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Early Warning Signals Toolbox | A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. August 19, 2016. The idea of ...

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Early Warning Signals Toolbox | A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data | early-warning-signals.org Reviews

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Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. August 19, 2016. The idea of ...

<META> KEYWORDS

1 theory

2 perturbation experiments

3 time series methods

4 metric based methods

5 detrended fluctuation analysis

6 variance

7 skewness and kurtosis

8 conditional heteroskedasticity

9 bds test

10 model based methods

CONTENT

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KEYWORDS ON PAGE

theory,perturbation experiments,time series methods,metric based methods,detrended fluctuation analysis,variance,skewness and kurtosis,conditional heteroskedasticity,bds test,model based methods,time varying ar p models,threshold ar p models,case studies

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Early Warning Signals Toolbox | A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data | early-warning-signals.org Reviews

https://early-warning-signals.org

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. August 19, 2016. The idea of ...

INTERNAL PAGES

early-warning-signals.org

1

Autocorrelation and Spectral properties | Early Warning Signals Toolbox

http://www.early-warning-signals.org/time-series-methods/metric-based-indicators/autocorrelation

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. Special issue on early-warnin...

2

Perturbation experiments | Early Warning Signals Toolbox

http://www.early-warning-signals.org/perturbation-experiments

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. Figure 2 from Dakos et al 2011.

3

What is a critical transition? | Early Warning Signals Toolbox

http://www.early-warning-signals.org/theory/what-is-a-critical-transition

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. What is a critical transition?

4

BDS test | Early Warning Signals Toolbox

http://www.early-warning-signals.org/time-series-methods/metric-based-indicators/bds-test

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. We present the BDS method app...

5

Nonparametric drift-diffusion-jump models | Early Warning Signals Toolbox

http://www.early-warning-signals.org/time-series-methods/model-based-indicators/nonparametric-drift-diffusion-jump-models

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. The last term, are relatively...

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vdakos | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/author/vdakos

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. PAGES Issue on Climate Tipping Points. In the just published PAGES issue. Of Past Global Changes there is a science highlight on Tipping points. Has been shaping our thinking about abrupt change. This entry was posted in latest news. And tagged climate change. August 19, 2016. Monitoring economic variables to infer ecosystem resilience. We show that indicators of decreasing re...

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latest news | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/category/latest-news

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. Category Archives: latest news. PAGES Issue on Climate Tipping Points. In the just published PAGES issue. Of Past Global Changes there is a science highlight on Tipping points. Has been shaping our thinking about abrupt change. This entry was posted in latest news. And tagged climate change. August 19, 2016. Monitoring economic variables to infer ecosystem resilience. We show ...

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resilience indicators | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/tag/resilience-indicators

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. Tag Archives: resilience indicators. Monitoring economic variables to infer ecosystem resilience. Strongly coupled socio-ecological systems propagate their effects and disturbances one to the other. This has been demonstrated in most studies of human management of common resources. In recent work. This entry was posted in latest news. And tagged economic variables. Recently, w...

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chemostat | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/tag/chemostat

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. Hysteresis and Heteroskedasticity (early view papers). Only a handful of studies demonstrate the existence of hysteresis in bistable systems. In a follow-up from our earlier work. We study the recovery trajectory of a light-stressed plankton population in a chemostat experiment ( early view in Oikos. This entry was posted in latest news. May 9, 2015. Proudly powered by WordPre...

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papers | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/tag/papers

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. Hysteresis and Heteroskedasticity (early view papers). Only a handful of studies demonstrate the existence of hysteresis in bistable systems. In a follow-up from our earlier work. We study the recovery trajectory of a light-stressed plankton population in a chemostat experiment ( early view in Oikos. This entry was posted in latest news. May 9, 2015. Regime shifts have been a ...

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toolbox | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/tag/toolbox

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. Hysteresis and Heteroskedasticity (early view papers). Only a handful of studies demonstrate the existence of hysteresis in bistable systems. In a follow-up from our earlier work. We study the recovery trajectory of a light-stressed plankton population in a chemostat experiment ( early view in Oikos. This entry was posted in latest news. May 9, 2015. Organised by the Waterloo ...

vasilisdakos.info

adaptation | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/tag/adaptation

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. After 3 beautiful years in Spain, I am getting quite excited starting up a new postdoc position in Switzerland at ETH in Zurich. I will be part of a multidisciplinary program bringing together geneticists, ecologists, and biologists studying empirically and theoretically adaptation to a changing environment. This entry was posted in latest news. July 29, 2015.

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new job position | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/new-job-position

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. After 3 beautiful years in Spain, I am getting quite excited starting up a new postdoc position in Switzerland at ETH in Zurich. I will be part of a multidisciplinary program bringing together geneticists, ecologists, and biologists studying empirically and theoretically adaptation to a changing environment. Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window). July 29, 2015.

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Spatial methods of early warnings for tipping points | vasilis dakos, phd

http://www.vasilisdakos.info/spatial-methods-of-early-warnings-for-tipping-points

Vasilis dakos, phd. Quantifying resilience in ecology and evolution under global environmental change. Full list of publications. Spatial methods of early warnings for tipping points. Recently our paper on spatial indicators for critical transitions. Was published in PloS One. In this paper we summarize methods and create a flowchart for looking for indicators of upcoming transitions in spatial data. It is a natural follow-up paper from our previous work. Click to print (Opens in new window). Sorry, your...

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Early Warning Signals Toolbox | A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data

Early Warning Signals Toolbox. A User’s Guide for Detecting Critical Transitions in Time series and Spatial data. What is a critical transition? Why should we expect Early Warnings before Critical Transitions? What are Early Warning Signals? General Steps for Rolling Window Metrics. Ensemble example for rolling window metrics. Autocorrelation and Spectral properties. Spatial correlation at lag 1. Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). Step-by-step analysis for spatial indicators. August 19, 2016. The idea of ...

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