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Wednesday, October 17, 2012. A new round of worldwide stimulus measures have been enacted over recent weeks. China announced gigantic infrastructure projects. EU announced an unlimited bond buying program to "repair monetary policy transmission channels". European lawmakers, having been dragged into the festivities kicking and screaming, finally sees what we meant when we wrote (if they read our blog, that is) the following on July 1, 2010. A stagflationary period (though the timing is unknown). It is al...

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Extrema Risk Blog | extremarisk.blogspot.com Reviews

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Wednesday, October 17, 2012. A new round of worldwide stimulus measures have been enacted over recent weeks. China announced gigantic infrastructure projects. EU announced an unlimited bond buying program to repair monetary policy transmission channels. European lawmakers, having been dragged into the festivities kicking and screaming, finally sees what we meant when we wrote (if they read our blog, that is) the following on July 1, 2010. A stagflationary period (though the timing is unknown). It is al...

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Extrema Risk Blog | extremarisk.blogspot.com Reviews

https://extremarisk.blogspot.com

Wednesday, October 17, 2012. A new round of worldwide stimulus measures have been enacted over recent weeks. China announced gigantic infrastructure projects. EU announced an unlimited bond buying program to "repair monetary policy transmission channels". European lawmakers, having been dragged into the festivities kicking and screaming, finally sees what we meant when we wrote (if they read our blog, that is) the following on July 1, 2010. A stagflationary period (though the timing is unknown). It is al...

INTERNAL PAGES

extremarisk.blogspot.com

1

Extrema Risk Blog: The Metaphor of the Bridge

http://extremarisk.blogspot.com/2012/05/metaphor-of-bridge.html

Wednesday, May 30, 2012. The Metaphor of the Bridge. We based our last post on the observation that a good metaphor is worth many equations in problem solving. Today we come to one metaphor that I find particularly useful. But before we do, let us ask: what is the best way to conceptualize risk forecasting? But what about the bridge, didn't we promise a bridge? The bridge is a structure that responds to those crossing it. So, people crossing a bridge and the bridge itself form a system which generate...

2

Extrema Risk Blog: QE4VR

http://extremarisk.blogspot.com/2012/10/qe4vr.html

Wednesday, October 17, 2012. A new round of worldwide stimulus measures have been enacted over recent weeks. China announced gigantic infrastructure projects. EU announced an unlimited bond buying program to "repair monetary policy transmission channels". European lawmakers, having been dragged into the festivities kicking and screaming, finally sees what we meant when we wrote (if they read our blog, that is) the following on July 1, 2010. A stagflationary period (though the timing is unknown). It is al...

3

Extrema Risk Blog: Behavioral Finance and Extreme Event Risk 2: Price-Fundamentals Feedback Loops

http://extremarisk.blogspot.com/2010/06/behavioral-finance-and-extreme-event.html

Wednesday, June 16, 2010. Behavioral Finance and Extreme Event Risk 2: Price-Fundamentals Feedback Loops. The Price-Fundamentals Feedback Loops. Today, we will continue the discussion we started in a post on Information Cascades. Figure 1: Price-Fundamentals feedback during 2003-2007 period. To be convinced that this loop actually took place (via the owner’s equity withdrawals), see this amazing chart from John Mauldin (http:/ www.frontlinethoughts.com/pdf/mwo101708.pdf):. CNBC INTERVIEWER: "Ben, there's...

4

Extrema Risk Blog: Finding Our Metaphors

http://extremarisk.blogspot.com/2012/05/finding-our-metaphors.html

Tuesday, May 8, 2012. The metaphor I speak of comes from a story released by a Bloomberg columnist Mark Buchanan. The author then contrasts the approach of the modern portfolio theory with the one taken by the atmospheric flow researchers. After all, aren't storms and hurricanes the best metaphors for market crashes? In this regard, I think that studies of people with free will, like the Information Cascades ( see Extrema post here. Research, when applied to financial markets, provide great insight.

5

Extrema Risk Blog: Sir Alan Greenspan sees the light at the end of the tunnel

http://extremarisk.blogspot.com/2010/06/sir-alan-greenspan-sees-light-at-end-of.html

Friday, June 25, 2010. Sir Alan Greenspan sees the light at the end of the tunnel. Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland. It appears that Alan Greenspan. Is seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. Unfortunately, it is the light from a train headed down the tunnel in our direction. After calmly projecting economic trends up to 2030 in his book "The Age of Turbulence", his outlook has changed. In his new WSJ op-ed he makes a decidely un-Fed like pronouncement:. Ahh, the joy of money helicopters, why did Si...

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Extrema Risk Blog

Wednesday, October 17, 2012. A new round of worldwide stimulus measures have been enacted over recent weeks. China announced gigantic infrastructure projects. EU announced an unlimited bond buying program to "repair monetary policy transmission channels". European lawmakers, having been dragged into the festivities kicking and screaming, finally sees what we meant when we wrote (if they read our blog, that is) the following on July 1, 2010. A stagflationary period (though the timing is unknown). It is al...

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Extrem'arte

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