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A Numbers Game: April 2009
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009_04_01_archive.html
Open source debate statistics. Wednesday, April 29, 2009. Using Jon Bruschke's databases on debateresults.com. I have calculated some historical judge side bias. For instance, for the 2006-2007 season (the courts topic), the aff won 50.10% of all ballots. The judges below are those most likely to differ from the general judge population that year:. Joe Koehle, Aff:56, Neg:30. Kirk Evans, Aff:26, Neg:10. Austin Carson, Aff:10, Neg:1. Joe Patrice, Aff:22, Neg:45. Greta Stahl, Aff:26, Neg:50.
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A Numbers Game: September 2009
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009_09_01_archive.html
Open source debate statistics. Friday, September 11, 2009. Every summer there is discussion about the side bias of prospective controversy areas and resolutions. Using the data from DebateResults.com. We can see what side bias past resolutions have exhibited. Under the Bradley-Terry model, the energy, China, and security guarantee topics had small, yet highly statistically significant (. Negative bias. The other three topics show no statistically significant bias either way. Links to this post.
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A Numbers Game: The Ross K. Smith scale and standards
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009/10/ross-k-smith-scale-and-standards.html
Open source debate statistics. Sunday, October 11, 2009. The Ross K. Smith scale and standards. Click here for more on speaker point scale changes. In a post on edebate. Brian DeLong suggests that tournaments adopting the 100-point (RKS) scale provide an interpretation of the scale to judges to make sure points are allocated fairly. His motivation is based partially on a discrepancy he saw between judges in the Kentucky results from this year. Alex Lamballe gave an average of 90.83 points, but other ...
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A Numbers Game: Changing the speaker point scale
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009/07/changing-speaker-point-scale.html
Open source debate statistics. Thursday, July 23, 2009. Changing the speaker point scale. The Georgia State tournament is moving to a 100-point speaker point scale next year. This will make them the third large [ N.B. Tournament to use a non-standard scale. I have put up some charts of how changing the scale affected point distributions at Wake and USC. Are any other tournament directors planning on switching point scales? If you considered doing so, but decided not to, what stopped you? Looking for rese...
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A Numbers Game: November 2009
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009_11_01_archive.html
Open source debate statistics. Sunday, November 8, 2009. RKS scale not dramatically increasing predictive accuracy. Wake Forest, 8 prelims. Tied points, no prediction. UNLV open division, 7 prelims. Tied points, no prediction. Harvard, 8 prelims. Tied points, no prediction. Links to this post. Wednesday, November 4, 2009. RKS translation at Harvard. The Harvard tournament this year had a very explicit and very simple translation. We can see how the judging pool interpreted the RKS scale:. Shows that a me...
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A Numbers Game: Update on speaker point scales
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009/07/update-on-speaker-point-scales.html
Open source debate statistics. Tuesday, July 28, 2009. Update on speaker point scales. In response to a question from cross-x.com. I checked to see if the point distributions are any smoother for teams that might clear. It turns out that they aren't. Except to the extent that the distributions have a narrower range:. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Update on speaker point scales. Changing the speaker point scale. Subscribe To A Numbers Game. Related Blogs and Wikis. Judge Philosophies Recent Changes.
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A Numbers Game: RKS scale not dramatically increasing predictive accuracy
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009/11/rks-scale-not-dramatically-increasing.html
Open source debate statistics. Sunday, November 8, 2009. RKS scale not dramatically increasing predictive accuracy. Wake Forest, 8 prelims. Tied points, no prediction. UNLV open division, 7 prelims. Tied points, no prediction. Harvard, 8 prelims. Tied points, no prediction. Saturday, May 08, 2010 7:07:00 PM. You should do a piece on speaker points for my new debate journal. Http:/ www.the3nr.com/2010/05/05/the-last-word-a-new-debate-journal/. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). RKS translation at Harvard.
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A Numbers Game: RKS translation at Harvard
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009/11/rks-translation-at-harvard.html
Open source debate statistics. Wednesday, November 4, 2009. RKS translation at Harvard. The Harvard tournament this year had a very explicit and very simple translation. From the 30-point scale to the 100-point (or Ross K. Smith) scale. Using the results packet. We can see how the judging pool interpreted the RKS scale:. It will be interesting to see how many judges circled the indicator. On the front of their ballots indicating that they were conforming to the suggested scale translation. Home: http:/ w...
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A Numbers Game: Topic side bias
http://blog.anumbersgame.net/2009/09/topic-side-bias.html
Open source debate statistics. Friday, September 11, 2009. Every summer there is discussion about the side bias of prospective controversy areas and resolutions. Using the data from DebateResults.com. We can see what side bias past resolutions have exhibited. Under the Bradley-Terry model, the energy, China, and security guarantee topics had small, yet highly statistically significant (. Negative bias. The other three topics show no statistically significant bias either way. Subscribe To A Numbers Game.
