I'm an economist who specializes in quantitative issues in finance: risk management, long/short equity investing, default modeling, etc. I keep this page so that I can post up things I find fun or useful for me to show to people. You can reach me at efalken at gmail dot com Telluride Asset Management Peter Hajas.
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Falkenstein Homepage | efalken.com Reviews
https://efalken.com
I'm an economist who specializes in quantitative issues in finance: risk management, long/short equity investing, default modeling, etc. I keep this page so that I can post up things I find fun or useful for me to show to people. You can reach me at efalken at gmail dot com Telluride Asset Management Peter Hajas.
efalken.com
papers
http://www.efalken.com/MRP/index.html
The Missing Risk Premium. This book presents theory and evidence arguing there is no risk premium in general because people are more envious than greedy, more relatively oriented than focused on absolute wealth. It's available at Amazon. And soon there will be a Kindle version. Here's my 5 minute summary of the book. Here's a video outlining some of the arguments in my empirical survey.
Finding Alpha Videos
http://www.efalken.com/video/index.html
Ch2: Asset Pricing Theory. Ch3: History of Empirical Tests. Ch4: Scope of Empirical Failure. Ch5: Observed Risk Premiums. Ch6: The Flawed Assumption. Ch7: My New Theory. These videos complement my book, Finding Alpha: The Search for Alpha When Risk and Return Break Down. Each video has links relevant to the ideas and data discussed in that video, but ultimately, buy the book if you want all the references.
papers
http://www.efalken.com/papers/index.html
Images by Thomas Briggs. Of my book, The Missing Risk Premium. Mutual Funds, Idiosyncratic Variance, and Asset Returns. PhD Dissertation, Northwestern University, 1994. From the first paragraph:. Risk and Return in General. This paper presents several independent ways to show that when people are status oriented, as opposed to wanting to maximizing wealth, the risk premium disappears. It also presents 20 domains where any standard conception of risk is not related to return. IP tactics for Hedge Funds.
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3
Falkenblog: Piketty's Terrifying Dystopia
http://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2014/07/pikettys-terrifying-dystopia_27.html
Sunday, July 27, 2014. OK, after a long absence, I'm posting this book review just because I feel like it. It's my personal opinion:. Thomas Piketty's bestselling door-stopper Capital in the Twenty First Century. Notes some facts that he thinks point to a clear problem and solution:. The return on capital over the economic growth rate determines the Capital/Income ratio, where a higher return on capital implies higher level of capital relative to income (r/g - C/I). Regulate capitalism” (p.518). As with ...
Moving Hiatus - Overcoming Bias
http://robinhanson.typepad.com/overcomingbias/2009/05/moving-hiatus.html
Laquo; Tax Unhappiness? Overcoming Bias Has MOVED ». May 25, 2009. This evening at midnight Eastern Daylight Time, this blog will begin to move to a new hosting site. For a smooth transition, please dont comment from then until 2am EST. Posted by Robin Hanson. At 06:00 PM in Meta. Are you trying to confuse us Robin? You do mean EDT, right? Posted by: C.B. May 25, 2009 at 08:35 PM. CB, yes, sorry, post is corrected. Posted by: Robin Hanson. May 25, 2009 at 08:49 PM. The comments to this entry are closed.
Overcoming Bias Has MOVED - Overcoming Bias
http://robinhanson.typepad.com/overcomingbias/2009/05/overcoming-bias-has-moved.html
Laquo; Moving Hiatus. May 26, 2009. Overcoming Bias Has MOVED. For the new posts. Posted by Robin Hanson. At 09:00 AM in Meta. The comments to this entry are closed. New readers start here]. On Reply to Moldbug. On Three Worlds Collide (0/8). Overcoming Bias Has MOVED. Against Admirable Activities, Again. Spent = Gold Schlock. Less Wrong (sister site). The Reversal Test: Eliminating Status Quo Bias In Applied Ethics. Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgment of global risks.
Spent's Main Argument - Overcoming Bias
http://robinhanson.typepad.com/overcomingbias/2009/05/spents-main-argument.html
Laquo; Against Makeup? Spent = Gold Schlock ». May 19, 2009. Is probably the one book that has most influenced my thinking. So Ill honor Miller by taking several posts to discuss his new book,. 0160; Yesterday I reviewed its predecessor, Robert Franks. 0160; Today I give. S main argument, in Millers own words:. 1) Signaling infuses most human activity:. 2) Consumer capitalism marketers trick us into using unreliable signals:. 3) Wed be better off to talk and customize more, and work and buy less:. We ye...
Tax Unhappiness? - Overcoming Bias
http://robinhanson.typepad.com/overcomingbias/2009/05/tax-unhappiness.html
Laquo; Missing Liberaltarians. Moving Hiatus ». May 25, 2009. Last week I described how Robert Frank wants to discourage conspicuous consumption via big houses, cars, and barbecues, because he thinks they cause large positional (i.e., relative status) harms on others. After describing our best data on positionality, I asked. If Frank would endorse its implication that we tax should beauty aids, education, and sports. . Below is Table 6.1, from a 2008 paper. On the net affect of 45 ways we spent our time...
