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geekLections

Over the next few weeks I will be analysing the Victorian State Election, which will be held on the 29th of November, 2014. The geekLections focus will be on the Upper House (Regions), where Group Voting Tickets (GVTs) may play a significant role in the house compositions. 2014 Victorian Regions (Upper House) Election ». Victorian Election Site Up. 2:33pm November 11th, 2014 2014 VIC Election Upper House Regions. The Victorian site is now live. I will include GVT analysis once they become available.

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geekLections | geeklections.com.au Reviews

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Over the next few weeks I will be analysing the Victorian State Election, which will be held on the 29th of November, 2014. The geekLections focus will be on the Upper House (Regions), where Group Voting Tickets (GVTs) may play a significant role in the house compositions. 2014 Victorian Regions (Upper House) Election ». Victorian Election Site Up. 2:33pm November 11th, 2014 2014 VIC Election Upper House Regions. The Victorian site is now live. I will include GVT analysis once they become available.

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6 upper house

7 live estimates

8 eastern metropolitan region

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geekLections | geeklections.com.au Reviews

https://geeklections.com.au

Over the next few weeks I will be analysing the Victorian State Election, which will be held on the 29th of November, 2014. The geekLections focus will be on the Upper House (Regions), where Group Voting Tickets (GVTs) may play a significant role in the house compositions. 2014 Victorian Regions (Upper House) Election ». Victorian Election Site Up. 2:33pm November 11th, 2014 2014 VIC Election Upper House Regions. The Victorian site is now live. I will include GVT analysis once they become available.

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blog.geeklections.com.au

geekLections

July 3, 2016 07:35 Federal 2016 Senate. So, what are the probabilities of each of the parties getting a certain number of seats? I’m glad you asked:. July 2, 2016 05:00 Federal 2016 Senate. June 30, 2016 14:01 Federal 2016 Senate. June 30, 2016 12:24 Federal 2016 Senate. The final state we’re looking at is Western Australia, and it’s a bit of a doozy. June 30, 2016 08:24 Federal 2016 Senate. June 30, 2016 05:05 Federal 2016 Senate. June 30, 2016 00:50 Federal 2016 Senate. Lazy, or Dedicated? May 1, 2016 ...

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geeklections.com.au

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geekLections | 2014 Victorian Election | Northern Victoria Region

https://www.geeklections.com.au//2014-vic-election/uh-pre-nvr.html

The graphs below serve as an estimate of the possible outcomes for the upper house election in this region. These numbers are based on the 2010 results, adjusted to account for state wide swings through polling, as well as estimations of minor party performance based on the 2013 Senate Election in Victoria. Pre-Election Breakdown and Analysis. The tipping point for ACA is 4.15% of the vote. This is definitely achievable given the results in the area from the previous Victorian State Election, how...Defin...

2

geekLections | 2014 Victorian Election | South-Eastern Metropolitan Region

https://www.geeklections.com.au//2014-vic-election/uh-pre-semr.html

The graphs below serve as an estimate of the possible outcomes for the upper house election in this region. These numbers are based on the 2010 results, adjusted to account for state wide swings through polling, as well as estimations of minor party performance based on the 2013 Senate Election in Victoria. Pre-Election Breakdown and Analysis. The first two graphs show each of the parties' (LDP and PUP respectively) chances, and none are particularly good without a large primary vote. And a large pri...

3

geekLections | Code

https://www.geeklections.com.au/code.html

The GitHub associated with this page can be found here. I’ve uploaded all of the code I use for my electoral analysis so that any interested psephologists have tools to begin analysing races around the world. To that end, all code is freely available for personal use. However, if you use or modify my code and wish to use it or its results in public (on a blog or Facebook, Google etc.), I ask that you reference gL and link to this website ( www.geeklections.com.au.

4

geekLections | 2014 Victorian Election | Northern Metropolitan Region

https://www.geeklections.com.au//2014-vic-election/uh-pre-nmr.html

The graphs below serve as an estimate of the possible outcomes for the upper house election in this region. These numbers are based on the 2010 results, adjusted to account for state wide swings through polling, as well as estimations of minor party performance based on the 2013 Senate Election in Victoria. Pre-Election Breakdown and Analysis. The tipping point for ASXP is about 2.83% of the vote, while FFP requires quite a bit more at over 4% of the primary vote. Of the two parties ASXP is vastl...

5

geekLections | 2014 Victorian Election | Western Metropolitan Region

https://www.geeklections.com.au//2014-vic-election/uh-pre-wmr.html

The graphs below serve as an estimate of the possible outcomes for the upper house election in this region. These numbers are based on the 2010 results, adjusted to account for state wide swings through polling, as well as estimations of minor party performance based on the 2013 Senate Election in Victoria. Pre-Election Breakdown and Analysis. This is an incredibly outside chance for each of these two parties. The DLP has a more favourable chance, but without a strong primary vote the only way to get...

