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Presidential election forecasts :HomeProbabilistic forecasts of the 2008 presidential elections
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Probabilistic forecasts of the 2008 presidential elections
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Presidential election forecasts :Home | presidentforecast.andreamoro.net Reviews
https://presidentforecast.andreamoro.net
Probabilistic forecasts of the 2008 presidential elections
presidentforecast.andreamoro.net
Presidential election forecasts :i added more interesting conditional probabilities
http://presidentforecast.andreamoro.net/news/26
I added more interesting conditional probabilities. Including obama losing more pivotal states. I am now reporting only if they differ from the main statistics by more than 15%. Suggestions for more welcome! Posted by: Andrea Moro. On August 27, 2008 12:11:40 PM. Updated: 01 Sep 16 02:21. Note: Comments are owned by the poster. We are not responsible for their content. August 27, 2010 06:42 AM. Well said coach bags. I never thought coach bags outlet. Would agree with this coach outlet online. Weddings ar...
Presidential election forecasts :senate added
http://presidentforecast.andreamoro.net/news/30
Wanted to do that for a long time :-). Posted by: Andrea Moro. On October 17, 2008 11:34:17 PM. Updated: 01 Sep 16 02:21. Note: Comments are owned by the poster. We are not responsible for their content. September 28, 2010 04:50 AM. Plus Size Wedding Dresses. December 02, 2010 07:43 PM. Realizing he might Microsoft Office 2010. Have dug himself in there Office 2010. The general emphasized that Office 2007. He had Microsoft Office 2007. Spent some time as a junior Microsoft Office. 2010 New Coach Bags.
Presidential election forecasts :news
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11/03/08 now updating every hour. However, the row regarding the bradley effect is only updated manually. 11/03/08 bradley effect added. Simulating what would happen in my simulaitons if every state experienced a 2% or 3% bradley effect, that is if polls overestimated obama's share by 2 or 3%. David Stromberg estimates here. The bradley effect to be between 2 to 3% in a set of recent elections. Wanted to do that for a long time :-). 10/17/08 I have added. 08/26/08 new colors on the chart map.
Presidential election forecasts :charts
http://presidentforecast.andreamoro.net/base/charts
Click here to see charts with Clinton's forecasts until the concession speech (June 7). Percent probabilities of winning. Mean number of electoral votes in the simulations. Number of electoral votes in the "basic prediction". Assuming candidates win with certainty the states where the are ahead.
Presidential election forecasts :I have added
http://presidentforecast.andreamoro.net/news/29
A worst-case scenario for obama, in which he loses 7 pivotal states where McCain is concentrating campaigning efforts. Karl Rove wrote an article about that, he's right that this is a possibility for McCain, even if quite remote. Posted by: Andrea Moro. On October 17, 2008 5:22:30 PM. Updated: 01 Sep 16 02:21. Note: Comments are owned by the poster. We are not responsible for their content. October 18, 2008 04:00 AM. Re: I have added. October 18, 2008 10:31 AM. October 24, 2008 02:44 PM. Accompanying ten...
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Andrea Moro Webpage :: What Do We Know about Discrimination in Latin America? Very Little!
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/articles/358
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. What Do We Know about Discrimination in Latin America? By Hugo Nopo, Alberto Chong, and Andrea Moro. In Hugo Nopo, Alberto Chong, and Andrea Moro (eds.), Discrimination in Latin America. An Economic Perspective, Inter-American Development Bank and The World Bank Publications, Washington D.C., 2010, 1-11. My old U of MN site.
Andrea Moro Webpage :: Theories of Statistical Discrimination and Affirmative Action: A Survey
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/articles/356
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. Theories of Statistical Discrimination and Affirmative Action: A Survey. By Hanming Fang and Andrea Moro. In Jess Benhabib, Matthew Jackson and Alberto Bisin editors: Handbook of Social Economics, Vol. 1A, Chapter 5, The Netherlands: North Holland, 2011, pp. 133-200. : PDF. My old U of MN site.
