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activeingredient.ca

Active Ingredient Creative Studio

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Here are some of the projects we’re really proud of. Honda Celebration Of Light. 8 Reasons Not To Smoke. Fall In Love With Local. Here are some of our awesome clients. Interested in working together? Let us know a little bit about you and what you’re about. No need to go too deep into description, but give us an idea about what you’re looking for and we’ll take it from there.

businessforecastblog.com

Reading the Tea Leaves - Forecasts of Stock High and Low Prices | Business Forecasting

http://businessforecastblog.com/reading-the-tea-leaves-forecasts-of-stock-high-and-low-prices

Reading the Tea Leaves – Forecasts of Stock High and Low Prices. May 13, 2015. The residuals of predictive models are central to their statistical evaluation with implications for confidence intervals of forecasts. Of course, another name for the residuals of a predictive model is their errors. Today, I want to present some information on the errors for the forecast models that underpin the Monday morning forecasts in this blog. The results are both reassuring and challenging. Of the percent error or hor...

businessforecastblog.com

Stock Market Forecasts | Business Forecasting

http://businessforecastblog.com/tag/stock-market-forecasts

Tag Archives: stock market forecasts. Daily High and Low Stock Prices – Falling Knives. July 1, 2016. The mathematics of random walks form the logical underpinning for the dynamics of prices in stock, currency, futures, and commodity markets. Once you accept this, what is really interesting is to consider departures from random walk movements of prices. Such distortions can signal underlying biases brought to the table by investors and others with influence in these markets. However, the variance or stan...

businessforecastblog.com

Five Day Forecasts of High and Low for QQQ, SPY, GE, and MSFT – Week of May 11-15 | Business Forecasting

http://businessforecastblog.com/five-day-forecasts-of-high-and-low-for-qqq-spy-ge-and-msft-week-of-may-11-15

Five Day Forecasts of High and Low for QQQ, SPY, GE, and MSFT Week of May 11-15. May 11, 2015. Here are high and. Low forecasts for two heavily traded exchange traded funds (ETF’s) and two popular stocks. Like the ones in preceding weeks, these are for the next five trading days. In this case Monday through Friday May 11-15. The up and down arrows indicate the direction of change from last week for the high prices only, since the predictions of lows are a new feature this week. What I especially like in ...

businessforecastblog.com

Global Population in 2100 | Business Forecasting

http://businessforecastblog.com/global-population-in-2100

Global Population in 2100. May 20, 2015. Probabilistic and Bayesian methods suggest global population will reach about 11 billion by 2100. Stabilization, zero population growth, or population declines are not likely to occur in this century. These projections come from an article in Foresight. Which styles itself the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. Traditionally, the UN produced deterministic population projections and point forecasts, supplemented with ranges based on scenarios. The articl...

businessforecastblog.com

random walk | Business Forecasting

http://businessforecastblog.com/category/random-walk

Category Archives: random walk. Stock Market Price Predictability, Random Walks, and Market Efficiency. May 27, 2015. Can stock market prices be predicted? Can they be predicted with enough strength to make profits? The current wisdom may be that market predictability is like craps. That is, you might win (correctly predict) for a while, maybe walking away with nice winnings, if you are lucky. But over the long haul, the casino is the winner. A foil to Burton Malkiel’s A Random Walk Down Wall Street.

businessforecastblog.com

population forecasts | Business Forecasting

http://businessforecastblog.com/category/population-forecasts

Category Archives: population forecasts. Global Population in 2100. May 20, 2015. Probabilistic and Bayesian methods suggest global population will reach about 11 billion by 2100. Stabilization, zero population growth, or population declines are not likely to occur in this century. These projections come from an article in Foresight. Which styles itself the International Journal of Applied Forecasting. A key aspect the methodology is predicting fertility rates by county. The article explains, more clearl...

businessforecastblog.com

Tools, Apps, Texts, Free Stuff | Business Forecasting

http://businessforecastblog.com/tools-apps-texts-free-stuff

Forecasting, Statistics, and Data Mining Texts. Elements of Statistical Learning, Data Mining and Prediction. Edition, 10th printing, by Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani, and Jerome Friedman, downloadable PDF file. An Introduction to Statistical Learning with Applications in R. Forecasting: principles and practice. Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos, an online book. You need to look this over, make sure you can master the basics presented here. Constantly revised and updated by the authors. From Int...