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tallyroom.com.au

Canning by-election guide posted

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/26495

Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. Canning by-election guide posted. Posted on August 3, 2015. Federal Liberal MP Don Randall passed away during July, triggering a by-election for his seat of Canning. The by-election date has not been set, but it is expected to be held in late 2015 – likely in September or October. At the moment, no candidates have been announced. You can read the guide here. Comments are closed. You will not be able to post a comment in this post. Blacktown counci...

tallyroom.com.au

Tag Archives: Electoral reform

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/tag/electoral-reform

Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. Don’t like senators winning with 77 primary votes? Here’s how to fix it. Posted on August 6, 2016. There’s been a lot of attention over the last few days on the newly elected One Nation senator from Queensland, Malcolm Roberts. His election was a bit of a surprise, whereas we were confident that Pauline Hanson would win her seat, and her two other Senate colleagues were predicted as likely to win since election night. Posted on April 22, 2016.

tallyroom.com.au

Support The Tally Room

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/donate

Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. Support The Tally Room. The Tally Room is run entirely in my spare time – I don’t have any backers, and I need to fit it in around my day work. Your financial support allows me to produce detailed and informative guides to each major election in Australia and New Zealand. Become a regular financial supporter. Basic Subscription : $5.00 AUD – monthly. Keen Subscription : $20.00 AUD – monthly. Major Sponsor : $60.00 AUD – monthly. When can I cancel ...

tallyroom.com.au

Senate reform – questions that need answering

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/26383

Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. Senate reform – questions that need answering. Posted on May 14, 2015. Two weeks ago I wrote a piece for the Guardian. Putting the case for reform to the system of Senate group voting tickets, in response to a number of pieces arguing against reform on the basis of who is for the reform, or who supposedly will be favoured. Antony Green has previously conducted an analysis. While it looks like the Coalition would have been the chief beneficiary of ...

tallyroom.com.au

Maps

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/maps

Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. I’ve uploaded a series of my Google Earth electoral maps I have produced. Download these files and open them in Google Earth to view them. I have now completed a tutorial. Showing how you can customise these maps to make your own maps using Google Earth. If you think these maps are worth money you’d be willing to pay, please consider sending a donation, or subscribing with a small monthly donation. This work by Ben Raue. New South Wales Wards 2008.

tallyroom.com.au

Tag Archives: By-election

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/tag/by-election

Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. Polwarth and South-West Coast by-elections. Posted on October 31, 2015. 8211; The Liberal Party looks set to retain both seats. At the moment they are on 47.7% in Polwarth, which should easily be enough. In South-West Coast they are on 36%, but with ex-Labor candidate Roy Reekie second on 17.7% ahead of the Country Party and the Nationals. This should also be enough. North Sydney by-election – December 5. Posted on October 30, 2015. Napthine&#8217...

tallyroom.com.au

Tag Archives: Western Australia

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/tag/western-australia

Elections and politics in Australia and around the world. NSW and WA redistributions – updated maps. Posted on January 20, 2016. We are now nearing the end of the federal redistribution process which precedes the next federal election. We had redistributions in New South Wales, Western Australia and the Australian Capital Territory. Download the NSW final-ish electoral map. Download the WA final electoral map. Download the ACT final electoral map. Read the rest of this entry ». Posted on December 13, 2015.

caseybriggs.com

Comments and analysis on Legislative Council preferencing — Casey Briggs

http://www.caseybriggs.com/blog/2014/2/28/9ykusnpw9hzym00wsj02hoqs38wim5

Comments and analysis on Legislative Council preferencing. February 28, 2014. Voting tickets for the 2014 Legislative Council election in South Australia have been released. You can see my summary of the full detail of the tickets here. In this post I attempt to analyse the key preferences, and at the end I will hypothesise about what the final results could be. The Least Preferenced Group (or, the most preferenced. The ALP is preferenced last, and the Greens second last. Liberal Party preferences flow f...

caseybriggs.com

SA Legislative Council election ballot draw — Casey Briggs

http://www.caseybriggs.com/blog/2014/2/25/sa-legislative-council-election-ballot-draw

SA Legislative Council election ballot draw. February 25, 2014. Photos from the ballot draw for the 2014 election of the SA Legislative Council Election. Larr; SA Legislative Council Voting Tickets. Review: The Sheds →. One Seat, Two Seat, Red Seat, Blue Seat. About a year ago. How often do leaders of government change? About 2 years ago. The 2014 Hottest 100, by the numbers. About 2 years ago. Sharing The Agenda: Stephen Mayne on AGM Season 2014. About 2 years ago. About 2 years ago. About 52 minutes ago.

caseybriggs.com

The 2014 Hottest 100, by the numbers — Casey Briggs

http://www.caseybriggs.com/blog/2015/1/26/the-2014-hottest-100-by-the-numbers

The 2014 Hottest 100, by the numbers. January 26, 2015. There are no doubt going to be lots of conversations and think-pieces about the Hottest 100 in the coming days and weeks. Here are some statistics that you might find interesting and/or useful about the gender balance and country of songs in the countdown. I've also included a look at how accurate the predictions from @socialhottest were. I've done something similar to this before, for the Hottest 100 of the Last 20 Years. Women in the Hottest 100.

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geeklections.com.au

geekLections

Over the next few weeks I will be analysing the Victorian State Election, which will be held on the 29th of November, 2014. The geekLections focus will be on the Upper House (Regions), where Group Voting Tickets (GVTs) may play a significant role in the house compositions. 2014 Victorian Regions (Upper House) Election ». Victorian Election Site Up. 2:33pm November 11th, 2014 2014 VIC Election Upper House Regions. The Victorian site is now live. I will include GVT analysis once they become available.

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