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Welcome to the Good Judgment Project

The Good Judgment Project ™. Want to test your forecasting skills? Although the current tournament has ended, a new public forecasting tournament will begin this fall. This tournament is being organized by Good Judgment, Inc., a commercial spinoff of the Good Judgment Project. Click here to sign up. HARNESSING THE WISDOM OF THE CROWD TO FORECAST WORLD EVENTS. Read more about the IARPA Ace Project. If I were President Obama or John Kerry, I’d want the [Good Judgment Project] predictions on my desk.".

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Welcome to the Good Judgment Project | goodjudgmentproject.com Reviews
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The Good Judgment Project ™. Want to test your forecasting skills? Although the current tournament has ended, a new public forecasting tournament will begin this fall. This tournament is being organized by Good Judgment, Inc., a commercial spinoff of the Good Judgment Project. Click here to sign up. HARNESSING THE WISDOM OF THE CROWD TO FORECAST WORLD EVENTS. Read more about the IARPA Ace Project. If I were President Obama or John Kerry, I’d want the [Good Judgment Project] predictions on my desk..
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1 press
2 michael peck
3 team leaders
4 phil tetlock
5 co leader
6 tetlock
7 barb mellers
8 mellers
9 don moore
10 moore
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press,michael peck,team leaders,phil tetlock,co leader,tetlock,barb mellers,mellers,don moore,moore,home the project,the team,project blog
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Welcome to the Good Judgment Project | goodjudgmentproject.com Reviews

https://goodjudgmentproject.com

The Good Judgment Project ™. Want to test your forecasting skills? Although the current tournament has ended, a new public forecasting tournament will begin this fall. This tournament is being organized by Good Judgment, Inc., a commercial spinoff of the Good Judgment Project. Click here to sign up. HARNESSING THE WISDOM OF THE CROWD TO FORECAST WORLD EVENTS. Read more about the IARPA Ace Project. If I were President Obama or John Kerry, I’d want the [Good Judgment Project] predictions on my desk.".

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Wednesday, April 8, 2015. Brother, Can You Spare a Dork Dollar? In 1906 a British statistician named Francis Galton. Yet, when Galton totaled the guesses and divided by 800, he found that the statistical mean of the guesses was within one percent of the actual weight of the ox. Nobody in the crowd knew the weight of the ox, but the crowd as a whole was remarkably precise in their estimate. (The ox weighed 1198 pounds—the average guess was 1207 pounds.). In which he collects predictions about specific geo...

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Happy is he, who speculates about the causes of things. Skip to primary content. Superforecasting by the seaside. August 21, 2014. I’m back now from a very stimulating and enjoyable weekend at the Good Judgement Project’s conference for Superforecasters participating in the IARPA ACE program. If none of that means anything here’s an explanation of each term from largest to smallest:. IARPA has a program called ACE (Aggregative Content Estimation). The Good Judgement Project. Is one such group competing i...

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History, policy, higher education and public life. History, Policy and Public Purpose Historians and Historical Thinking in Government History and Policy. Reblogging here my post from History and Policy #HistoriansBooks section. 8211; and please see details of a mini symposium and book launch on 24th June below…. But can we define the history gap as just an issue of communication and translation? History, Policy and Public Purpose. Thinking with history in policy. Rather than one focused only on bringing...

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Berlin and Chicago Workshops:. Good Judgment’s co-founder Philip Tetlock literally wrote the book on state-of-the-art crowd-sourced forecasting. Now, the training, techniques, and talent that helped the Good Judgment Project win a massive government-sponsored forecasting competition can help your organization. In-person workshops accelerate learning through interactive sessions, led by professional Superforecasters, in which participants practice Superforecasting skills in small groups. Does uncertainty ...

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Welcome to the Good Judgment Project

The Good Judgment Project ™. Want to test your forecasting skills? Although the current tournament has ended, a new public forecasting tournament will begin this fall. This tournament is being organized by Good Judgment, Inc., a commercial spinoff of the Good Judgment Project. Click here to sign up. HARNESSING THE WISDOM OF THE CROWD TO FORECAST WORLD EVENTS. Read more about the IARPA Ace Project. If I were President Obama or John Kerry, I’d want the [Good Judgment Project] predictions on my desk.".

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