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Land of Black GoldSpeculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications.
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Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications.
http://lobg2.blogspot.com/
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Land of Black Gold | lobg2.blogspot.com Reviews
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Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications.
lobg2.blogspot.com
Land of Black Gold: The Panic of 2008 bottoms on Oct 14-15?
http://lobg2.blogspot.com/2008/10/panic-of-2008-bottoms-on-oct-14-15.html
Land of Black Gold. Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications. Monday, October 06, 2008. The Panic of 2008 bottoms on Oct 14-15? I see that Barry Ritholtz has come up with. The moniker of "The Great Financial Crisis of 2008", but I personally like "The Panic of 2008" a bit better. I highlight here a recent video from Charles Nenner, who makes market predictions based on history and studying various cycles. Why highlight Charles Nenner?
Land of Black Gold: Fear and Loathing in Closed End Funds.
http://lobg2.blogspot.com/2008/10/fear-and-loathing-in-closed-end-funds.html
Land of Black Gold. Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications. Sunday, October 26, 2008. Fear and Loathing in Closed End Funds. It's interesting to look at the premiums/discounts that closed end funds have traded at over time. Sometimes it can identify an extreme in market emotion that could signal a panic bottom. Premium/Discount from Net Asset Value on Selected Closed End Funds. BDV = Blackrock Dividend Achievers. BGR = Blackrock Global Energy.
Land of Black Gold: As the World Cools.
http://lobg2.blogspot.com/2008/08/as-world-cools.html
Land of Black Gold. Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications. Thursday, August 21, 2008. As the World Cools. There are scientists who are raising questions about the longer term solar cycle, suggesting that perhaps we are in for a lull in sunspots, and a bout of long term cooler weather. Some have pointed to the example of the Maunder minimum. Http:/ en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder minimum. Http:/ www.spaceweather.com/. Http:/ uk.news.yahoo.com/rt...Http:/ ne...
Land of Black Gold: Prisoners of the Sun II.
http://lobg2.blogspot.com/2008/04/prisoners-of-sun-ii.html
Land of Black Gold. Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications. Thursday, April 24, 2008. Prisoners of the Sun II. Investor's Business Daily: See Gore, See Spot. A former NASA astronaut says the same solar phenomenon that doomed Napoleon's army may soon stop Al Gore's march to glory cold. Prepare for the big chill. This is more than a historical footnote. The same pattern of solar activity that doomed Napoleon is occurring as we speak. The sun goes through a ...
Land of Black Gold: Bill and Warren's Excellent Alberta Adventure.
http://lobg2.blogspot.com/2008/08/bill-and-warrens-excellent-alberta.html
Land of Black Gold. Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications. Thursday, August 21, 2008. Bill and Warren's Excellent Alberta Adventure. The classic oil sands stock is Suncor, SU, but Bill Gates and Warren Buffett took a tour of the latest oil sands project, the Horizon project by Canadian Natural Resources, CNQ. Other oil sands names include:. Canadian Oil Sands COSWF. I'm looking forward to see what Warren Buffett has to say in his CNBC interview on Friday.
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investorintelligence.blogspot.com
Investor Intelligence: August 2005
http://investorintelligence.blogspot.com/2005_08_01_archive.html
Saturday, August 20, 2005. On longs and potential longs. Int'l Game Tech (IGT) - already have a pretty big position here. Don't expect a move outside of the $25-$30 range for at least next 6 months. See great opportunity here for gaming expansion in 2006-10 plus potential from next round of slot upgrades (server based gaming). In the 24's, I'll likely pick up a bit more. Pepsico (PEP)- recently been taking a look at PEP. Pepsi carbonated soft drink (CSD) only part of the story. Frito-Lay snacks m...CR Ba...
investorintelligence.blogspot.com
Investor Intelligence: September 2005
http://investorintelligence.blogspot.com/2005_09_01_archive.html
Monday, September 26, 2005. An insurance holding co. that's a bit under the radar - White Mountains (WTM). White Mountains is a new stock that's made my watch list. Share price is $627, market cap about $7 billion. 1.3% dividend yield. Pretty chart. Stood at $91 at yr. end 1995 and $360 in 2004. WTM is divided into 4 major segments. I recommend reading this 2004 Management Report. What would I pay for WTM? Posted by BTS at 6:34 PM. Respect to Neil - 2 IGT notes. That IGT gave at a BoA conf. I suggest you...
