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Looking Aloft

A commentary on weather-related topics by Luke Madaus.

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Looking Aloft | lukemweather.blogspot.com Reviews
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Looking Aloft | lukemweather.blogspot.com Reviews

https://lukemweather.blogspot.com

A commentary on weather-related topics by Luke Madaus.

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1

Looking Aloft: February 2014

http://lukemweather.blogspot.com/2014_02_01_archive.html

Wednesday, February 26, 2014. Finally some rain for California. To illustrate how far below normal the precipitation this year has been, we can look at precipitation since September for several cities in the California central valley. Here's Sacramento:. Note the first low bringing substantial rain to the central California coast and more precipitation to the Sierras. The snowpack will be growing. You can see the next low spinning further off the coast. This is forecast to move in on Friday:. This low lo...

2

Looking Aloft: March 2015

http://lukemweather.blogspot.com/2015_03_01_archive.html

Saturday, March 28, 2015. Who has the better forecast? This week's tornadoes in Oklahoma and Arkansas. Shortly thereafter touting the success of its forecast in the face of the late warning from the National Weather Service. There has been a fair bit of debate in the meteorological community following this direct competitive criticism of the NWS by Accuweather. Several bloggers (such as Jason Samenow at Capital Weather Gang. Dennis Mersereau at The Vane. And Mike Smith at Accuweather. For each city's two...

3

Looking Aloft: May 2015

http://lukemweather.blogspot.com/2015_05_01_archive.html

Tuesday, May 12, 2015. The high desert gets soaked, but not as bad as Oklahoma. After days and days of high-precipitation thunderstorms with embedded tornadoes and large hail, Oklahoma is finally getting a bit of a break. Just how wet was it there? The Oklahoma Mesonet recently published rainfall totals. For the past two weeks. Here's what it looked like:. Needless to say, the latest monthly outlook from the Climate Prediction Center. The light blue line is the normal Snow Water Equivalent, or the mass o...

4

Looking Aloft: November 2013

http://lukemweather.blogspot.com/2013_11_01_archive.html

Wednesday, November 27, 2013. On the origin of the thunderstorm symbol (R). This blog post has a special significance to me, as it is the result of wondering about this for years now and finally getting around to digging in and figuring out the story here. It has to do with the symbol that meteorologists use on weather maps to represent thunderstorms. You may be familiar with this symbol- a stylized "R" shape with an arrow:. However, I have long wondered- -where did this symbol come from? Our attention h...

5

Looking Aloft: El Nino and Precipitation--Depends on Who You Ask

http://lukemweather.blogspot.com/2015/08/el-nino-and-precipitation-depends-on.html

Tuesday, August 4, 2015. El Nino and Precipitation- Depends on Who You Ask. I came across an interesting divergence in opinion on what the impacts of El Nino on wintertime weather here in the Pacific Northwest might be. First, a reminder that El Nino conditions are present in the Pacific Ocean. Here are the latest weekly sea-surface temperatures, with anomalies on the bottom. The next several images are from the Climate Prediction Center's ENSO page. We see that during El Nino years, California has usual...

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Dr Jimmyc: What is a test bed?

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2014/11/what-is-test-bed.html

Saturday, November 22, 2014. What is a test bed? The formal definition from wikipedia: "A platform for experimentation of large development projects.". There are many ways in which testbeds are used, specifically the one I work in. There are 3 ways in which we use it:. 1 The development and deployment of new ideas or products in real-time outside of operations,. 2 Testing the usefulness or goodness of pre-existing ideas or products, and. 3 Setting up an Education/Discussion environment. If you ask me, ou...

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Dr Jimmyc: October 2012

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2012_10_01_archive.html

Saturday, October 27, 2012. An excellent twitter discussion broke out this evening. A quote to consider about public products:. MUCH too much science . And consider that the Impacts might be placed in briefings from last to first, followed by the science for the why of the impacts. Tuesday, October 2, 2012. Bull$hit: The other winter storm. Name it. Alberta Clipper in upstate NY? Houston we have a problem. Did you know that not everyone has a tweety account? I am looking at you Mountains. And if you are ...

