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Wednesday, January 31, 2018. The Behavioral and Performance Benefits of Trend Following. When we tell our investors to invest for the long run, we have to make sure the short run doesn’t kill them first… Investing for the long run isn’t bad advice, it’s just unrealistic. It doesn’t take into account human behavior. Andrew Lo (HT: Andrew Thrasher. Trend following has historically provided strong long-term returns. With materially reduced drawdowns. Backdrop: What is Trend? As outlined in a previous post.

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Wednesday, January 31, 2018. The Behavioral and Performance Benefits of Trend Following. When we tell our investors to invest for the long run, we have to make sure the short run doesn’t kill them first… Investing for the long run isn’t bad advice, it’s just unrealistic. It doesn’t take into account human behavior. Andrew Lo (HT: Andrew Thrasher. Trend following has historically provided strong long-term returns. With materially reduced drawdowns. Backdrop: What is Trend? As outlined in a previous post.

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1 otherwise own bonds

2 current expectation

3 conclusion

4 framed this decision

5 a few reasons

6 posted by jake

7 0 comments

8 a revised perspective

9 search for value

10 identify alpha opportunities

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otherwise own bonds,current expectation,conclusion,framed this decision,a few reasons,posted by jake,0 comments,a revised perspective,search for value,identify alpha opportunities,follow the trend,some initial takeaways,postpone gains,exposure replication

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EconomPic | econompicdata.blogspot.com Reviews

https://econompicdata.blogspot.com

Wednesday, January 31, 2018. The Behavioral and Performance Benefits of Trend Following. When we tell our investors to invest for the long run, we have to make sure the short run doesn’t kill them first… Investing for the long run isn’t bad advice, it’s just unrealistic. It doesn’t take into account human behavior. Andrew Lo (HT: Andrew Thrasher. Trend following has historically provided strong long-term returns. With materially reduced drawdowns. Backdrop: What is Trend? As outlined in a previous post.

INTERNAL PAGES

econompicdata.blogspot.com

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EconomPic: Investing with Not-So-Perfect Economic Foresight

http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2015/07/investing-with-not-so-perfect-economic.html

Share this Post on Twitter. Monday, July 13, 2015. Investing with Not-So-Perfect Economic Foresight. Following up on my previous post Is there a Relationship Between the Economy and Stock Market? GDP Growth and Stock Performance (real-time). GDP Growth and Stock Performance (lagged). GDP Growth and Stock Performance (lagged two quarters). Economic improvement lagged two quarters actually has an inverse relationship with market performance (i.e. the stock market has underperformed after an improvi...At th...

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EconomPic: From Momentum to Mean Reversion: What the Heck Happened in 2000?

http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2015/07/from-momentum-to-mean-reversion-what.html

Share this Post on Twitter. Wednesday, July 15, 2015. From Momentum to Mean Reversion: What the Heck Happened in 2000? After reading about John Orford's Simplest Mean Reversion Strategy. And Simplest Momentum Strategy. I decided to take a look at how the S&P composite would react going back to 1950. As far back as I could pull daily index returns. note these exclude dividends, thus are not total returns). The rules are simple. Performance Results (excluding any transaction costs / ignoring dividends).

3

EconomPic: Ignore the Margin Debt Alarm

http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2015/06/ignore-margin-debt-alarm.html

Share this Post on Twitter. Monday, June 1, 2015. Ignore the Margin Debt Alarm. The margin debt alarm has seemingly been sounded every few months when investors realize absolute levels of margin debt have reached new all-time highs (inferring that risk taking has too reached all-time high levels). This brief post highlights why any such alarm (and any future margin debt alarm) should likely be ignored. Of course not. What matters is the level of debt to the assets that debt is supporting. Context matters...

4

EconomPic: The Relationship Between Stocks and Bonds

http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2015/04/the-relationship-between-stocks-and.html

Share this Post on Twitter. Monday, April 13, 2015. The Relationship Between Stocks and Bonds. A Wealth of Common Sense. Has a recent post 'Stock Market Losses with Low Interest Rates' that outlines:. Just because interest rates are low doesn’t mean stocks can’t or won’t fall. Interest rates are a very important factor in the markets but they’re not everything. Even in a volatile market environment laced with bear markets, stocks can still make money for patient investors. When this inversion occurred, m...

5

EconomPic: Top Ten Banks.... Then and Now

http://econompicdata.blogspot.com/2009/02/top-ten-banks-then-and-now.html

Share this Post on Twitter. Monday, February 23, 2009. Top Ten Banks. Then and Now. Top ten banks by market cap; then (October 31st, 2007) vs. now (February 20th, 2009):. And this is AFTER the billions of dollars in government " investments. Subscribe To EconomPic Data. EconomPics of the Week (2/27/09). Historical GDP: It Was Nice Knowing You U.S. Cons. GDP Breakout: Revised Down to 6.2%. Tax Rates of the Rich and Poor. GDP How was It? FDIC Insured Institutions: System Wide Loss. High Yield Time Bomb.

