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EconocastsStructural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts.
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Structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts.
Econocasts: 2015.05.15 Gold Cycle Model Chart
http://econocasts.blogspot.com/2015/05/20150515-gold-cycle-model-chart.html
Structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts. Obtaining Long Term Models. Long Term Cycle Charts. Saturday, May 16, 2015. 201505.15 Gold Cycle Model Chart. 201505.15 Gold Cycle Model Chart. The gold cycle model continues to suggest increasing upward pressure on prices. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog. 201504.27 Gold Cycle Model Chart. All models are wrong, some models are useful.". Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). Subscribe to Econocasts by Email.
Econocasts: Long Term Cycle Charts
http://econocasts.blogspot.com/p/the-lonf-term-cycle-charts.html
Structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts. Obtaining Long Term Models. Long Term Cycle Charts. Long Term Cycle Charts. 201502.20 Gold Cycle Model Chart. 201502.20 VIX Cycle Model Chart. 201502.23 Silver Cycle Model Chart. If Gold is $4500.or even anything above 2000, I find it near impossible to consider Silver in the teens.or anything under $50. Itd be something entirely new to see such a split between Gold and Silver. June 29, 2014 at 4:29 PM. June 29, 2014 at 5:18 PM. This guy htt...
Econocasts: 2015.04.27 Gold Cycle Model Chart
http://econocasts.blogspot.com/2015/04/20150427-gold-cycle-model-chart.html
Structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts. Obtaining Long Term Models. Long Term Cycle Charts. Monday, April 27, 2015. 201504.27 Gold Cycle Model Chart. 201504.27 Gold Cycle Model Chart. 201504.02 Gold Cycle Model Chart. Is the predictive curve still valid for VIX? What is the VIX Z score? May 2, 2015 at 10:36 AM. So you believe yourself when you posting such Charts? I am looking at the Price. Just a moment yes nothing happend. No further comments. May 5, 2015 at 11:35 AM. Nor will I...
Econocasts: 2015.06.05 Gold Cycle Model Chart
http://econocasts.blogspot.com/2015/06/20150605-gold-cycle-model-chart.html
Structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts. Obtaining Long Term Models. Long Term Cycle Charts. Friday, June 5, 2015. 201506.05 Gold Cycle Model Chart. 201506.05 Gold Cycle Model Chart. According to the model, the gold price is reaching a highly "oversold" level and there is increasing pressure for a rise in prices going into the Solstice and beyond. Readers are urged to study the long term gold cycle chart here. To have an idea of how often the Z-score reaches above this level. Notic...
Econocasts: 2015.05.08 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart
http://econocasts.blogspot.com/2015/05/2015.html
Structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts. Obtaining Long Term Models. Long Term Cycle Charts. Saturday, May 9, 2015. 201505.08 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart. 201505.08 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart. The XOI.X cycle model suggests we may have passed a local maximum in the index price, and there is strong long term pressure for lower prices going forward into October 2015. Looking at a previous iteration of the model shown below and here on the blog. 201502.24 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart. 201505....
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MARCON: Momentum continues to weaken
http://usmarcon.blogspot.com/2015/06/momentum-continues-to-weaken.html
The Market Condition of US Equities - by Permabear Doomster. Monday, 1 June 2015. Momentum continues to weaken. Despite a net monthly gain, along with a new historic high of 2134 for the sp'500 in May, underlying momentum is continuing to swing (if slowly) back toward the equity bears. Underlying MACD (blue bar histogram) has started a new month by ticking lower again, and is now negative cycle for the fourth consecutive month. A sig' retrace for US/world markets looks due this summer/early autumn. Ellio...
MARCON: March 2015
http://usmarcon.blogspot.com/2015_03_01_archive.html
The Market Condition of US Equities - by Permabear Doomster. Tuesday, 31 March 2015. March settles moderately bearish. With weakness into the Tuesday close, March settled with a bearish MACD cross for the sp'500 (and most other US indexes). Near term momentum now slightly favours the equity bears. First downside target is the 200dma in the sp'2010s, and then weekly support in the mid 1900s. It has been a mixed opening quarter to 2015. Wednesday, 25 March 2015. And another bearish cross. Back to bullish&#...
Swing Trade cycles: Aug 03 2015 weekly outlook
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2015/08/aug-03-2015-weekly-outlook.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Saturday, August 1, 2015. Aug 03 2015 weekly outlook. August 5, 2015 at 2:42 PM. So far, not getting the expected downside.
Swing Trade cycles: July 20, 2015 weekly outlook
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2015/07/july-20-2015-weekly-outlook.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Friday, July 17, 2015. July 20, 2015 weekly outlook. Market showed unexpected strength for the week just ended! Terrence H&...
Swing Trade cycles: February 2015
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2015_02_01_archive.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Saturday, February 28, 2015. Mar 2, 2015 weekly outlook. So please note I expect the bottom mid March. I expect the week to...
Swing Trade cycles: April 2015
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2015_04_01_archive.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Sunday, April 26, 2015. April 27, 2015 weekly outlook. Saturday, April 18, 2015. Apr 20, 2015 weekly outlook. The Wall cycl...
Swing Trade cycles: November 2014
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2014_11_01_archive.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Sunday, November 30, 2014. Weekly outlook Dec 1, 2014. I suspect we may have been seen (right translated? Here is a visual:.
Swing Trade cycles: March 2015
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2015_03_01_archive.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Saturday, March 28, 2015. Mar 30, 2015 weekly outlook. Here is a visual:. Saturday, March 21, 2015. Here is a visual:.
Swing Trade cycles: July 2015
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2015_07_01_archive.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Tuesday, July 28, 2015. August 2015 outlook and beyond. Saturday, July 25, 2015. July 27, 2015 weekly outlook. With all the...
Swing Trade cycles: Jul 20, $gold outlook
http://swingcycles.blogspot.com/2015/07/jul-20-gold-outlook.html
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light. Monday, July 20, 2015. Jul 20, $gold outlook. July 20, 2015 at 4:48 PM. Great detail here inlet. July 21, 2015 at 8:37 AM.
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Structural equation modeling for objective financial forecasts. Obtaining Long Term Models. Medium Term Model Outputs. Sunday, February 18, 2018. 201802.16 Gold Cycle Model Chart. 201802.16 Gold Cycle Model Chart. The right phase shift continues, but gold prices remained above $1300 as suggested by the previous model run. Notice though that the magnitude has shifted lower compared to the previous model iteration. I also just updated the medium term model output page. And GDXJ is again in buy mode. On the...
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