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EconomicGreenfieldAmerica's Current & Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas
http://economicgreenfield.blogspot.com/
America's Current & Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas
http://economicgreenfield.blogspot.com/
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EconomicGreenfield | economicgreenfield.blogspot.com Reviews
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America's Current & Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas
economicgreenfield.blogspot.com
EconomicGreenfield: U-3 And U-6 Unemployment Rate Long-Term Reference Charts As Of August 7, 2015
https://economicgreenfield.blogspot.com/2015/08/u-3-and-u-6-unemployment-rate-long-term.html
Americas Current and Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas. Friday, August 7, 2015. U-3 And U-6 Unemployment Rate Long-Term Reference Charts As Of August 7, 2015. Shortly after each monthly employment report I have been posting a continual series titled “ 3 Critical Unemployment Charts. Of course, there are many other employment charts that can be displayed as well. Here is the U-3 chart, currently showing a 5.3% unemployment rate:. Click on charts to enlarge images. Charts updated as of 8-7-15).
EconomicGreenfield: August 2015
https://economicgreenfield.blogspot.com/2015_08_01_archive.html
Americas Current and Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas. Friday, August 28, 2015. Consumer Confidence Surveys – As Of August 28, 2015. Doug Short had a blog post of August 28, 2015 (“ Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Down Slightly from August Preliminary Reading. 8220;) in which he presents the latest Conference Board Consumer Confidence and Thomson/Reuters University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index charts. They are presented below:. Click on charts to enlarge images. For reference, below is a c...
EconomicGreenfield: A Special Note On Our Economic Situation
https://economicgreenfield.blogspot.com/p/special-note-on-our-economic-situation.html
Americas Current and Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. The topic of our current economic condition and its likely future outcome is the most important topic of our time. While most economic and investment professionals believe that we are experiencing an economic recovery, I believe this assessment is incorrect. What separates this period of economic weakness from those that have preceded it is its complexity. Absent a rather profound and rapid chan...
EconomicGreenfield: Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)
https://economicgreenfield.blogspot.com/2015/08/chicago-fed-national-financial.html
Americas Current and Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas. Wednesday, August 5, 2015. Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI). The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index. STLFSI) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the July 30, 2015 update (reflecting data through July 24) is -1.05. Here are summary descriptions of each, as seen in FRED:. The adjusted NFCI (ANFCI). This index isolates a component of financial conditions uncor...
EconomicGreenfield: Recession Probability Models – August 2015
https://economicgreenfield.blogspot.com/2015/08/recession-probability-models-august-2015.html
Americas Current and Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas. Friday, August 7, 2015. Recession Probability Models – August 2015. There are a variety of economic models that are supposed to predict the probabilities of recession. While I don’t agree with the methodologies employed or probabilities of impending economic weakness as depicted by the following two models, I think the results of these models should be monitored. The first is the “ Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator. This model, last update...
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The July 2015 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/2015/07/17/the-july-2015-wall-street-journal-economic-forecast-survey
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. The July 2015 Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey. The July Wall Street Journal Economic Forecast Survey was published on July 16, 2015. The headline is WSJ Survey: Most Economists Expect Fed Will Raise Rates in September. I found numerous items to be notable although I don’t necessarily agree with them both within the article and in the Economist Q&A section. The latest Journal survey. Section, th...
NFCI | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/tag/nfci
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI). The St. Louis Fed’s Financial Stress Index. STLFSI) is one index that is supposed to measure stress in the financial system. Its reading as of the August 11, 2016 update (reflecting data through August 5) is -1.068. Here are summary descriptions of each, as seen in FRED:. The adjusted NFCI (ANFCI). This index isolates a component of financial condi...
Deflation Probabilities – August 6, 2015 Update | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/2015/08/07/deflation-probabilities-august-6-2015-update
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. Deflation Probabilities August 6, 2015 Update. While I do not agree with the current readings of the measure I think the measure dramatically understates the probability of deflation, as measured by the CPI the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta maintains an interesting data series titled Deflation Probabilities. As stated on the site:. Prices of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) with similar matu...