Falkenblog: MSCI Quality Index
http://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2013/09/msci-quality-index.html
Sunday, September 08, 2013. I was unaware MSCI had beaten AQR to the punch by producing a boatload of quality indices. Last spring. These are applied worldwide, so they are necessarily more parsimonious than AQRs.but jeez, these are really barebones:. 1) Net Income/Book Equity. 3) Earnings volatility over 5 years. Instructively, they Winsorize the data, which everyone should do to financial ratios (ie, truncate extremums). But, book equity in the denominator? Earnings volatility over 5 years. Your old fr...
Falkenblog: September 2013
http://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2013_09_01_archive.html
Tuesday, September 24, 2013. I've got a new job with Pine River, and I want my new colleagues to know I'm not going to blab about anything that comes up, so blogging is now really. Over Of course, if you bump into me you can always buy me drinks and try to get me spill the beans (about non-proprietary matters) but I should. Warn you, I can drink a lot of beer. Best. Tuesday, September 17, 2013. Historical CBO Budget Projection Highlights Bias. Recently the CBO issued its annual budget projection. Which i...
Falkenblog: Immigration and Parfit's Repugnant Conclusion
http://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2013/06/immigration-and-parfits-repugnant.html
Sunday, June 16, 2013. Immigration and Parfit's Repugnant Conclusion. It looks like immigration reform will e ventually grant amnesty. To 10 million or so people, in the process encouraging more illegal immigration. I differ with my libertarian friends on this, as I would restrict immigration to those with high skills, like what those evil Canadians do. An essential reference for this argument is Derek Parfit's Repugnant Conclusion. How can this be? None that I can think of. In the PhilPapers survey.
Falkenblog: June 2013
http://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2013_06_01_archive.html
Sunday, June 23, 2013. A Premium for Negative Skew? Xiong, Idzorek, and Ibbotson have a new paper. Coming out in the JPM showing that mutual funds. With the highest tail risk (ie, highest probability of extreme downside returns) have higher returns. That is, there's a positive risk premium to negative skew. This is rather curious. The only thing I saw in this field related to this found the opposite. That is, in a 2006 JoF paper, Kosowski, Timmermann, and Wermers, and White. Sunday, June 16, 2013. I was ...
Falkenblog: Bye
http://falkenblog.blogspot.com/2013/09/bye.html
Tuesday, September 24, 2013. I've got a new job with Pine River, and I want my new colleagues to know I'm not going to blab about anything that comes up, so blogging is now really. Over Of course, if you bump into me you can always buy me drinks and try to get me spill the beans (about non-proprietary matters) but I should. Warn you, I can drink a lot of beer. Best. Seriously, good luck! So long, and thanks for all the posts! Best of Luck, Eric. Congratulations on your new role! Congrats and good luck.
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Efalius Real Estate
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Efalk home page
My Android apps on the Google Play market. My Altimeter app on Github. Some of my photography. Flying the Zeppelin NT. Open-source programs I wrote long ago: drafting. New: "News" sites you should not trust. Top 10 Hillary Clinton Myths Debunked. Here's a List of Facts Debunking Anti-Hillary Clinton Myths, Lies and Ridiculous Conspiracies. More debunked Hillary Clinton conspiracy stories. Essay on the Clinton emails. Three charts to email to your right-wing brother-in-law. Top 5 Social Security Myths.
Falkenstein Homepage
I'm an economist who specializes in quantitative issues in finance: risk management, long/short equity investing, default modeling, etc. I keep this page so that I can post up things I find fun or useful for me to show to people. You can reach me at efalken at gmail dot com Telluride Asset Management Peter Hajas.
efalkensvard -
31 Mar, kl. 20.37. Jag hoppas att Formskäraregatan kommer ge mig lika många knäppa, härliga, mysiga och jobbiga minnen som Slottsskogsgatan har gett mig. Allt jag vet är att jag ska njuta riktigt mycket av den sista kvällen här. Kanske ta ett litet glas vin, bada en sista gång och avsluta allt med en film i sängen. För imorgon avslutar jag ett kapitel och börjar på ett nytt. Här kommer lite fina minnen från Slottsskogsgatan:. 15 Jan, kl. 21.29. Varför jag tar upp detta är för att jag råkade ut för den dä...
EFalk Media and Desgn
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نمونه سوالات ششم دبستان
نمونه سوالات ششم دبستان. سوالات نمونه وتیز هوشان. آزمون ادبیات ششم دبستان. نوشته شده در پنجشنبه بیست و سوم مرداد 1393ساعت 13:7 توسط محمد حسین موسایی. سوالات نمونه وتیزهوشان تهران 92. سوالات نمونه وتیزهوشان تهران92. نوشته شده در پنجشنبه بیست و سوم مرداد 1393ساعت 13:3 توسط محمد حسین موسایی. آزمون نمونه وتیزهوشان بوشهر92. سوالات نمنه وتیزهوشان بوشهر92. نوشته شده در پنجشنبه بیست و سوم مرداد 1393ساعت 13:2 توسط محمد حسین موسایی. سوالات نمونه وتیز هوشان البرز 92. سوالات نمونه وتیزهوشان البرز92. سوالات درس 22 مط...
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