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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: July 2014

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Sunday, July 6, 2014. How much cash is too much? On May 22nd 2013, the then Chairman of the Fed, Ben Bernanke, announced plans to steadily reduce the monthly asset purchase programme known as QE. At that stage, the Fed was purchasing around $70bn a month of various asset back securities. That day, US Treasury yields spiked from 1.94% to 2.03%, whilst Japanese JGB's also shot up. Although the economy will be deemed robust enough to bear the increas...

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: May 2014

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Friday, May 9, 2014. The three wheels on the tricycle. We were sitting in our investment meeting this week, with discussion focusing on global market valuations, geo-political tensions about Ukraine, central bank policy on the US, UK, Eurozone and Japan and consequent asset allocation implications. Stirring stuff, I'm sure you'll agree. Is it time to get similarly excited about Asian and EM markets? E-mail: steve.davies@javelinwealth.com. Promote ...

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: January 2015

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Thursday, January 22, 2015. The only game in town. Yesterday’s price action confirms this with EUROSTOXX Index up 1.7%, Spanish 10Y bonds gaining 14bps and the Euro -1.9% against the USD. We’ve been pointedly underweight European markets for a while now, but there are 4 developing reasons – independent of yesterday’s ECB move - for being less underweight European equities:. Short-term, the EU economy will remain feeble, deflation fears will contin...

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: April 2014

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Monday, April 14, 2014. The story so far. The first quarter of 2014 saw most of the developed markets looking a little nervous, but with the beginnings of a rally in Asian and EM equities (after a long period of relative underperformance), and a fairly robust outcome for fixed income investments (which also lagged badly in 2013). 8220;The U.S. economy is still considerably short of the two goals assigned to the Federal Reserve by the Congr...So th...

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: July 2015

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Thursday, July 30, 2015. However, given that foreigners are heavily restricted in their access to the A share market and given that they tend to avoid the types of shares that Chinese retail punters like to buy so heavily on margin, and which have been sold off so aggressively, does it really matter? It is clear that investing in China brings both risks and opportunities. It's for this reason that most foreign investors focus on the bigger picture...

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: January 2014

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Tuesday, January 28, 2014. Two views for Fourteen. The long-held mutually opposed views on markets renewed their combat in January: this time the bears seem to have taken control of the megaphone. Both need to raise nominal interest rates to offset current headline inflation. So any tremors from Argentina or Turkey are likely to eventually be contained, at least after the crises have first played themselves through. However, more broadly, accordin...

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: August 2014

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Thursday, August 14, 2014. The effect on markets was clear, since these were. Still dominated by the growth drivers of old - banks, property companies and state owned enterprises - where the problems of excess capacity were most acute. Conversely,. Those areas in which growth was still respectable were under-represented, and thefore difficult to invest in. Again, this seems counter-intuitive, since over the same period, the Developed Markets are d...

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary: June 2015

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JavBlog: Javelin Wealth Management Investment Commentary. Tuesday, June 16, 2015. What if Greece defaults? T he Wikipedia entry for a Pyrrhic victory. That inflicts such a devastating toll on the victor that it is tantamount to defeat". The collision of opposing interests between a Greek government (which possesses a popular mandate to push back against more austerity), and its creditors (who want to assurances that their loans will be repaid) seem likely to result in just such an outcome. However, a col...