ClusterGains - Trading Ideas
http://www.clustergains.com/trading_ideas
One stock that you could hold intermittently would be TZA, a bear ETF that shorts the Russell 2000 small cap stocks. Do not hold this stock for long. Sell when you have made a reasonable profit. Look for an annual low point for buying the stock. Then, sell it when you are up 10% or more. You could probably do this a few times each year for a significant double-digit gain. DIA - Dow Industrials ETF. SPY - S&P 500 ETF. XIV - Inverse volatility index. Leveraged small cap bear. Triple Energy Bull ETF.
3 Critical Unemployment Charts – August 2015 | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/2015/08/07/3-critical-unemployment-charts-august-2015
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. 3 Critical Unemployment Charts August 2015. As I have commented previously, as in the October 6, 2009 post ( A Note About Unemployment Statistics. In my opinion the official methodologies used to measure the various job loss and unemployment statistics do not provide an accurate depiction; they serve to understate the severity of unemployment. Click on charts to enlarge images. Charts updated as of 8-7-15).
Unemployment Rate | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/tag/unemployment-rate
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. Tag Archives: unemployment rate. U-3 And U-6 Unemployment Rate Long-Term Reference Charts As Of August 5, 2016. Shortly after each monthly employment report I have been posting a continual series titled 3 Critical Unemployment Charts. Of course, there are many other employment charts that can be displayed as well. Here is the U-3 chart, currently showing a 4.9% unemployment rate:. Http:/ research.stloui...
A Special Note On Our Economic Situation | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/a-special-note-on-our-economic-situation
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. The topic of our current economic condition and its likely future outcome is the most important topic of our time. While most economic and investment professionals believe that we are experiencing an economic recovery, I believe this assessment is incorrect. What separates this period of economic weakness from those that have preceded it is its complexity. Absen...
ECRI | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/tag/ecri
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. Updates Of Economic Indicators August 2016. Here is an update of various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts:. The August 2016 Chicago Fed National Activity Index. CFNAI) updated as of August 22, 2016: (current reading of CFNAI is .27; current reading of CFNAI-MA3 is -.10):. The ECRI WLI (Weekly Leading Index).
Economic Forecasts | EconomicGreenfield
http://www.economicgreenfield.com/category/economic-forecasts
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. Category Archives: Economic Forecasts. The Yield Curve August 22, 2016. Many people believe that the Yield Curve is an important economic indicator. On March 1, 2010, I wrote a post on the issue, titled The Yield Curve As A Leading Economic Indicator. An excerpt from that post:. While I continue to have the above reservations regarding the yield curve as an indicator, I do believe that it should be monitored.
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This blog attempts to educate people about how our economy works and to provide updates on what is going on in the economy that may affect them (See personal story at the bottom of the page). Neither this blog nor I are investment advisors, any opinions posted on this site are my own. Please seek a professional investment advisor to fit your personal investment goals. All economic charts are at the bottom of the page. Sunday, February 19, 2012. Former IMF Leader Discusses our Reality. Posted by Tim Epkes.
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Americas Current and Future Economic Situation - By Ted Kavadas. Monday, March 26, 2018. Updates Of Economic Indicators March 2018. Here is an update of various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts:. The March 2018 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI). Updated as of March 26, 2018:. The CFNAI, with current reading of .88:. Https:/ fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CFNAI. The ECRI WLI (Weekly Leading Index).
EconomicGreenfield - America's Economic Future - A Discussion By Ted Kavadas
America's Economic Future – A Discussion By Ted Kavadas. A Special Note On Our Economic Situation. Updates Of Economic Indicators March 2018. Here is an update of various indicators that are supposed to predict and/or depict economic activity. These indicators have been discussed in previous blog posts:. The March 2018 Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI). Updated as of March 26, 2018:. The CFNAI, with current reading of .88:. Https:/ fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CFNAI. As per the March 22, 2018 pre...
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