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This is where I write whatever I think needs sharing. Prediction results for 2017. Posted on January 28, 2018. I made 35 predictions last January, and judgement day has come. Well, technically is was the 1st, but I'm writing this today. I'll use evidence as of the 1st where possible. I'm inverting some of them so all the predictions are 50%. Trump takes office on inauguration day: 95%. This one was pretty obvious. Maybe low. Trump is not impeached: 85%. Impeachment takes a long time. There already was one.

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This is where I write whatever I think needs sharing. Prediction results for 2017. Posted on January 28, 2018. I made 35 predictions last January, and judgement day has come. Well, technically is was the 1st, but I'm writing this today. I'll use evidence as of the 1st where possible. I'm inverting some of them so all the predictions are 50%. Trump takes office on inauguration day: 95%. This one was pretty obvious. Maybe low. Trump is not impeached: 85%. Impeachment takes a long time. There already was one.

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Echo Nolan's Blog - Home | echonolan.net Reviews

https://echonolan.net

This is where I write whatever I think needs sharing. Prediction results for 2017. Posted on January 28, 2018. I made 35 predictions last January, and judgement day has come. Well, technically is was the 1st, but I'm writing this today. I'll use evidence as of the 1st where possible. I'm inverting some of them so all the predictions are 50%. Trump takes office on inauguration day: 95%. This one was pretty obvious. Maybe low. Trump is not impeached: 85%. Impeachment takes a long time. There already was one.

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echonolan.net

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Echo Nolan's Blog - Making it the Future Sooner

http://www.echonolan.net/posts/2013-08-13-making-it-the-future-sooner.html

Making it the Future Sooner. Posted on August 13, 2013. I want a space elevator. I want to bind mortality. I want to understand the fundamental physics of the universe. I want to be able to speak to anyone, in any language. I short, I want the future, now. I want science and technology to advance quickly enough that I can live to experience the achievements I can't even dream of today. I think I can hack society to get there faster. Next time: less why, more how. Comments powered by Disqus.

2

Echo Nolan's Blog - Recipe for an Open Source Economy

http://www.echonolan.net/posts/2013-10-08-recipe-for-an-open-source-economy.html

Recipe for an Open Source Economy. Posted on October 8, 2013. I said our society should reward contributions to the common pool of knowledge in proportion to their value to society. That sounds pretty sketchy, right? Don't worry, I'm no communist. I'm looking for an answer that works when individuals act on their own initiative. Let's talk concretely. Imagine a system that tracks all the groceries in your house, suggests meals to cook and helps make shopping lists. Cool, right? At this point I'll acknowl...

3

Echo Nolan's Blog - Status Update: Game Theory Ahoy!

http://www.echonolan.net/posts/2013-12-02-status-update-game-theory-ahoy.html

Status Update: Game Theory Ahoy! Posted on December 2, 2013. For my last two ( one. Blog posts, I've been talking about prediction markets and their application to funding libre engineering and science.). Let's describe the game formally. There is one prediction under consideration. It is an open project that any player can contribute to. The prediction has a fixed cost of completion, abbreviated P. There are some n 1 players. No one joins or leaves during the game. There are no short positions.

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This is where I write whatever I think needs sharing. Prediction results for 2017. Posted on January 28, 2018. I made 35 predictions last January, and judgement day has come. Well, technically is was the 1st, but I'm writing this today. I'll use evidence as of the 1st where possible. I'm inverting some of them so all the predictions are 50%. Trump takes office on inauguration day: 95%. This one was pretty obvious. Maybe low. Trump is not impeached: 85%. Impeachment takes a long time. There already was one.

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