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The MartingaleDevoted to sports ********, rating systems and the maths behind ********.
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Devoted to sports ********, rating systems and the maths behind ********.
martegal.blogspot.com
The Martingale: From the postbag: Doubles
http://martegal.blogspot.com/2007/02/from-postbag-doubles.html
Devoted to sports gambling, rating systems and the maths behind gambling. Thursday, February 1, 2007. From the postbag: Doubles. Of course, Splittter is the only one writing to me at the moment, which makes me feel a bit like Willie Thorne in the Fantasy Football League sketches. Anyway, here is his wisdom:. Your post on doubles has been bugging me since I read it basically because the accepted gambling wisdom is simply "don't do doubles", full stop, no exceptions. yet your maths looked correct. Betting ...
The Martingale: 02/01/2007 - 03/01/2007
http://martegal.blogspot.com/2007_02_01_archive.html
Devoted to sports gambling, rating systems and the maths behind gambling. Tuesday, February 6, 2007. Kelly for the cowardly. Kelly staking is - as we've seen before - the mathematically optimal way to grow your bankroll. It has one glaring problem, though: it's horrifically volatile. Let's imagine we make 100 bets which we know are 50-50 shots but the bookies insist on pricing at 2.10. Our Kelly stake is (po-1)/(o-1) = 4.55%. Is there a way to reduce them? How do you even define that? This is quite restr...
The Martingale: From the postbag: Arbitrage
http://martegal.blogspot.com/2007/01/from-postbag-arbitrage.html
Devoted to sports gambling, rating systems and the maths behind gambling. Tuesday, January 30, 2007. From the postbag: Arbitrage. Alarmingly, my poker-playing friend is quite right. Allow me to thank him for making the first post. Let's say there are two arbitrage situations, one where both bets are value, and one where only one is. Total implied probability: 95.23%. Now let's look at a situation where only one is value:. Total implied probability: 95.72%. The arbitrageur puts GBP1.95 on heads and GB...
The Martingale: Kelly for the cowardly
http://martegal.blogspot.com/2007/02/kelly-for-cowardly.html
Devoted to sports gambling, rating systems and the maths behind gambling. Tuesday, February 6, 2007. Kelly for the cowardly. Kelly staking is - as we've seen before - the mathematically optimal way to grow your bankroll. It has one glaring problem, though: it's horrifically volatile. Let's imagine we make 100 bets which we know are 50-50 shots but the bookies insist on pricing at 2.10. Our Kelly stake is (po-1)/(o-1) = 4.55%. Is there a way to reduce them? How do you even define that? This is quite restr...
The Martingale: Baseball and a toss of the coin
http://martegal.blogspot.com/2007/03/baseball-and-toss-of-coin.html
Devoted to sports gambling, rating systems and the maths behind gambling. Tuesday, March 27, 2007. Baseball and a toss of the coin. It seems the new baseball season is upon us. I wouldn't know this, but for a bunch of people hanging around watching spring training games in the arcade where girlfriend and I regularly play air-hockey. But never one to let a new sport slip by me, especially one so stats-friendly as baseball, I got my head down and did some work. Things get even more incriminating for people...
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The Martingale
Devoted to sports gambling, rating systems and the maths behind gambling. Tuesday, March 27, 2007. Baseball and a toss of the coin. It seems the new baseball season is upon us. I wouldn't know this, but for a bunch of people hanging around watching spring training games in the arcade where girlfriend and I regularly play air-hockey. But never one to let a new sport slip by me, especially one so stats-friendly as baseball, I got my head down and did some work. Things get even more incriminating for people...
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More options ▼. Subscribe to my blog. I'll be up all night, no sleep, cause I feel like I'm always dreaming. Friday, 23 December 2016 at 5:21 AM. Created: 08/04/2013 at 6:48 AM. Updated: Today at 10:49 AM. Einstein à dit un jour :. L'imagination est plus importante que la connaissance, car la connaissance est limitée. Tandis que l'imagination engendre le monde entier. Facebook : La vision d'une myope. The blog's author only accepts comments from Skyrock members. You haven't logged in. The blog's author o...
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