investorintelligence.blogspot.com
Investor Intelligence: April 2005
http://investorintelligence.blogspot.com/2005_04_01_archive.html
Saturday, April 30, 2005. A few shorts on the radar. If the market manages any kind of bounce in May-June (and these names continue to rally), I'll look to short Sears (SHLD) and Priceline (PCLN). On SHLD, I'm looking at a $150-$155 short price and on PCLN, something around $30. Posted by BTS at 5:50 PM. Nic Inc. (EGOV) WHAT! EGOV was supposed to report last week but instead decided to act like a bunch of buffoons and delay the CC on the day of the CC. And some encouraging comments from Stifel here.
investorintelligence.blogspot.com
Investor Intelligence: October 2005
http://investorintelligence.blogspot.com/2005_10_01_archive.html
Sunday, October 30, 2005. PeopleSupport (PSPT) Q3 review. After listening to the PSPT cc, I remain in the bullish camp. My notes are below. If you see any inaccuracies, please leave a comment at the bottom of this post. 163 million in revs, up 37% yoy and 11% seq. 16% operating margin (I believe this is pro-forma, ex-MIPS, stock option expense). 50 million in cash. Q4 is a seasonally weaker period for PSPT. Client concentration: Top 3 last year were 69% of revs, now they are 60% of revs. As a top 5 client.
investorintelligence.blogspot.com
Investor Intelligence: March 2005
http://investorintelligence.blogspot.com/2005_03_01_archive.html
Thursday, March 31, 2005. On the U.S. savings situation. Well-worth 5 or 10 minutes of your time. Posted by BTS at 6:41 PM. Wednesday, March 30, 2005. Energy Stocks- E&P and Oil Services (sorry about the formatting). I consider myself a long-term bull on the energy sector. Right now, my. Only position is in APA (an E&P co.) but I also like XTO (E&P) and. Schlumberger (SLB) on the oil-services side. In terms of Apache (APA),. I see them ending this year with $6 in earnings and $12 in OCF/S. I like. Should...
investorintelligence.blogspot.com
Investor Intelligence: July 2005
http://investorintelligence.blogspot.com/2005_07_01_archive.html
Saturday, July 30, 2005. A new long position! I picked up some shares of Aptimus (APTM) last week in the $17's. The co. reported. On Thursday and took down 2005 guidance pretty significantly and finished the week at $15.99. Note that APTM is a microcap stock (market cap $100 million) and avg. daily volume is around 30,000 shares. This isn't SONT type speculation but it is speculation nontheless. Posted by BTS at 12:30 PM. Jeffries on the IGT quarter. Co guides to $100 million per quarter in buybacks.
investorintelligence.blogspot.com
Investor Intelligence: May 2005
http://investorintelligence.blogspot.com/2005_05_01_archive.html
Monday, May 30, 2005. A potential short - Restoration Hardware (RSTO). The DTC channel has perfomed very well over the past few years. As a % to total revenues, this segment has improved from 11% in FY02 to 23% in FY04. In it's most recent Q, the DTC % to total moved to 28%. SSS Growth of 5-8% over the past 3 fiscal years. Insider Glenn Krevlin bought a ton of shares about two months ago at $5.72-$6.05. Low interest rates, housing boom, re-fi's, home equity extraction. Consensus right now pegs 2005 eps a...
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Land of Black Gold
Land of Black Gold. Speculations on oil, peak oil theory, energy in general, and the investment implications. Sunday, October 11, 2009. Not to put too fine a point on it. Re: my last point about there being enough natural gas to help mitigate the most serious impacts from oil peaking. There are issues with this (see bottom), but I'm confident we won't be suffering a "die off", to quote one of the more extreme peak oil sites. BP sees possibility of 100 more years of natural gas. And big gas exporters note...
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