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Prawns and Probability

Wednesday, January 7, 2015. What we do when we do regressions in social science. Academic selections are rarely free from the suspicion of bias. Is anyone surprised that a disproportionate number of previous winners have been Swedish? After all, the prizes (except for the peace prize) are awarded by a committee from the Swedish Royal Academy of Science. More glaringly, an overwhelming majority of winners have come from western nations. Which are culturally similar to Sweden. Image from www.iffs.se. Conve...

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Wednesday, January 7, 2015. What we do when we do regressions in social science. Academic selections are rarely free from the suspicion of bias. Is anyone surprised that a disproportionate number of previous winners have been Swedish? After all, the prizes (except for the peace prize) are awarded by a committee from the Swedish Royal Academy of Science. More glaringly, an overwhelming majority of winners have come from western nations. Which are culturally similar to Sweden. Image from www.iffs.se. Conve...
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Prawns and Probability | prawnsandprobability.blogspot.com Reviews

https://prawnsandprobability.blogspot.com

Wednesday, January 7, 2015. What we do when we do regressions in social science. Academic selections are rarely free from the suspicion of bias. Is anyone surprised that a disproportionate number of previous winners have been Swedish? After all, the prizes (except for the peace prize) are awarded by a committee from the Swedish Royal Academy of Science. More glaringly, an overwhelming majority of winners have come from western nations. Which are culturally similar to Sweden. Image from www.iffs.se. Conve...

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1

Prawns and Probability: Is the number of female Royal Society Fellowships a red herring?

http://www.prawnsandprobability.blogspot.com/2014/09/is-number-of-female-royal-society.html

Thursday, September 25, 2014. Is the number of female Royal Society Fellowships a red herring? Personally I'm in no doubt that conscious and unconscious, personal and systematic biases hinder women's progress in science on many levels. However, the recent outcry over the number of women selected by the Royal Society for university fellowships is (probably) a red herring. Here is the table of application and acceptance rates since 2010 from the The Royal Society. P 2014 = 0.0164. P 2013 = 0.437. Clearly 2...

2

Prawns and Probability: May 2014

http://www.prawnsandprobability.blogspot.com/2014_05_01_archive.html

Sunday, May 18, 2014. This is a blog post I wrote about our seminar speaker at IFFS on Friday May 16, mainly for David Sumpter's blog. And the IFFS website. But it won't do any harm to post it here as well. I and the speaker, Michael Osborne, did our PhDs together, and now he's one of Oxford's foremost experts on Machine Learning. In this presentation he described how Machine Learning will change everyone's employment in the coming century. The future of automation. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom).

3

Prawns and Probability: April 2012

http://www.prawnsandprobability.blogspot.com/2012_04_01_archive.html

Saturday, April 21, 2012. Pigeon Navigation (1): Paths and Probability. How do birds navigate successfully over huge distances from temperate to tropical regions and back every year? How do homing pigeons know how to get back to their owner's loft quickly enough to win a race? Is there some way to control the number of pigeons in Trafalgar Square [or insert your country's pigeon hotspot]? All good questions. None of which really interest me. And come up with something fun and faintly ridiculous? Sadly, w...

4

Prawns and Probability: September 2014

http://www.prawnsandprobability.blogspot.com/2014_09_01_archive.html

Thursday, September 25, 2014. More remarks on gender and selection. In the spirit of David Sumpter's Open Science 4.0. What happened to 3.0, did I miss it? I thought I'd try a simple model to offer as one possible explanation for the low acceptance of female candidates to the Royal Society's University Research Fellowships, which I posted about earlier. One teacher of mine (hello Mr Apsy! E = who the hell cares? Men often have a higher variance. Some people have speculated on evolutionary reasons for...

5

Prawns and Probability: Meta-contagion? The spread of people asking about the spread of clapping

http://www.prawnsandprobability.blogspot.com/2013/06/meta-contagion-spread-of-people-asking.html

Friday, June 28, 2013. The spread of people asking about the spread of clapping. At some point soon I mean to sit down and write a proper post about our recent work. Analysing the spread of clapping behaviour in audiences. Before that though, a quick analysis about how media attention on the paper spread over time. The graph below shows the times I was first contacted by different media outlets over a period of about 2 weeks. Social contagion in papers about social contagion? Maybe there's a paper in that.

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Prawns and Probability

Wednesday, January 7, 2015. What we do when we do regressions in social science. Academic selections are rarely free from the suspicion of bias. Is anyone surprised that a disproportionate number of previous winners have been Swedish? After all, the prizes (except for the peace prize) are awarded by a committee from the Swedish Royal Academy of Science. More glaringly, an overwhelming majority of winners have come from western nations. Which are culturally similar to Sweden. Image from www.iffs.se. Conve...

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