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Risk management and modelling - Louise Pryor

Risk management and modelling. I also advise on the practical effects of climate change. What are the possible effects on your organisation? On its operations, customers and suppliers? How likely are they, and what possibilities are there for mitigating them? Or even taking advantage of them? I know about modelling. Does your model do what it should? Come to that, what should it be doing? What about the systems and controls for developing and using it? Model design and development. Is a web-based tool th...

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Risk management and modelling - Louise Pryor | louisepryor.com Reviews

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Risk management and modelling. I also advise on the practical effects of climate change. What are the possible effects on your organisation? On its operations, customers and suppliers? How likely are they, and what possibilities are there for mitigating them? Or even taking advantage of them? I know about modelling. Does your model do what it should? Come to that, what should it be doing? What about the systems and controls for developing and using it? Model design and development. Is a web-based tool th...

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Risk management and modelling - Louise Pryor | louisepryor.com Reviews

https://louisepryor.com

Risk management and modelling. I also advise on the practical effects of climate change. What are the possible effects on your organisation? On its operations, customers and suppliers? How likely are they, and what possibilities are there for mitigating them? Or even taking advantage of them? I know about modelling. Does your model do what it should? Come to that, what should it be doing? What about the systems and controls for developing and using it? Model design and development. Is a web-based tool th...

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louisepryor.com

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A really old spreadsheet - Louise Pryor

https://www.louisepryor.com/2014/12/16/really-old-spreadsheet

Lsaquo; It’s all biblical. Fourier and McCartney ›. A really old spreadsheet. There’s a lovely piece in Pieria. About a data visualisation exhibition at the British Library, positing John Graunt’s analysis of London deaths as an early spreadsheet. And yes, there were some errors in it. Comments feed for this article. Trackback link: http:/ www.louisepryor.com/2014/12/16/really-old-spreadsheet/trackback/. Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *. You may use these.

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Fourier and McCartney - Louise Pryor

https://www.louisepryor.com/2014/12/17/fourier-mccartney

Lsaquo; A really old spreadsheet. Is it harder than physics? Here’s a long but fascinating post. On deciphering the opening chord in A Hard Day’s Night. Along the way it gives a good explanation of Fourier transforms for the non-mathematician. Harrison (electric 12 string guitar): A2 A3, D3 D4, G3 G4, C4 C4. McCartney (electric bass guitar): D3. Lennon (acoustic 6 string guitar): C5. Martin (piano): D3 F3 D5 G5 E6. But why would Lennon play only one note? There’s lots of other interesting stuff in ...

3

The limits of models - Louise Pryor

https://www.louisepryor.com/2015/02/17/the-limits-of-models

Lsaquo; The Conservatives and climate change. The two worlds meet… ›. The limits of models. John Kay has an excellent piece in the FT. About the limits of risk models. As he points out, they are no use for risks that they don’t model. In particular, if they are modelling financial risks, and are calibrated using recent data, they are no use at all for modelling major phase changes. As Kay puts it,. Comments feed for this article. Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *.

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Past performance is not a good guide to future performance - Louise Pryor

https://www.louisepryor.com/2015/01/12/past-performance-not-good-guide-future-performance

Lsaquo; Is it harder than physics? Just one number ›. Past performance is not a good guide to future performance. How many times have you seen a standard disclaimer about past performance not being a good guide to the future? And internally nodded wisely, thinking that of course it’s not, the disclaimer is there to warn less sophisticated people than you. How many times have you calibrated a model based on past performance? There’s a really interesting piece by Ian Kelly. Pritchett and Summers demonstrat...

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Is it harder than physics? - Louise Pryor

https://www.louisepryor.com/2015/01/10/1210

Lsaquo; Fourier and McCartney. Past performance is not a good guide to future performance ›. Is it harder than physics? Which is harder to understand, physics or earth system science? Which is more important to get right? Which do film-makers try hardest to get right? Oliver Morton, on his Heliophage blog. Comments feed for this article. Trackback link: http:/ www.louisepryor.com/2015/01/10/1210/trackback/. Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *. You may use these.

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asteria.co.uk

Modelling the uncertainty | Asteria

http://www.asteria.co.uk/modelling-the-uncertainty

As well as modelling the inevitable uncertainty in your business plans. Asteria can also model the complexity. Caused by the interactions of different aspects of your business. Suppose you’re a small start-up, producing your business plan. You’ll make assumptions about things like your initial cash balance, your cost structure, and your sales levels and mix, and end up with something like this picture of your expected cash balance:. Understanding what could actually happen. We can see the initial decline...

cio.com

Eight of the Worst Spreadsheet Blunders | CIO

http://www.cio.com/article/131500/Eight_of_the_Worst_Spreadsheet_Blunders

2016 CIO 100 Winners. State of the CIO. Here are the latest Insider stories. CIO August 2016 Digital Magazine: ERP heads for the cloud. Free course: Responding to Cybersecurity Incidents. 10 content marketing tips for ecommerce success. Review: Chef 12 fires up devops. CIO 100 Symposium and Awards. Eight of the Worst Spreadsheet Blunders. The Business-Savvy Smartphone Review: Nokia E62, BlackBerry Pearl, T-Mobile. 12 Crisis Lessons from India. Use commas to separate multiple email addresses. However, rec...

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Modelling interactions | Asteria

http://www.asteria.co.uk/modelling-interactions

Asteria can model the inevitable uncertainty. In your business plans: it can also model the complexity caused by the interactions of different aspects of your business. Things are never simple. Let’s look at a big ticket software start-up: it sells a sophisticated bleeding-edge technology to large customers. Each sale takes a considerable time to come through, and involves a lot of effort from the sales and engineering teams. In essence, there are a few high value sales with long lead times. Again, the l...

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Simon Carne – Business Consultant » Blog

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Simon Carne – Business Consultant. Consulting plus …. Enter your email address to hear about new posts. UK Human Rights Blog. Simon says …. Simon says …. Since 2009, I have been writing a series of comment pieces for this website. Topics include:. Scroll down for my articles. Sign up here. For updates by Email, Twitter or RSS. Posted: 1 January 2009. Moses and the Culture Secretary. It has been a strange week for those of us who took a keen interest in press regulation as a result of the Leveson Inquiry.

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Risk management and modelling - Louise Pryor

Risk management and modelling. I also advise on the practical effects of climate change. What are the possible effects on your organisation? On its operations, customers and suppliers? How likely are they, and what possibilities are there for mitigating them? Or even taking advantage of them? I know about modelling. Does your model do what it should? Come to that, what should it be doing? What about the systems and controls for developing and using it? Model design and development. Is a web-based tool th...

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