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When will AI arrive? January 2, 2017. From the game of Go to self-driving cars, there is widespread agreement that progress in artificial intelligence has accelerated in recent years. Yet there is remarkably little consensus as to what this progress portends in the coming years or decades. This is especially true of the. In terms of particular questions, the series touches upon labor automation with questions on robots that could replace human fine-motor and general assembly skills. There are a number of...

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METACULUS | metaculus.wordpress.com Reviews

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When will AI arrive? January 2, 2017. From the game of Go to self-driving cars, there is widespread agreement that progress in artificial intelligence has accelerated in recent years. Yet there is remarkably little consensus as to what this progress portends in the coming years or decades. This is especially true of the. In terms of particular questions, the series touches upon labor automation with questions on robots that could replace human fine-motor and general assembly skills. There are a number of...

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METACULUS | metaculus.wordpress.com Reviews

https://metaculus.wordpress.com

When will AI arrive? January 2, 2017. From the game of Go to self-driving cars, there is widespread agreement that progress in artificial intelligence has accelerated in recent years. Yet there is remarkably little consensus as to what this progress portends in the coming years or decades. This is especially true of the. In terms of particular questions, the series touches upon labor automation with questions on robots that could replace human fine-motor and general assembly skills. There are a number of...

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metaculus.wordpress.com

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January | 2017 | METACULUS

https://metaculus.wordpress.com/2017/01

Monthly Archives: January 2017. When will AI arrive? January 2, 2017. From the game of Go to self-driving cars, there is widespread agreement that progress in artificial intelligence has accelerated in recent years. Yet there is remarkably little consensus as to what this progress portends in the coming years or decades. This is especially true of the. Virtual assistant, chatbots, and the like are addressed in questions about a chatbot prize. There are a number of questions about humans vs. AIs in ga...

2

December | 2016 | METACULUS

https://metaculus.wordpress.com/2016/12

Monthly Archives: December 2016. Me-calculus: continuous predictions arrive. December 31, 2016. Although a lot can be learned from asking about whether or not various things will occur in the future, there are many cases where it would be much nicer to predict a. Such as a date by which something happens, or an amount of money, sales, citations, hits, etc., etc. As of now, such questions can be posed on Metaculus. Rather than input a probability of yes, users may now define a. We’re very interested in wh...

3

About Metaculus | METACULUS

https://metaculus.wordpress.com/about

Poses questions about the occurrence of a variety of future events, on many timescales, to a community of participating predictors you! As well as being worthwhile, Metaculus aims to be interesting and fun, while allowing participants to hone their prediction prowess and amass a track-record to prove it. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Address never made public). You are commenting using your Twitter account. ( Log Out.

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When will AI arrive? | METACULUS

https://metaculus.wordpress.com/2017/01/02/when-will-ai-arrive

When will AI arrive? January 2, 2017. From the game of Go to self-driving cars, there is widespread agreement that progress in artificial intelligence has accelerated in recent years. Yet there is remarkably little consensus as to what this progress portends in the coming years or decades. This is especially true of the. In terms of particular questions, the series touches upon labor automation with questions on robots that could replace human fine-motor and general assembly skills. There are a number of...

5

When will AI arrive? | METACULUS

https://metaculus.wordpress.com/2017/01/02/when-will-ai-arrive/comment-page-1

When will AI arrive? January 2, 2017. From the game of Go to self-driving cars, there is widespread agreement that progress in artificial intelligence has accelerated in recent years. Yet there is remarkably little consensus as to what this progress portends in the coming years or decades. This is especially true of the. In terms of particular questions, the series touches upon labor automation with questions on robots that could replace human fine-motor and general assembly skills. There are a number of...

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Player Rankings | Metaculus

https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/rankings

Player scores include points for all questions resolved in the last 30 days. Player scores include points for all questions resolved in the last 3 months. Player scores include points for all questions resolved in the last 6 months. Player scores include points for all questions resolved in the last year.

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Question Categories | Metaculus

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/categories

Cell and Molecular Biology. Ecological and Environmental Biology. General and Other Biological Sciences. Business mergers and acquisitions. AI and Machine Learning. Big Data and Data Science. Human vs AI gaming. General and Other Computing. US state ballot initiatives. General and Other Human Sciences. General and Other Mathematics. Condensed Matter and Materials Science. General and Other Physical Science. General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology. General and Other Technology.

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Help and FAQ | Metaculus

https://www.metaculus.com/help/faq

What is the aim of Metaculus? What sorts of questions are allowed, and what makes a good question? How do a I make a prediction? Can I change it later? What are the "open time", "close time" and "resolve time? Who creates the questions, and who decides which get posted? How can I get my own question posted? Who decides the resolution to a question? Do all questions get resolved? What happens if a question gets resolved in the real world prior to the close time? What are levels and ranks? Like many mental...

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METACULUS

When will AI arrive? January 2, 2017. From the game of Go to self-driving cars, there is widespread agreement that progress in artificial intelligence has accelerated in recent years. Yet there is remarkably little consensus as to what this progress portends in the coming years or decades. This is especially true of the. In terms of particular questions, the series touches upon labor automation with questions on robots that could replace human fine-motor and general assembly skills. There are a number of...

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