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Dr Jimmyc: April 2013

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2013_04_01_archive.html

Friday, April 19, 2013. Yesterday I showed the full period (roughly a day 1 convective outlook) of the SSEO. Since we will test the ensemble at finer time scales, down to 3 hour periods, here are the three 3hr periods under consideration. This first thing you may notice is how circular all the probabilities look due to the use of a gaussian smoother. Thus there are both very few reports and model simulated reports in these areas. There is very little overlap between reports and model reports. Even in soc...

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Dr Jimmyc: February 2015

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2015_02_01_archive.html

Tuesday, February 24, 2015. Today at the Tornado Summit I listened to a number of good talks. The Emergency Management community was well represented by the National Guard, the Healthcare industry, among many others. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). James Correia, Jr. View my complete profile. Living on the Real World. Why Johnny can’t read: and what you can do about it. FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right. Hurricane Hermine Doesn’t Exist Yet, But Experts Are Starting To Worry. Cliff Mass Weather Blog.

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Dr Jimmyc: November 2014

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2014_11_01_archive.html

Saturday, November 22, 2014. What is a test bed? The formal definition from wikipedia: A platform for experimentation of large development projects. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). James Correia, Jr. View my complete profile. Living on the Real World. Why Johnny can’t read: and what you can do about it. FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right. Hurricane Hermine Doesn’t Exist Yet, But Experts Are Starting To Worry. Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. Cliff Mass Weather Blog.

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Dr Jimmyc: December 2014

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2014_12_01_archive.html

Wednesday, December 3, 2014. Simulated Lake Effect Nov 18. Below is an animated gif of the NSSL-WRF forecast from Nov 18, 2014 at 0000 UTC of the 0-3km Updraft helicity (hourly max) during the Lake effect snow event. . Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). James Correia, Jr. View my complete profile. Living on the Real World. Why Johnny can’t read: and what you can do about it. FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right. Hurricane Hermine Doesn’t Exist Yet, But Experts Are Starting To Worry. Cliff Mass Weather Blog.

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Dr Jimmyc: September 2012

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2012_09_01_archive.html

Sunday, September 23, 2012. The Signal and the Noise". The new book by Nate Silver about the statistics involved in making predictions from gambling and stock markets to weather and climate to terrorism was quite good. The perspective that each topic adds is not trivial and the story is layered enough that it binds. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). James Correia, Jr. View my complete profile. Living on the Real World. Why Johnny can’t read: and what you can do about it. FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right.

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Dr Jimmyc: HWT EFP 2015 & recent past

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2015/06/hwt-efp-2015-recent-past.html

Sunday, June 7, 2015. HWT EFP 2015 and recent past. The 2015 HWT Experimental Forecast Program just ended. We didnt have much opportunity to wander the country like we did in the quiet year of 2014, but it looked amazingly like 2013. Here is a brief comparison:. Here is where we operated by centerpoint in 2013:. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). James Correia, Jr. View my complete profile. Living on the Real World. Why Johnny can’t read: and what you can do about it. FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right.

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Dr Jimmyc: December 2012

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2012_12_01_archive.html

Monday, December 31, 2012. I dont wish to rehash too much of the nonsense I have read. I have some things to say:. 1 I believe in gun control. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). James Correia, Jr. View my complete profile. Living on the Real World. Why Johnny can’t read: and what you can do about it. FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right. Hurricane Hermine Doesn’t Exist Yet, But Experts Are Starting To Worry. Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. Evil collaboration between Medtronic and FDA.

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Dr Jimmyc: September 2013

http://drjimmyc.blogspot.com/2013_09_01_archive.html

Monday, September 30, 2013. 160; The Russian proton rocket came roaring back to life after a failed flight previously. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). James Correia, Jr. View my complete profile. Living on the Real World. Why Johnny can’t read: and what you can do about it. FiveThirtyEight: Politics Done Right. Hurricane Hermine Doesn’t Exist Yet, But Experts Are Starting To Worry. Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. Evil collaboration between Medtronic and FDA. Cliff Mass Weather Blog.

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Looking Aloft

Sunday, October 16, 2016. A warm, mixed-out day in Colorado. As I mentioned in my last blog, I've recently moved to Boulder, Colorado. While I'll continue to post about interesting weather tidbits that show up around the world (like last Friday/Saturday's storm in Seattle, which was actually rather well-forecast despite the winds not being as strong as the worst-case scenarios were advertising. See Cliff's blog. And NWS Portland's discussion. But my weather station. Sunrise was around 7:13 AM this mornin...

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