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Reversal in Market Uptrend? | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/06/22/reversal-in-market-uptrend
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. Reversal in Market Uptrend? I share with you recent emails to colleagues and clients. The audience is more professional and thus the communications somewhat different than my usual posts. But I hope this provides a sketch of my current outlook. 8212;————————————. Sent as a follow-up to a recent email, 10 June. 8212;————————————. My earnings capitalization model suggested a fair value on the S&P 500 at 810. That was when 10-yr Treasury was bumping aga...
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Mea Copula! | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/03/01/mea-copula
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. Bear with me because this is among the more important reasons why the credit markets have stalled. And however important, it has not been widely reported in big media simply because of its complexity, but it is both a Wall Street travesty and a great story. It will help you understand a root cause to the current financial crisis and economic decline. In his February 2008,. Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress. What is Bernake alluding to?
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Kanjorski Spanks FASB and Mark-to-Market | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/03/17/kanjorski-spanks-fasb-and-mark-to-market
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. Kanjorski Spanks FASB and Mark-to-Market. On March 12, Congressman Paul Kanjorski (D-PA), Chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee, held a lengthy hearing to examine Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) 157 Mark-to-Market. In his prepared statement, Kanjorski emphasized that, We can, however, no longer deny the reality of the pro-cyclical nature of mark-to-market accounting. That’s a very bold statement. Kudos to CFO Mag. In hindsight, I cann...
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New Webpage | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2011/06/02/new-webpage-and-email
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. I have finally gotten my own webpage and email. Click on either link:. Http:/ www.monoki.com. Http:/ www.reconnaissancecapital.com. Refer to the new website/blog for new posts. This entry was posted on Thursday, June 2nd, 2011 at 8:16 AM and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. Feed You can leave a response. From your own site. Laquo; Previous Post. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. After the Jump, Rest.
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Cashed Out | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/04/23/cashed-out
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. Early this morning I sold all stock positions and moved to cash. The laundry list of reasons for opting to sit the bench for the foreseeable future is long. However, since stock and total portfolios have risen nicely (God bless) and are up for the year, it affords me the opportunity to sit the sidelines should my call be early or wrong. Remember, preserving principal is primary; preserving gains is equally important. Although there is much debate whether...
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Huge Rally and My Model | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/03/10/huge-rally-and-my-ecm
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. Huge Rally and My Model. The stock market was up huge today, posting one of its largest one-day increases ever. After four weeks of never-ending declines, the stock market rallied with jubilance. And with a stroke of luck, last week I went 50% into stocks from being 100% in cash. I did, I think, what is required of me:. I protected capital on the downside, and at levels I was finally comfortable with, I put some money to work. This time it paid off.
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Hard Disk Drives & the Black Swan | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/05/26/hard-disk-drives-the-black-swan
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. Hard Disk Drives and the Black Swan. It’s been three weeks since I last posted. My hard disk drive on my laptop failed and it took dozens of hours to get all my data back. With the stroke of luck, I was able to retrieve everything. What are the odds? The situation reminds of the Black Swan. Former Wall Street stock options trader, Nassim Taleb. Wrote his now famous book,. Just to be certain, I’m saving this post to my back-up drive to protect me from the...
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1m1y | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/1m1yr
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. April 6, 2009 at 7:50 PM. I have absolutely no understanding of the market or anything financial, but still enjoy your posts. You may want to buy more Haliburton, they’re out here in force, drilling into the Marcellus Shale, making HUGE money. There are at least four gas wells on my street alone, it’s about two miles long. Annoying for us but good for them. Hope all is well. Viktor will be one soon, right? November 19, 2010 at 8:08 PM. Get every new post...
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Charts Take Center Stage in Volatile Markets | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/03/24/charts-take-center-stage-in-volatile-markets
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. Charts Take Center Stage in Volatile Markets. There has been many recent developments, both policy and within the markets, some good and some bad, but so much so that it feels that things have been moving at light speed. The Federal Reserve has rolled out its newest initiative in increasing its buy of mortgage-backed securities and, over the next six months, long-term Treasury bonds. Federal Reserve Chairman, Ben Bernake, is renowned for his historical p...
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The Flawed Premise of Mark-to-Market Accounting | Reconnaissance Capital
https://monoki.wordpress.com/2009/02/27/the-flawed-premise-of-mark-to-market-accounting
Chris Monoki’s Five Paragraph Investment Research. The Flawed Premise of Mark-to-Market Accounting. For well over a year, US banks continue to write down billions of dollars of assets that were once valued much higher than the market prices today quote. But have the write-downs gone beyond the fair value of such financial assets? Excerpt from Wikipedia (link):. Today, most market participants acknowledge that the efficient-market hypothesis is flawed, perhaps wholly incorrect, that the markets might inde...
