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Analyzing the Future | Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics

Learning the right cognitive processes for thinking about the complex global political world that is emerging, for peering through the mist of time and seeing beneath the waves of current events to the currents hidden beneath... On 9/11, the world changed, if not because of the event, then certainly because of the reaction. How various…

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Analyzing the Future | Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics | futuremethods.wordpress.com Reviews

https://futuremethods.wordpress.com

Learning the right cognitive processes for thinking about the complex global political world that is emerging, for peering through the mist of time and seeing beneath the waves of current events to the currents hidden beneath... On 9/11, the world changed, if not because of the event, then certainly because of the reaction. How various…

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V. System Dynamics | Analyzing the Future

https://futuremethods.wordpress.com/v-system-dynamics

Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics. II Strategic Calculus: Getting the Ship of State Out of the Harbor. III 1 Modeling Political Behavior. III 2 Scenario Evolution. IV 2 Constructing Complexity Theory for International Relations. IV 3 Complexity Classes and Financial Crises. IV 1 Selection Pressure. V 1 Fixes that Fail. V 2 Shifting the Burden. V 3 Accidental Adversaries. VI Health of the Global Political System. VI 1 Global Political Health Overview. Dynamics: The Second Lens.

2

IV. Complexity | Analyzing the Future

https://futuremethods.wordpress.com/complexity

Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics. II Strategic Calculus: Getting the Ship of State Out of the Harbor. III 1 Modeling Political Behavior. III 2 Scenario Evolution. IV 2 Constructing Complexity Theory for International Relations. IV 3 Complexity Classes and Financial Crises. IV 1 Selection Pressure. V 1 Fixes that Fail. V 2 Shifting the Burden. V 3 Accidental Adversaries. VI Health of the Global Political System. VI 1 Global Political Health Overview. The conventional perspective...

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V. 2. Shifting the Burden | Analyzing the Future

https://futuremethods.wordpress.com/v-system-dynamics/burden-shifting

Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics. II Strategic Calculus: Getting the Ship of State Out of the Harbor. III 1 Modeling Political Behavior. III 2 Scenario Evolution. IV 2 Constructing Complexity Theory for International Relations. IV 3 Complexity Classes and Financial Crises. IV 1 Selection Pressure. V 1 Fixes that Fail. V 2 Shifting the Burden. V 3 Accidental Adversaries. VI Health of the Global Political System. VI 1 Global Political Health Overview. V 2 Shifting the Burden.

4

VI. Health of the Global Political System | Analyzing the Future

https://futuremethods.wordpress.com/v-health-of-the-global-political-system

Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics. II Strategic Calculus: Getting the Ship of State Out of the Harbor. III 1 Modeling Political Behavior. III 2 Scenario Evolution. IV 2 Constructing Complexity Theory for International Relations. IV 3 Complexity Classes and Financial Crises. IV 1 Selection Pressure. V 1 Fixes that Fail. V 2 Shifting the Burden. V 3 Accidental Adversaries. VI Health of the Global Political System. VI 1 Global Political Health Overview. I3 Oligarchy or Democracy?

5

Integrating System Dynamics and Complex-Adaptive Systems Analysis | Analyzing the Future

https://futuremethods.wordpress.com/vii-understanding-world-affairs/integrating-system-dynamics-and-complex-adaptive-systems-analysis

Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics. II Strategic Calculus: Getting the Ship of State Out of the Harbor. III 1 Modeling Political Behavior. III 2 Scenario Evolution. IV 2 Constructing Complexity Theory for International Relations. IV 3 Complexity Classes and Financial Crises. IV 1 Selection Pressure. V 1 Fixes that Fail. V 2 Shifting the Burden. V 3 Accidental Adversaries. VI Health of the Global Political System. VI 1 Global Political Health Overview. Leave a Reply Cancel reply.

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Anticipating a Fruitful Relationship With Iran | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/2015/07/28/anticipating-a-fruitful-relationship-with-iran

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. Moscow’s Mideast Opportunity →. Anticipating a Fruitful Relationship With Iran. Iran will always want an independent foreign policy. Don’t we all? Mideast expert Juan Cole has neatly captured the Mideast context at the moment:. Given this concise summation as the starting point, how should Americans view the emergence of Iran, assuming maintenance of the new nuclear accord, as a rising Mideast power? US decision-makers have many serious Mideast issue...

