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PredictionBook: How sure are you?

Find out just how sure you should be, and get better at being only as sure as the facts justify. PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions. How sure are you? Rather than just recording what. Donald Trump will lose the next election. Kocherga, rational time club in Moscow, Russia will close and not reopen in 2018. We will fairly convincingly know who Satoshi Nakamoto is in five years. I think the Warriors will win the NBA Finals. Still no first kiss before my 30th birthday.

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PredictionBook: How sure are you? | predictionbook.com Reviews
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Find out just how sure you should be, and get better at being only as sure as the facts justify. PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions. How sure are you? Rather than just recording what. Donald Trump will lose the next election. Kocherga, rational time club in Moscow, Russia will close and not reopen in 2018. We will fairly convincingly know who Satoshi Nakamoto is in five years. I think the Warriors will win the NBA Finals. Still no first kiss before my 30th birthday.
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1 new prediction
2 view predictions
3 happenstance
4 upcoming
5 credence game
6 signup
7 what is predictionbook
8 popular predictions
9 76% confidence
10 8 wagers
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new prediction,view predictions,happenstance,upcoming,credence game,signup,what is predictionbook,popular predictions,76% confidence,8 wagers,1 comment,created by ntkryston,12 days ago,36% confidence,3 wagers,created by crabman,5 days ago,46% confidence
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PredictionBook: How sure are you? | predictionbook.com Reviews

https://predictionbook.com

Find out just how sure you should be, and get better at being only as sure as the facts justify. PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions. How sure are you? Rather than just recording what. Donald Trump will lose the next election. Kocherga, rational time club in Moscow, Russia will close and not reopen in 2018. We will fairly convincingly know who Satoshi Nakamoto is in five years. I think the Warriors will win the NBA Finals. Still no first kiss before my 30th birthday.

INTERNAL PAGES

predictionbook.com predictionbook.com
1

PredictionBook: Recent Happenstance

https://predictionbook.com/happenstance

Recently Transpired and Awaiting Judgement. There will be no more juvenile seagulls around the garden by end of August. Known about 19 hours ago. Somewhere in Air France IT, there will be a project or a study using Golang within 6 month after the Brown Bag Lunch of March 2016 by Anaethelion. Known 5 days ago. In which university will you do your bachelor's? Harvard, MIT, or UPenn. Known 16 days ago. I will acquire enough python knowledge to contribute to a GitHub project. Known 16 days ago. Said http:/ w...

2

PredictionBook: Recent Predictions

https://predictionbook.com/predictions

At least one of the following survives 2017: SEPA, Visa, Mastercard, US federal reserve, ECB, Deutsche Bank. About 4 hours ago. Throughout dec 2017, bitcoin officially banned in russia. About 4 hours ago. Islands in the Net' style skin-browning agent made possible through PCR. About 7 hours ago. For the remainder of the 2016 Presidential Campaign, Trump will not have an approval rating higher than his bounce after the RNC. About 15 hours ago. About 20 hours ago. Provably intelligent life (was) on HD164595.

3

PredictionBook: Greater than 70% of cars bought in 2020 will be electric

https://predictionbook.com/predictions/127043

Greater than 70% of cars bought in 2020 will be electric. Said This would require massive changes in the general infrastructure. Major car companies would need to be engaging in major planning now. And said This won’t happen, 4 1/2 years is too little for such a major shift, and there’s too much inertia and long term processes in car production. And said There’d have to be a serious push coming out of somewhere for this to happen, or a major disaster. To respond to or judge prediction.

4

PredictionBook: Most recent predictions by espore

https://predictionbook.com/users/espore

Most recent predictions by espore. No new elementary particles to be discovered before December 20, 2016. Greater than 70% of cars bought in 2020 will be electric. Humans will be sent to Mars. A true general intelligence AI will be created. The conservatives will win the next general election in the UK. At least 25% of all total meals in the world will be prepared by robot chefs by 2025. WWIII starts before 2030. North Korea and South Korea to unify by 2030. Strong AI to arise out of IBM. Assuming that t...

5

PredictionBook: Most recent predictions by Porejide

https://predictionbook.com/users/Porejide

Most recent predictions by Porejide. Ted won't be able to provide me with a way to actually restrict the player universe in an ESPN fantasy football draft to remove the keepers in the next 48 hours. Known 5 days ago. The SNIFF trial of nasal insulin for AD will NOT show a statistically significant improvement in CSF Abeta or CSF Abeta/tau ratio over time (i.e., these will NOT be reported as significant by the study investigators). I will regret having my whole genome sequenced in 4 months (self-report).

