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Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election
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electoralmath | Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election | electoralmath.wordpress.com Reviews
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Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election
electoralmath.wordpress.com
Electoral Math 10/8/12 | electoralmath
https://electoralmath.wordpress.com/2012/10/08/electoral-math-10812
Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election. No changes on the map tonight, although Mitt Romney picks up about 94,000 net votes in the popular vote count tonight. A couple of interesting developments in national polls today. Rasmussen 3-day tracking poll came out a tie today. This is in contrast to yesterday’s release where Romney was ahead by 2. The implication is that there may be some softening in the effect of last week’s debate. Posted October 8, 2012 by electoralmath.
October | 2012 | electoralmath
https://electoralmath.wordpress.com/2012/10
Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election. Archive for October 2012. Electoral Math Projection: Obama 277, Romney 206. No Leaners Projection: Obama 299, Romney 239. Ohio shifts back (albeit just barely) into Pres. Obama’s column after 2 new polls show leads between 1 and 3 points. This in addition to the aging out of an older poll that had Romney ahead by 1 moves my projection from O 1.8 to O 2.3%. Posted October 18, 2012 by electoralmath. Projection: Obama 259, Romney 206. Nevada: Obama 49....
July | 2012 | electoralmath
https://electoralmath.wordpress.com/2012/07
Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election. Archive for July 2012. This week, there is no change in the electoral count on my map, although there are a few changes in color. Nevada moves from leaning to barely Obama as a new Rasmussen poll released this week showed Pres. Obama ahead 50-45. Their previous poll in April showed the lead at 8. Currently in my projection, he’s ahead by 5.6% which is just enough to change color. Overall, not much changed this week although polling continues to move sl...
Electoral Math 10/13/12 | electoralmath
https://electoralmath.wordpress.com/2012/10/13/electoral-math-101312
Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election. Currently my toss-up state projections are:. Nevada: Obama 49.59%, Romney 48.21%. It is important to note that there has not been a single poll all year that has showed Mitt Romney in the lead. That said, the last 5 polls have all been between a tie and Obama 4. New Hampshire: Obama 49.68%, Romney 48.97%. There has only been 2 polls here since the debate with 1 a tie and the other a 4 point Romney lead. That said, polling data has been ...Overall, the ...
Electoral Math 10/11/12 | electoralmath
https://electoralmath.wordpress.com/2012/10/11/electoral-math-101112
Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election. Another good day for Mitt Romney in my projection, as Barack Obama loses 18 EV in my projection. This represents the first time in months when Obama has not had leads accounting for at least the 270 EV needed to win the election. The popular vote also showed a HUGE shift, primarily driven by a new SurveyUSA poll released in California, where Romney trails by only 14. In their last poll a month ago, Obama held a lead of 22. Tagged with election 2012.
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Electoral Math
Analysis of all statewide polling data for the 2012 presidential election. Friday, October 14, 2016. I also have Clinton with very small leads in Arizona (1.07%) and Iowa (0.37%), although they are far too close to call or even consider leaning in 1 direction or the other, it would put Clinton at 358 EV in my projection. To put it in a historical context, Barack Obama received 365 EV in 2008 against John McCain, but only 332 in 2012 against Mitt Romney. Links to this post. Thursday, October 13, 2016.
Electoral Math
October 14, 2016. June 30, 2015. Baseball’s Great No-Hitter That Didn’t Happen. I wanted to share a baseball story with you that I thought you might appreciate. Anniversary of one of the most bizarre occurrences in Major League history. I was visiting my sister who was a grad student at Southern Illinois University in the summer of 1990. I was an 18 year old kid from Long Island and was travelling home by train. My connecting train to New York left 12 hours later. The Yankees’ starting pitcher was ...
electoralmath | Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election
Analysis of presidential polls in the 2012 election. Posted October 14, 2016 by electoralmath. Electoral Math Map 10/13/16. In my popular vote projection:. Clinton 59,877,478 46.64%. Trump 52,974,406 41.27%. Johnson 10,016,661 7.80%. Stein 3,991,788 3.11%. Posted October 13, 2016 by electoralmath. Electoral Math Projection: Obama 277, Romney 206. No Leaners Projection: Obama 299, Romney 239. Posted October 18, 2012 by electoralmath. Projection: Obama 259, Romney 206. No-Toss Ups: Obama 286, Romney 252.
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Electoral Maturity Model
Electoral Maturity Model (EMM) initiative. The Electoral Maturity Model (EMM). Is a methodology that is being developed by a group of professionals of the electoral arena aiming at providing Electoral Authorities (EA’s) worldwide the means to assess their particular implementation of all the processes that comprise an Electoral Event, mainly from the perspective of how that implementation addresses a set of vulnerabilities that are likely to arise during execution. A complete definition of the processes.
Electoral Maturity Model
Electoral Maturity Model (EMM) initiative. The Electoral Maturity Model (EMM). Is a methodology that is being developed by a group of professionals of the electoral arena aiming at providing Electoral Authorities (EA’s) worldwide the means to assess their particular implementation of all the processes that comprise an Electoral Event, mainly from the perspective of how that implementation addresses a set of vulnerabilities that are likely to arise during execution. A complete definition of the processes.
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