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Turkish Democracy at Tipping Point | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/2015/06/30/turkish-democracy-at-tipping-point

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. Syrian Kurds: A Losing Strategy to Avoid. Turkey’s Palestinians →. Turkish Democracy at Tipping Point. Erdogan, the Mideastern leader who achieved regional preeminence by his good neighbor policy and policy of treating domestic Kurds with a greater measure of justice, has now asserted the right to deny statehood to Syrian Kurds. It reminds one of nothing so much as the Israeli assertion of the “right” to deny statehood to Palestinians. Consider a mul...

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Mideast Taboos Crumbling | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/2015/08/13/mideast-taboos-crumbling

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. The Theory of Intervention in a Complex World. Corrupt Financial System Building Up for a New Crash →. Obama is knocking down Mideast taboos, making the resolution of all problems a little easier and the world a little safer. Meanwhile, certain senators play for the Likudnik gallery at the expense of U.S. national security, while the Republicans stand like deer in the electoral headlights. The Islamic State, recognizing that any Turkish-Iranian accor...

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U.S. Governance | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/u-s-governance

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. Key sections from selected posts on U.S. governance are collected on this page. Corporate Subversion of Democracy. You elected those politicians to represent you. Are they, or are they perhaps colluding to enrich themselves by creating a corporate state or, even worse, a fascist state? One of the best clues to this shadowy operation is government facilitation of corporate corruption. A particularly pernicious form of corporatism. The most significant...

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Turkey’s Palestinians | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/2015/07/27/turkeys-palestinians

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. Turkish Democracy at Tipping Point. Anticipating a Fruitful Relationship With Iran →. After 70 years of repression by Israel, Palestinians continue to struggle for freedom and continue to constitute Israel’s core problem, Israeli repression warping Israeli social values, endangering its security, undermining its economy. Is this stellar example of self-defeating behavior the future for Turkey? Is Erdogan really following Israel’s lead? A no-fly zone ...

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Moscow’s Mideast Opportunity | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/2015/07/30/moscows-mideast-opportunity

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. Anticipating a Fruitful Relationship With Iran. US-Iranian Shared Interests →. Washington has undermined its own position in Syria by essentially giving Erdogan control over U.S. strategy, which offers Moscow the opportunity to use its Shi’i contacts to offer Washington a deal it cannot refuse. Now, we come to the hard part. In order for this to work, Tehran must do some really creative strategic thinking and decide whether or not a Syrian deal t...

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Shadowed Forest of World Politics | William deB. Mills | Page 2

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/page/2

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. Newer posts →. He sneers at women; he sneers at various ethnic groups; he admires a Russian dictator (perhaps he thinks Russia under ex-KGB official Putin is a democracy with controlled elections and would like the same in the U.S.); he sneers at his employees; he thinks cheating the 99% with a manufactured recession to enrich billionaires is “business;” and he cheats the nation by not paying taxes. By William deB. Mills •. Liar, Liar…. The great Ame...

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Conflict With Iran | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/conflict-with-iran

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. It seems only reasonable that anyone advocating a war of aggression against. A country that is not attacking us, provide answers to the following basic questions:. Policy Make Theoretical Sense? Really on Our Side? 5) Is Iran Being Isolated? 6) What Are the War Party’s Real Goals? 7) Who Is to Blame? Thinking Through the “Peace” After an Israeli Attack on Iran. A Smarter Iran Policy. Skill, patience, consistency, logic, and understanding go a long wa...

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The Theory of Intervention in a Complex World | Shadowed Forest of World Politics

https://shadowedforest1000.wordpress.com/2015/08/04/the-theory-of-intervention-in-a-complex-world

Shadowed Forest of World Politics. William deB. Mills. Mideast Taboos Crumbling →. The Theory of Intervention in a Complex World. Culture, ethnicity, self-identityeven if all the interacting facets of society were fixed, we could hardly unravel social impulses and taboos. Wait, you interrupt, culture changes so slowly as to be effectively fixed, and obviously ethnicity is fixed. Culture changes slowly? Nonetheless, logical or not, the social features impact life and death decisions. There is no language ...

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Analyzing the Future | Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics

Research methods for analyzing the future of world politics. II Strategic Calculus: Getting the Ship of State Out of the Harbor. III 1 Modeling Political Behavior. III 2 Scenario Evolution. IV 2 Constructing Complexity Theory for International Relations. IV 3 Complexity Classes and Financial Crises. IV 1 Selection Pressure. V 1 Fixes that Fail. V 2 Shifting the Burden. V 3 Accidental Adversaries. VI Health of the Global Political System. VI 1 Global Political Health Overview. Feel free to browse or try a...

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