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afterallitcouldbeworse.blogspot.com afterallitcouldbeworse.blogspot.com

there could be snakes in here: January 2015

http://afterallitcouldbeworse.blogspot.com/2015_01_01_archive.html

There could be snakes in here. To sing in green" by Hugo von Hofmannsthal. Didn’t you hear, in here,. How music prowled the house? The night was hard and lightless. But out there on a stiff stone. Larking – that was me. I said all I could:. Dear, you're everything to me! But the east shoved out new light. And the harsh day drove me home. My mouth was shut again. Under a murky weighted sky. So lonely we were,. Cleaved from the other! The air blows free and fro;. And the whole world inamidst us. Glänzt, al...

jayquantified.blogspot.com jayquantified.blogspot.com

Jay, Quantified: February 2012

http://jayquantified.blogspot.com/2012_02_01_archive.html

If you cannot measure it, you cannot improve it." -Lord Kelvin. Wednesday, February 29, 2012. Supposedly mimics the diet of hunter-gatherers from the Paleolithic era. But this is not true of all. Versions of the Paleo Diet). The proponents of the Paleo Diet explain its efficacy by resorting to evolutionary explanations, which some dietitians and anthropologists dispute. I will skip over the theoretical debate completely and only focus the truth value of the following proposition:. 1 I'm in a reference cl...

jayquantified.blogspot.com jayquantified.blogspot.com

Jay, Quantified: June 2012

http://jayquantified.blogspot.com/2012_06_01_archive.html

If you cannot measure it, you cannot improve it." -Lord Kelvin. Thursday, June 28, 2012. I was finally able to procure an EEG device. Thanks to some generous benefactors*. The following summary parameters are based on data (21 datapoints total) collected using the Zeo headband. And a Samsung Galaxy S running Android 2.3 between 06/10/2012 and 07/03/2012:. Total Time Spent Asleep. Sum: 8,125 minutes. Time Elapsed Before Falling Asleep. Time Spent in REM Sleep. Sum: 2,274 minutes. Time Spent in Light Sleep.

mavant.com mavant.com

Back On The Wagon – Getting Clojure

http://mavant.com/2014/06/30/back-on-the-wagon

Back On The Wagon. Jun 30, 2014. I haven’t written a blog post in almost three months! This must be rectified. I’ve been doing a lot of reading lately (current materials: HPMoR. For the third time, and Conceptual Mathematics. For the first), and a lot of dashing back and forth between job interviews, and truly spectacular amount of email-writing, but I’ve been doing far too little real programming, so I decided to dip my toes back in the water this evening with something small but useful. Anyway, Predict...

anarchyishyperbole.com anarchyishyperbole.com

Anarchy Is Hyperbole: January 2015

http://www.anarchyishyperbole.com/2015_01_01_archive.html

The Consolation of Conquest. In other words, any predictions you make with 10% confidence should come true 10% of the time, while any predictions you make with 90% confidence should come true nine out of ten times. If half of the predictions you make with 50% confidence come true, you're well-calibrated. Points us to a Kant quote on the matter:. I've been doing this privately for a while, in a less mathy way. For example, I wrote this the week before the last government shutdown:. Confidence when correct...

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PredictionBook: How sure are you?

Find out just how sure you should be, and get better at being only as sure as the facts justify. PredictionBook is a site to record and track your predictions. How sure are you? Rather than just recording what. Donald Trump will lose the next election. Kocherga, rational time club in Moscow, Russia will close and not reopen in 2018. We will fairly convincingly know who Satoshi Nakamoto is in five years. I think the Warriors will win the NBA Finals. Still no first kiss before my 30th birthday.

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The Empirical Future

Integrated analysis of technology trends, human psychology, consumer and market dynamics, ethical perspectives and legal trends to discern the probable future. Sunday, January 16, 2011. Introduction to the Future Prediction Process. Going beyond the standard "wishful thinking and sheer imagination" approach to futurism in order to discern the most probable future. Advanced Artificial Intelligence Technology. Advanced Virtual Reality Technology. Analysis of Other Popular Ideas About the Future.

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