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jawspeak.com

maths at JAW Speak

http://jawspeak.com/category/maths

Archive for the ‘maths’ Category. Book Review: The Unimaginable Mathematics of Borges’ Library of Babel. Reading time: 1 – 2 minutes. The author takes a short story, “The Library of Babel,” by Jorge Luis Borges and analyzes it along many different mathematical dimensions. The results are stimulating and accessible to non-mathematicians. The story is about a library, which is composed of:. What’s the implication of this? What math books do you all suggest? April 30th, 2011 at 12:38 pm. Miško Hevery on Tes...

jawspeak.com

Movie/Book Reviews at JAW Speak

http://jawspeak.com/category/movie-book-reviews

Archive for the ‘Movie/Book Reviews’ Category. Book: Power: Why Some People Have It-and Others Don’t. Reading time: 4 – 6 minutes. Power: Why Some People Have It-and Others Don’t. My rating: 3 of 5 stars. It is an easy read with interesting examples. If you dislike the title, consider how the world is political, and it is in you interest to know the power games other people will play. Synchronize the ‘voice’ of a team’s many leaders. I have had huge team problems because the peer gr...Oliver North vs Don...

bonddad.blogspot.com

The Bonddad Blog: 2/15/15 - 2/22/15

http://bonddad.blogspot.com/2015_02_15_archive.html

Still nerdy after all these years. Saturday, February 21, 2015. Weekly Indicators for February 16 - 20 at XE.com. By New Deal democrat. My Weekly Indicators post is up at XE.com. A Siberian chill has overtaken many of the coincident indicators. Links to this post. US Equity Market Week in Review: The Upside Break-Out Continues, Edition. This is over at XE.com. Links to this post. Friday, February 20, 2015. International Economic Week in Review: Mostly Mediocre Edition. This is over at XE.com. Showing the...

whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com

What Is That Whistling Sound?: 7/19/15 - 7/26/15

http://whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com/2015_07_19_archive.html

What Is That Whistling Sound? Economics Banking Finance Civil Liberties. Friday, July 24, 2015. GDX Doji Could Mark The Bottom. Divergences on multiple time frames and very negative sentiment could mark the bottom for the poor beat up gold miners. Options expiration also happens to be July 28 (Tuesday), so let's be prepared. Tuesday, July 21, 2015. Is Apple The Black Swan To Pop The Market Bubble? Consider this chart of Apple:. We will find out tonight after the closing bell. Monday, July 20, 2015. We su...

whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com

What Is That Whistling Sound?: Stock Market End Game Approaches - Are You Prepared?

http://whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com/2015/07/stock-market-end-game-approaches-are.html

What Is That Whistling Sound? Economics Banking Finance Civil Liberties. Wednesday, July 1, 2015. Stock Market End Game Approaches - Are You Prepared? The following chart is a modification of some of Martin Pring's work on the S&P 500. Note that a breach of the trend line on this monthly chart is a clear loud warning that more down side is imminent. Two targets stand out but are unconfirmed currently. If the 6 month MA crosses the 13 month MA, than look for the 50% fib level at 1400 or lower at target 2.

whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com

What Is That Whistling Sound?: Drachma Revolt Brewing In Athens

http://whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com/2015/07/drachma-revolt-brewing-in-athens.html

What Is That Whistling Sound? Economics Banking Finance Civil Liberties. Thursday, July 30, 2015. Drachma Revolt Brewing In Athens. Drachma revolt adds unease to Greece's awkward alliance. Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras' power-sharing acrobatics look harder to perform by the day. On Thursday, lead bailout negotiators are due in Athens. They will intensify a new round of talks for a massive third rescue package after Athens and lenders from other eurozone countries reached a bitterly fought compromise.

whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com

What Is That Whistling Sound?: 8/2/15 - 8/9/15

http://whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com/2015_08_02_archive.html

What Is That Whistling Sound? Economics Banking Finance Civil Liberties. Thursday, August 6, 2015. SDRs, Gold And The Coming Currency Reset. Labels: central bank gold purchases. Tuesday, August 4, 2015. Follow South Korea's Lead. Bucking the global trend, South Koreans pile into gold. South Koreans are on course to buy a record amount of gold in 2015, worried that a meltdown in China's stock markets will destabilize South Korean equities. Song Jong-gil, general director for sales at Korea Gold Exchange 3...

whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com

What Is That Whistling Sound?: 7/5/15 - 7/12/15

http://whatisthatwhistlingsound.blogspot.com/2015_07_05_archive.html

What Is That Whistling Sound? Economics Banking Finance Civil Liberties. Wednesday, July 8, 2015. Major Cyber-Attack on St. Louis Today. Can't post the map as it is live. Link is here http:/ map.norsecorp.com/. Tuesday, July 7, 2015. A Minor Rehearsal For The Coming Crash. This is only the BEGINNING of the Euro crisis. Former foreign secretary William Hague has broken cover to urge Greece to abandon the Euro or be stuck in a 'permanent crisis'. The responsibility for this crisis lies with their own forme...

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Wednesday, January 31, 2018. The Behavioral and Performance Benefits of Trend Following. When we tell our investors to invest for the long run, we have to make sure the short run doesn’t kill them first… Investing for the long run isn’t bad advice, it’s just unrealistic. It doesn’t take into account human behavior. Andrew Lo (HT: Andrew Thrasher. Trend following has historically provided strong long-term returns. With materially reduced drawdowns. Backdrop: What is Trend? As outlined in a previous post.

economplex.org

Economplex : a platform to discuss economics and complexity.

The intersection of Economics and Complexity Science. Economics is a subset of complexity. The Role of Prices. Complexity Science: Now a Magazine on Flipboard. Continue reading →. Solving the Tracking Game. Genetic Galaxy Defender – a Genetic Algorithm Game. Genetic Galaxy Defender is a simple space shooter game written in Flash where you play a heroic space pilot defending your motherland from the horde of invading alien robots (that, for some reason, look like Octopi). This is a game I made for a f...

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