demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: Four Stages Of The Demographic Transition
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2008/02/four-stages-of-demographic-transition.html
Monday, February 11, 2008. Four Stages Of The Demographic Transition. Bo Malmberg's Theory Of Stages, Sanderson and Scherbov's Life Cycle Rescaling and Demographic Maturity. Impacts on age structure tend to be more extended in time than their more dramatic size-impact equivalents, and indeed one might claim that the whole process of the demographic transition in-and-of itself is best thought of as an extended and continuous process of age-transition. This is Malmberg's principle insight. Well for one rea...
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: The Rediscovery of Age Structure
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2008/02/rediscovery-of-age-structure.html
Monday, February 11, 2008. The Rediscovery of Age Structure. In economic theory, the question of population change has had a complex history. Following the early lead of the mercantilists many have considered it to be a positive influence on economic performance due to its impact on aggregate demand and investment. In the context of development theory population growth has often been argued to stimulate development through its effect on the investment share in GNP. Be this as it may, in recent years the ...
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: The Postponement In Childbearing
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2008/02/postponement-in-childbearing.html
Tuesday, February 12, 2008. The Postponement In Childbearing. Several aspects of this convergence towards low fertility are particularly striking. First, the spread of below replacement fertility to formerly high fertility countries has occurred at a remarkably rapid pace and this has had the not insignificant consequence that the global convergence of fertility levels has notably preceded the convergence of many other social and economic indicators. Sub-Saharan Africa is the region that explains the gre...
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: Cohort-Based Mortality
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2008/02/cohort-based-mortality.html
Thursday, February 14, 2008. His intransigence over the idea of a common nutritional causal component, and his consequent 'condensation' of what some consider to be two phenomena into one is really the by-product of his laudable desire to find a single common explanation for the entire process of the great mortality decline. Inflamation, and the Thrifty Phenotype Hypothesis. The Cohort Thesis and the Great Mortality Decline. In the context of the 'great mortality decline' when we talk about cohort-based ...
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: About This Weblog
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2006/04/about-this-weblog.html
Saturday, February 16, 2008. This weblog is a personal project to bring together (online, in real time) my thoughts on global-imbalances, demography, fertility and economic growth. Eventually the posts will all form one continuous block which can be read sequentially. In the meantime it is a 'work in progress' with bits of me serving as 'gum and chickenwire' to hold together a bunch of arguments from and links to the pertinent papers. I hope the outcome will be readable and useful to someone.
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: The Second Stage
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2008/02/second-stage.html
Wednesday, February 13, 2008. As we have seen, for most of the second half of the twentieth century debates about population and population policy largely centered around the question of rapid population growth in the less developed world. Towards the end of the century, however, a quite different demographic phenomenon began to attract attention: aggregate fertility levels in the developed world that were inadequate for the long-run replacement of the existing population. Since about 1970 the global ove...
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: Nasty Brutish and Short I
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2005/10/nasty-brutish-and-short-i.html
Friday, February 15, 2008. Nasty Brutish and Short I. Nasty Brutish and Short. What Is The Demographic Transition? From the end of World War II and until at least the 1980s, there was probably no research issue that was either mentioned more frequently or debated more passionately in demographic literature than the theories and explanations adavnced in relation to the phenomenon which has become known as the demographic transition. Are There Really Two (Or Should That Be Three) Transitions? This then is ...
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: June 2006
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2006_06_01_archive.html
Saturday, June 03, 2006. Recent use of the expression demographic dividend seems to originate in a studyof East Asian growth carried out by David Bloom and Jeffrey Williamson (Bloom and Williamson 1998). In the study they used quantitative results obtained from cross-country econometric regressions with the objective of calculating the contribution made by age structure changes to the 'spurt' in East Asian economic growth. Having fewer children normally enhances the health of both mother and child. F...
demoresourceography.blogspot.com
Edward's Book Draft: October 2005
http://demoresourceography.blogspot.com/2005_10_01_archive.html
Saturday, October 15, 2005. Nasty Brutish and Short? Posted by Edward Hugh. Tuesday, October 11, 2005. The Discovery of Age Structure I. The Discovery of Age Structure. Whether results obtained in this way truly reflect the unimportance of population growth, or, as some have argued, are the summative outcome of the impact of diffent, and mutually offsetting, negative and positive influences of population on economic growth still continues to be debated to this day. However of late interest in the macroec...
