theclimatefix.wordpress.com
Typhoons in the Philippines | The Climate Fix
https://theclimatefix.wordpress.com/2014/12/09/typhoons-in-the-philippines
Various musings on climate science and policy by Roger Pielke Jr. Typhoons in the Philippines. December 9, 2014. December 9, 2014. Writing in the New York Times today. Coral Davenport makes a strong claim about typhoons in the Philippines:. A series of scientific reports have linked the burning of fossil fuels with rising sea levels and more powerful typhoons, like those that have battered the island nation. Which concluded “no trend is found.”. That the science of tropical cyclones (and disasters more g...
climateaudit.org
The implications for climate sensitivity of Bjorn Stevens’ new aerosol forcing paper « Climate Audit
https://climateaudit.org/2015/03/19/the-implications-for-climate-sensitivity-of-bjorn-stevens-new-aerosol-forcing-paper
Blog Rules and Road Map. Weaver: “I do not lobby for more climate funding”. How Weaver Ignored Corcoran’s Segue ». The implications for climate sensitivity of Bjorn Stevens’ new aerosol forcing paper. A guest post by Nicholas Lewis. In a paper published last year (Lewis and Curry 2014), discussed here. For 2011 vs 1750), with a 5 95% range of 1.9 to 0.1 W/m. In this context, what is IMO a compelling new paper. And a time series for it derived from an analytical fit used in the analysis. An upper boun...
notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com
Met Office React To Booker | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2015/08/08/met-office-react-to-booker
NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT. We do not believe any group of men adequate enough or wise enough to operate without scrutiny or without criticism. We know that the only way to avoid error is to detect it, that the only way to detect it is to be free to inquire. We know that in secrecy error undetected will flourish and subvert . – J Robert Oppenheimer. Met Office React To Booker. August 8, 2015. Http:/ blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2015/08/07/met-office-in-the-media-7-august-2015/. That 2014 would be 0.3 C 0...
climateaudit.org
Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 3 « Climate Audit
https://climateaudit.org/2015/04/20/pitfalls-in-climate-sensitivity-estimation-part-3
Blog Rules and Road Map. Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 2. Scientific American article: “How to Misinterpret Climate Change Research” ». Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 3. A guest post by Nicholas Lewis. I introduced the talk I gave at Ringberg 2015. Explained why it focussed on estimation based on warming over the instrumental period, and covered problems relating to aerosol forcing and bias caused by the influence of the AMO. In Part 2. Most recent studies that give r...
hiizuru.wordpress.com
I’m Confused About Coral, or Maybe John Cook Is | Izuru
https://hiizuru.wordpress.com/2014/11/18/im-confused-about-coral-or-maybe-john-cook-is
An Old Site, See Newest Post for a Link to the New One. I’m Confused About Coral, or Maybe John Cook Is. Mentioned I had decided to read a book John Cook was a co-author of, Climate Change Denial: Heads in the Sand. I quickly found a significant amount of the book had been copied and used in another book by Cook’s co-author (Haydn Washington’s Human Dependence on Nature: How to Help Solve the Environmental Crisis. This statement is misleading because not all plants prefer “carbon-12 over carbon-13&...
hiizuru.wordpress.com
A Spokeperson for the President is Unaffiliated with the President…? | Izuru
https://hiizuru.wordpress.com/2014/11/15/a-spokeperson-for-the-president-is-unaffiliated-with-the-president
An Old Site, See Newest Post for a Link to the New One. A Spokeperson for the President is Unaffiliated with the President…? I recently came across a video in which President Barack Obama takes credit for a tweet about the infamous Skeptical Science consensus paper. Ninety-seven percent of scientists agree: #climate. Change is real, man-made and dangerous. Read more: http:/ t.co/4lEEBYtVqf. Mdash; Barack Obama (@BarackObama) May 16, 2013. In this recent speech:. 8220;Is OFA affiliated in any way with the...
climateaudit.org
Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 2 « Climate Audit
https://climateaudit.org/2015/04/13/pitfalls-in-climate-sensitivity-estimation-part-2
Blog Rules and Road Map. Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 1. Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 3 ». Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 2. A guest post by Nicholas Lewis. I introduced the talk I gave at Ringberg 2015. When the data is weak (is limited and uncertainty is high) the prior can have a major influence on the posterior PDF. Unlike in many areas of physics, that is the situation in climate science, certainly so far as ECS and TCR estimation is conc...
climateaudit.org
Rahmstorf’s Third Trick « Climate Audit
https://climateaudit.org/2015/04/01/rahmstorfs-third-trick
Blog Rules and Road Map. Rahmstorf’s Second Trick. Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 1 ». Rahmstorf’s Third Trick. Figure 1. Left – Rahmstorf et al Figure 5. Right – Sherwood et al 2011 Figure 3 excerpt. Rahmstorf’s Figure 5 shows a positive correlation between temperature and coral d15N (both decline together), while Sherwood et al reported a negative correlation (r=-0.27) between temperature and coral d15N. How’d they do that? Sherwood et al 20. On the right, I’ve digitized the dat...
climateaudit.org
Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 1 « Climate Audit
https://climateaudit.org/2015/04/09/pitfalls-in-climate-sensitivity-estimation-part-1
Blog Rules and Road Map. Rahmstorf’s Third Trick. Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 2 ». Pitfalls in climate sensitivity estimation: Part 1. A guest post by Nicholas Lewis. As many readers will be aware, I attended the WCRP Grand Challenge Workshop: Earth’s Climate Sensitivities at Schloss Ringberg in late March. Ringberg 2015. In a nutshell, I will argue that:. Climate sensitivity is most reliably estimated from observed warming over the last 150 years. Estimates from observational studie...