efficientish.blogspot.com

Analyzing Efficientish Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011. Just a few words since it has been a while since my last update. The strength of the recent rally caught me by surprise. Generally speaking, the market knows a lot more than I do – so if the market is moving in the opposite of what I expect it usually means that I am wrong and that I need to reevaluate my thinking. However, every time I considered buying into this most recent run-up I found myself thinking about the following:. Once Greece defaults, Portugal is next. Eventually,...

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Monday, October 17, 2011. Just a few words since it has been a while since my last update. The strength of the recent rally caught me by surprise. Generally speaking, the market knows a lot more than I do – so if the market is moving in the opposite of what I expect it usually means that I am wrong and that I need to reevaluate my thinking. However, every time I considered buying into this most recent run-up I found myself thinking about the following:. Once Greece defaults, Portugal is next. Eventually,...

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Analyzing Efficientish Markets | efficientish.blogspot.com Reviews

https://efficientish.blogspot.com

Monday, October 17, 2011. Just a few words since it has been a while since my last update. The strength of the recent rally caught me by surprise. Generally speaking, the market knows a lot more than I do – so if the market is moving in the opposite of what I expect it usually means that I am wrong and that I need to reevaluate my thinking. However, every time I considered buying into this most recent run-up I found myself thinking about the following:. Once Greece defaults, Portugal is next. Eventually,...

INTERNAL PAGES

efficientish.blogspot.com

1

Analyzing Efficientish Markets: A Quick Update

http://efficientish.blogspot.com/2011/10/quick-update.html

Monday, October 17, 2011. Just a few words since it has been a while since my last update. The strength of the recent rally caught me by surprise. Generally speaking, the market knows a lot more than I do – so if the market is moving in the opposite of what I expect it usually means that I am wrong and that I need to reevaluate my thinking. However, every time I considered buying into this most recent run-up I found myself thinking about the following:. Once Greece defaults, Portugal is next.

2

Analyzing Efficientish Markets: And The Band Played On

http://efficientish.blogspot.com/2010/06/and-band-played-on.html

Tuesday, June 15, 2010. And The Band Played On. When I started this site, one of my goals was to be different from a typical market analyst in a couple key ways:. My analysis would be entirely data-driven and I would be willing to shift between bullishness and bearishness as the data warrants. I find that most other sites tend to have an agenda and to only post data that backs-up their beliefs - or what is otherwise known as " confirmation bias. What do we think. What do we know. What can we prove. I wil...

3

Analyzing Efficientish Markets: Gold and the Bear Market

http://efficientish.blogspot.com/2011/10/gold-and-bear-market.html

Sunday, October 2, 2011. Gold and the Bear Market. Regular readers know that I am a fan of gold as an investment but not a true-believer in the hyper-inflation trade. To me, the gold trade here is very simple:. We are in a bear market driven by concerns about sovereign default. If (when) Greece defaults, counter-parties (banks, investors, etc) will need to raise dollars for a variety of reasons. Eventually, our debt problem will only be solved by default or inflation. So, in other words, I am skeptical t...

4

Analyzing Efficientish Markets: Anatomy of a Correction

http://efficientish.blogspot.com/2010/05/anatomy-of-correction.html

Wednesday, May 19, 2010. Anatomy of a Correction. The recent correction (yes, I think it is just a correction) is nearing an end. I suspect that we will see a bottom within the next week or so. In the previous post, I talked about what a bear market looks like. But what does a correction look like? Like bear markets, corrections also typically (but not always) follow a predictable pattern. There are four key phases:. Steep Drop #2 - Another sell-off that brings the RSI back to 30. Additionally, a steady ...

5

Analyzing Efficientish Markets: 9 Rules of Investing (That you haven't read before...)

http://efficientish.blogspot.com/2010/05/9-rules-of-investing-that-you-havent.html

Thursday, May 20, 2010. 9 Rules of Investing (That you haven't read before.). Don't try to make money. The goal is not to make money, the goal is to beat the market. If the stock market lost 20% in a given year and you only lost 10% - you won. If the stock market gained 20% in a given year and you only gained 10% - you lost. If you can consistently beat the market, the money will take care of itself. Being average is great. If you're in cash and the market rises, you're an under-performer. The tail usual...

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efficientish.blogspot.com

Analyzing Efficientish Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011. Just a few words since it has been a while since my last update. The strength of the recent rally caught me by surprise. Generally speaking, the market knows a lot more than I do – so if the market is moving in the opposite of what I expect it usually means that I am wrong and that I need to reevaluate my thinking. However, every time I considered buying into this most recent run-up I found myself thinking about the following:. Once Greece defaults, Portugal is next. Eventually,...

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