic. This is a belated reply to cousin it's 2009 post Bayesian Flame. Which claimed that frequentists can give calibrated estimates for unknown parameters without using priors:. And here's an ultra-short example of what frequentists can do: estimate 100 independent unknown parameters from 100 different sample data sets and have 90 of the estimates turn out to be. What is going on here? Well, we know that it must involve a ...

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