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July 31, 2015. Why do they makes cars (by Jacob Mandel — guest blogger). Pollution is bad because it makes people die sometimes, and bikes and scooters don’t make pollution so why do people make cars? It is because if you want to go a long way you have to take a car.Well, bikes can often keep up with cars and scooters can too, so why do cars go faster? Because if you want to go so far you can go on a bus or a train, which at least takes a lot people at the same time so it reduces pollution. Thank you for...

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The Couch Psychologist | couchpsychologist.wordpress.com Reviews

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July 31, 2015. Why do they makes cars (by Jacob Mandel — guest blogger). Pollution is bad because it makes people die sometimes, and bikes and scooters don’t make pollution so why do people make cars? It is because if you want to go a long way you have to take a car.Well, bikes can often keep up with cars and scooters can too, so why do cars go faster? Because if you want to go so far you can go on a bus or a train, which at least takes a lot people at the same time so it reduces pollution. Thank you for...

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The Couch Psychologist | couchpsychologist.wordpress.com Reviews

https://couchpsychologist.wordpress.com

July 31, 2015. Why do they makes cars (by Jacob Mandel — guest blogger). Pollution is bad because it makes people die sometimes, and bikes and scooters don’t make pollution so why do people make cars? It is because if you want to go a long way you have to take a car.Well, bikes can often keep up with cars and scooters can too, so why do cars go faster? Because if you want to go so far you can go on a bus or a train, which at least takes a lot people at the same time so it reduces pollution. Thank you for...

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Do Quantitative Forecasters Have Special Obligations to Policy Advisees? | The Couch Psychologist

https://couchpsychologist.wordpress.com/2014/04/09/do-quantitative-forecasters-have-special-obligations-to-policy-advisees

April 9, 2014. Do Quantitative Forecasters Have Special Obligations to Policy Advisees? A recent Dart-Throwing Chimp blog post. By Jay Ulfelder asks the question, how circumscribed should quantitative forecasters be? The question was prompted by recent comments he made at a meeting on genocide where he described his efforts to help build a quantitative system for early warning of genocide. As he notes, “The chief outputs of that system are probabilistic forecasts, some from statistical models. Here&#8217...

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How good are strategic intelligence forecasts? | The Couch Psychologist

https://couchpsychologist.wordpress.com/2014/09/26/how-good-are-strategic-intelligence-forecasts

September 26, 2014. How good are strategic intelligence forecasts? This is a freshly pressed post. That appeared September 25 (today) in. Magazine. In it, I describe how the 6-year intelligence forecasting accuracy study that Alan Barnes and I undertook developed. A detailed description of that study was published in a recent PNAS article. That was subsequently summarized in this piece in The Economist. Use Probabilistic Estimation for Sound Theory Evaluation and Revision. Leave a Reply Cancel reply.

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July | 2015 | The Couch Psychologist

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Monthly Archives: July 2015. July 31, 2015. Why do they makes cars (by Jacob Mandel — guest blogger). Pollution is bad because it makes people die sometimes, and bikes and scooters don’t make pollution so why do people make cars? It is because if you want to go a long way you have to take a car.Well, bikes can often keep up with cars and scooters can too, so why do cars go faster? Follow The Couch Psychologist on WordPress.com. Why do they makes cars (by Jacob Mandel — guest blogger).

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10 | May | 2014 | The Couch Psychologist

https://couchpsychologist.wordpress.com/2014/05/10

Daily Archives: May 10, 2014. May 10, 2014. Advice to the Editorial Team at Psychological Science. Not that I have anything against speciality journals–they are after all the backbone of scholarly publishing. However, when the topic of a paper is especially broad, dealing with methodological, theoretical, and meta-theoretical claims in Nobel prize-winning work, then I have to wonder what decision rule the editor was using. I am sorry to report such unwelcome news. But I hope that the. In this context has...

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The Couch Psychologist | Page 2

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March 30, 2014. Harnessing Individual Differences in Incoherence to Improve Forecasting Accuracy. Aldous Huxley once wrote that “Consistency is contrary to nature, contrary to life. The only completely consistent people are the dead.”. That may be so, but among the living there is natural variation or, as psychologists like to say “individual differences”, in consistency across individuals. In a recent paper. Will happen — namely, 1.0. A sidebar: Note that because. Eg, see Tversky and Koelher, 1994.

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July 31, 2015. Why do they makes cars (by Jacob Mandel — guest blogger). Pollution is bad because it makes people die sometimes, and bikes and scooters don’t make pollution so why do people make cars? It is because if you want to go a long way you have to take a car.Well, bikes can often keep up with cars and scooters can too, so why do cars go faster? Because if you want to go so far you can go on a bus or a train, which at least takes a lot people at the same time so it reduces pollution. Thank you for...

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Couch Pumpkin: Sofa Adventures. News and reviews for the big and small screens…where potatoes fear to tread. There’s a War On Top of the Lake. Even though it’s set in the middle of nowhere, halfway around the world, Top of the Lake feels incredibly topical. At a time when misogyny and abuse are in the headlines, its uncompromising look at gender conflict seems all the more electrifying. Read the rest of this entry ». Categorized in tv general. Top of the lake. And what do they signify? Read the rest of t...