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Dialectic Mind

Monday, April 20, 2009. Reserve Money: A Tale of Two Countries post Lehman-event. Many market observers are surprised by the sustained increase in stock values across the globe since the lows hit in early March 2009. At the same time, many Indian analysts are wondering why the credit cost to mid-sized corporate is not budging even after the significant rate cuts by RBI. A partial answer to both the queries can be found in the development of reserve money in the USA and in India since Sept 2008 till date.

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Dialectic Mind | dialecticmind.blogspot.com Reviews

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Monday, April 20, 2009. Reserve Money: A Tale of Two Countries post Lehman-event. Many market observers are surprised by the sustained increase in stock values across the globe since the lows hit in early March 2009. At the same time, many Indian analysts are wondering why the credit cost to mid-sized corporate is not budging even after the significant rate cuts by RBI. A partial answer to both the queries can be found in the development of reserve money in the USA and in India since Sept 2008 till date.

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Dialectic Mind | dialecticmind.blogspot.com Reviews

https://dialecticmind.blogspot.com

Monday, April 20, 2009. Reserve Money: A Tale of Two Countries post Lehman-event. Many market observers are surprised by the sustained increase in stock values across the globe since the lows hit in early March 2009. At the same time, many Indian analysts are wondering why the credit cost to mid-sized corporate is not budging even after the significant rate cuts by RBI. A partial answer to both the queries can be found in the development of reserve money in the USA and in India since Sept 2008 till date.

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dialecticmind.blogspot.com

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Dialectic Mind: The unconventional FED requires further unconventional thinking to succeed

http://dialecticmind.blogspot.com/2009/03/unconventional-fed-requires-further.html

Wednesday, March 18, 2009. The unconventional FED requires further unconventional thinking to succeed. Yesterday, the US FED announced its intentions to buy the long-dated US Treasuries, after a gap of nearly four decades. The Treasuries rallied exuberantly after the decision. (Last week, we in India, worried about the volatility of Government of India Bonds yields going through roof. Now, US Treasuries have joined the bond yield volatility party. Welcome to the club.). The answer lies in the chart below.

2

Dialectic Mind: Strong Disinflation Predicted for India in July-Sept 2009 Quarter

http://dialecticmind.blogspot.com/2009/02/strong-disinflation-predicted-for-india.html

Thursday, February 19, 2009. Strong Disinflation Predicted for India in July-Sept 2009 Quarter. The figures for WPI (Wholesale Price Index) for first week of February 2009 have just been published for India. Based on the internal model at Dawnay Day AV Analytics, we now predict the inflation for July-Sept 2009 quarter at minus 3% (-3%) or lower on yoy basis for India. The implications of this prediction for monetary policy by Reserve Bank of India are quite significant. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom).

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Dialectic Mind: The Indian Demand Dynamics in the times of Global Financial Crisis

http://dialecticmind.blogspot.com/2009/02/indian-demand-dynamics-in-times-of.html

Friday, February 13, 2009. The Indian Demand Dynamics in the times of Global Financial Crisis. Last few days have been truly remarkable in terms of the news-flow from the Indian Hinterland. This news-flow, more or less, confirms my long-held belief that India has sufficient excess cash on hand to come out of this crisis winner. (The measure of excess cash in economy is a proprietary measure developed by Dawnay Day AV Analytics, which I will explain on some other day). 5 The Dec 2008 IIP numbers were marg...

4

Dialectic Mind: March 2009

http://dialecticmind.blogspot.com/2009_03_01_archive.html

Wednesday, March 18, 2009. The unconventional FED requires further unconventional thinking to succeed. Yesterday, the US FED announced its intentions to buy the long-dated US Treasuries, after a gap of nearly four decades. The Treasuries rallied exuberantly after the decision. (Last week, we in India, worried about the volatility of Government of India Bonds yields going through roof. Now, US Treasuries have joined the bond yield volatility party. Welcome to the club.). The answer lies in the chart below.

5

Dialectic Mind: Reserve Money: A Tale of Two Countries post Lehman-event

http://dialecticmind.blogspot.com/2009/04/reserve-money-tale-of-two-countries.html

Monday, April 20, 2009. Reserve Money: A Tale of Two Countries post Lehman-event. Many market observers are surprised by the sustained increase in stock values across the globe since the lows hit in early March 2009. At the same time, many Indian analysts are wondering why the credit cost to mid-sized corporate is not budging even after the significant rate cuts by RBI. A partial answer to both the queries can be found in the development of reserve money in the USA and in India since Sept 2008 till date.

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Monday, April 20, 2009. Reserve Money: A Tale of Two Countries post Lehman-event. Many market observers are surprised by the sustained increase in stock values across the globe since the lows hit in early March 2009. At the same time, many Indian analysts are wondering why the credit cost to mid-sized corporate is not budging even after the significant rate cuts by RBI. A partial answer to both the queries can be found in the development of reserve money in the USA and in India since Sept 2008 till date.

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