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VisualizePolitics: History Repeats Itself (or Not)

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011/10/history-repeats-itself-or-not.html

Wednesday, October 26, 2011. History Repeats Itself (or Not). Yesterday, Mitt Romney gave reporters. This oft-repeated pearl of conventional wisdom: "Can't win the White House without winning Ohio", he told them. Is this true? Here's a comparison: the NFC team almost always wins the pre-Super Bowl coin toss. Since 1994, the AFC team has only won twice; in fact, between 1998 and 2006 the NFC went totally undefeated in this event (odds 1 : 512). Just how often is noise mistaken for meaningful data? Most li...

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VisualizePolitics: Party of Lincoln? Not So Fast.

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011/09/party-of-lincoln-not-so-fast.html

Thursday, September 15, 2011. Above: Electoral maps depicting Union member states as of 1860. Above-Left: Red indicates states that went to Abraham Lincoln (R) in 1860. Above-Right: Blue indicates states that went to Barack Obama (D) in 2008. It is worth noting that in 2008 VA, NC and FL were very close races and that the two maps could very easily have been identical. Above: Grey indicates states to secede from the Union from 1860 to 1861 (WV seceded from the confederacy in 1863).

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VisualizePolitics: The Principled South

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011/10/principled-south.html

Saturday, October 8, 2011. Or how those who hated the Democrats most secured the election for Truman:. Insurrection occurred after southern Democrats realized FDR was not an extremist, but a populist who had changed their party forever and whose successor was unlikely to give much special attention to the cause. Of the south rising again the way previous Democrats had. With each election, FDR's margin of victory narrowed but in 1944. So the question is. If Mitt Romney gets the nomination, will he rec...

visualizepolitics.com

VisualizePolitics: Defining Swing States, part 1

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011/09/defining-swing-states-part-1.html

Tuesday, September 20, 2011. Defining Swing States, part 1. Above: President Obama's margin of victory/loss-by-state, 2008 (list). Above: President Obama's margin of victory/loss-by-state, 2008 (vertical axis); electoral votes-by-state (horizontal axis). Shaded areas indicate electoral votes lost between 2008 and 2012; green areas indicate electoral votes gained. (list). Two Counties May Decide 2012 Election. Defining Swing States, part 1. 2012 Electoral College Data. 2012 GOP Primary Calendar.

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VisualizePolitics: Index

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/p/index.html

1000 Days In: Update. History Repeats Itself (or Not). 1000 Days In: Is There a Pattern Here? A Tale of Two Belts. Two Counties May Decide 2012 Election. Defining Swing States, part 1. 2012 Electoral College Data. 2012 GOP Primary Calendar. Limitations of Conventional Visualization. GOP Primary 2012 Polling. 1000 Days In: Update II. McConnells Threefold Miscalculation — Update. POLITICAL NEWS and ANALYSIS:.

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VisualizePolitics: 09/01/2011 - 10/01/2011

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011_09_01_archive.html

Friday, September 30, 2011. Two Counties May Decide 2012 Election. Above, from left: Pinellas county, Hillsborough county; state of Florida county map. A few things to keep in mind going into the 2012 cycle:. 8226; For the past four cycles (the modern electoral era) Florida has gone with the winner. 8226; Since 1960, Hillsborough county has always gone with the winner. 8226; Within the past four cycles, it has gone to both parties twice. Tuesday, September 20, 2011. Defining Swing States, part 1. Above: ...

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VisualizePolitics: 1000 Days In: Update II

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011/12/1000-days-in-update-ii.html

Friday, December 30, 2011. 1000 Days In: Update II. To read the original article. Click here. To download the complete trend. For Gallup interactive comparisons. Click here. Below: Gallup interactive poll widget. For dual-deck widgets (for your mixing pleasure) click here. Either scripts and active content are not permitted to run or Adobe Flash Player version 10.0.0 or greater is not installed. 1000 Days In: Update II. McConnells Threefold Miscalculation — Update. POLITICAL NEWS and ANALYSIS:.

visualizepolitics.com

VisualizePolitics: 10/01/2011 - 11/01/2011

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011_10_01_archive.html

Wednesday, October 26, 2011. History Repeats Itself (or Not). Yesterday, Mitt Romney gave reporters. This oft-repeated pearl of conventional wisdom: "Can't win the White House without winning Ohio", he told them. Is this true? Here's a comparison: the NFC team almost always wins the pre-Super Bowl coin toss. Since 1994, the AFC team has only won twice; in fact, between 1998 and 2006 the NFC went totally undefeated in this event (odds 1 : 512). Just how often is noise mistaken for meaningful data? Most li...

visualizepolitics.com

VisualizePolitics: 1000 Days In: Update

http://www.visualizepolitics.com/2011/11/1000-days-in-update.html

Monday, November 7, 2011. 1000 Days In: Update. To read the original article. To view the newest polls. Approval/disapproval data for President Obama from his 1000th day in office (10/17/11) to the present (11/7/11). Above: regression analysis of both data sets indicates a measurable rise in approval during that period, and while disapproval during the same period fell by a relatively modest degree, what is significant is that it has been hovering around and occasionally cracking the magic 50% mark.