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Politickr: March 2009

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Friday, March 27, 2009. The Race to Replace Gillibrand in the House. Scott Murphy, the conservative Democrat running to replace Kirsten Gillibrand in the NY-20 special election next week,  now leads his Republican rival by 4 points. According to the latest poll released by Siena Research. . Wiser Than The Crowd, in a post published before. This morning's latest poll results were released, pegged the race at 50/50. And a last-minute push from the DNC. Follow Politickr on Twitter. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom).

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Politickr: May 2010

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Tuesday, May 18, 2010. NPR readers predict the winners of today's primaries. 60% think Lincoln will prevail in Arkansas, but 53% think it'll require a runoff. Rand Paul, Joe Sestak, and Mark Critz are also predicted to win. Nate Silver says Joe Sestak is a 3:1 favorite. In today's PA senate primary. The political statistician also predicts that the Dems may soon be searching for a new senate candidate in CT. Following a Times report that Blumenthal lied about serving in Vietnam. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom).

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Politickr: Morning Odds and Ends

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Tuesday, August 3, 2010. Morning Odds and Ends. Kansas Secretary of State Chris Biggs. In today's primary, where Jim Moran and the Palin-backed Todd Tiahrt are battling for the GOP nomination for Senator Brownback's seat. Despite the 2008 Democratic Primary drama, DNC Committee decides to keep. Controversial superdelegates and predicts impact. On future primaries will be negligible. Michael Barone, who boasts that he wrote the first mainstream media. Experts predict more than 15 million.

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Politickr: Paterson Probably Staying Put

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Friday, March 5, 2010. Paterson Probably Staying Put. As another disastrous week for NY's disgraced governor comes to a close,. A majority of New Yorkers. Are now telling pollsters they want David Paterson to resign. But political prediction market traders at Intrade are growing more confident that the accidental governor isn't going anywhere. As of this afternoon, Intrade gives Paterson a 55% chance of departing by July 1. The. Likelihood of him leaving office. Said that Paterson should stay put. Trader...

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Politickr: December 2008

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Saturday, December 6, 2008. Intrade Launches Contract on Senate Replacements. Politickr is pleased that Intrade has just added contracts about Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama's senate replacements, but is somewhat puzzled by the list of contenders, particularly with respect to Clinton. Currently, of the three candidates listed as possible successors to Clinton, two have already withdrawn their names from consideration. Have both said that they're not interested. While Andrew Cuomo, the third option,.

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Politickr: Here Comes Health Care Reform

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Tuesday, March 9, 2010. Here Comes Health Care Reform. In a blog post this morning headlined "Health Care Resurrection,". Alluded to the latest Intrade odds on reform. The likelihood of a health care overhaul is now trading. At 625%, which is up nearly 10 points since yesterday and over 20 points since early last week. Krugman claims he isn't completely convinced of the predictive power of political prediction markets, but he is keeping a close eye on Intrade. And judging from Intrade. The Bottom Line -.

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Politickr: November 2008

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Friday, November 28, 2008. New Real Money Prediction Site Coming Soon? A tipster at the. Group on Facebook reports that a new Costa Rica-based prediction market exchange called. 160;just entered Beta. The new ".net" play money site, which still seems very bare bones, may be the testing ground for an Intrade competitor.       . Word on the street is there is an up and coming '.com' real money site in the works," said our source. Friday, November 21, 2008. Missed Opportunities at Intrade. When the Democrat...

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Politickr: September 2009

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Monday, September 7, 2009. Intrade Politickr Market Wrap. As Congress finally returns from its summer break and Obama heads to the Hill to tout his health care plan before a Joint Session, Politickr takes a look at the political stocks on Intrade making headlines this week:. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Pundit predictions you can trade on. Tracking political prediction markets since 2006. View my complete profile. Subscribe Now: Feed Icon. Subscribe in a reader.

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Politickr: June 2009

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Thursday, June 4, 2009. Politickr, which tracks daily developments at prediction markets around the web, is going digital. Check out our first video on today's political trading news, and chime in with any ideas for future coverage. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Pundit predictions you can trade on. Tracking political prediction markets since 2006. View my complete profile. Subscribe Now: Feed Icon. Subscribe in a reader.

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Politickr: John Stossel: Health Care Reform Will Pass

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Friday, March 5, 2010. John Stossel: Health Care Reform Will Pass. John Stossel, who. On ABC's 20/20 before the 2008 election, is still tracking political prediction markets. Although he has since left ABC for Fox Business, Stossel has not stopped citing the wisdom of the crowd. In a post on his Fox Business blog. This afternoon, Stossel proclaimed: "Obamacare is coming.". As of this writing, the health care contract is trading just above 55, down from the 60% mark it reached yesterday.