Andrea Moro Webpage :: The Effect of Job Flexibility on Women Labor Market Outcomes: Estimates from a Search and Bargaining Model
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/articles/354
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. The Effect of Job Flexibility on Women Labor Market Outcomes: Estimates from a Search and Bargaining Model. By Luca Flabbi and Andrea Moro . Journal of Econometrics 168, 2012, 81-95. : pdf. My old U of MN site.
Andrea Moro Webpage :: Welcome
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. Most recent papers and writings. Do Female Executives Make a Difference? The Impact of Female Leadership on Gender Gaps and Firm Performance (05/10/16). Endogenous Comparative Advantage (02/14/15). The Effect of Job Flexibility on Women Labor Market Outcomes: Estimates from a Search and Bargaining Model (06/23/12). Theories of Statistical Discrimination and Affirmative Action: A Survey (11/25/11). What Do We Know about Discrimination in Latin America? My old U of MN site.
Andrea Moro Webpage :: Papers
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/articles/papers/c65-66-68-69
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. Published papers - Unpublished papers - Other writings - In Italian. Do Female Executives Make a Difference? The Impact of Female Leadership on Gender Gaps and Firm Performance. By Luca Flabbi, Mario Macis, Andrea Moro, and Fabiano Schivardi. Slides most recent seminar. By Andrea Moro and Peter Norman. Working paper. A larger paper with the more general theory (12/2000). The Effect of Job Flexibility on Women Labor Market Outcomes: Estimates from a Search and Bargaining Model.
Andrea Moro Webpage :: Do Female Executives Make a Difference? The Impact of Female Leadership on Gender Gaps and Firm Performance
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/articles/359
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. Do Female Executives Make a Difference? The Impact of Female Leadership on Gender Gaps and Firm Performance. By Luca Flabbi, Mario Macis, Andrea Moro, and Fabiano Schivardi. Slides most recent seminar. My old U of MN site.
Andrea Moro Webpage :: Published papers
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/papers/c65
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. The Effect of Job Flexibility on Women Labor Market Outcomes: Estimates from a Search and Bargaining Model. By Luca Flabbi and Andrea Moro . Journal of Econometrics 168, 2012, 81-95. Theories of Statistical Discrimination and Affirmative Action: A Survey. By Hanming Fang and Andrea Moro. in Jess Benhabib, Matthew Jackson and Alberto Bisin editors: Handbook of Social Economics, Vol. 1A, Chapter 5, The Netherlands: North Holland, 2011, pp. 133-200. The Performance of the Pivot...
Andrea Moro Webpage :: Endogenous Comparative Advantage
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/articles/321
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. By Andrea Moro and Peter Norman. Working paper : PDF. A larger paper with the more general theory (12/2000). My old U of MN site.
Andrea Moro Webpage :: Published papers
http://www.andreamoro.net/index.php/articles/c65
Andrea at andreamoro dot net. The Effect of Job Flexibility on Women Labor Market Outcomes: Estimates from a Search and Bargaining Model. By Luca Flabbi and Andrea Moro . Journal of Econometrics 168, 2012, 81-95. Theories of Statistical Discrimination and Affirmative Action: A Survey. By Hanming Fang and Andrea Moro. in Jess Benhabib, Matthew Jackson and Alberto Bisin editors: Handbook of Social Economics, Vol. 1A, Chapter 5, The Netherlands: North Holland, 2011, pp. 133-200. The Performance of the Pivot...
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presidentfor2020.com - This website is for sale! - US Presidential Elections 2020 Resources and Information.
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Welcome to the Gerald Ford Leadership in World Diplomacy website. Select a country below for more information. In each of the five areas on our map you will find a brief summary of the foreign policy issues, key players, a timeline and a sampling of primary source materials available at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library and Museum.
presidentforecast.andreamoro.net
Presidential election forecasts :Home
Final prediction vs. mccain. Electoral votes, standard deviation. Electoral votes, if candidates win the. States where they are ahead in the poll. Needed to win: 270 votes; last update: 2008-11-05 00:11:01. But if obama loses . Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Virginia. CO,FL,OH,VA,NV,MO,and NC. If the bradley effect. 3% in every state. 2593 votes, prob 16.9%. 2% in every state. 3065 votes, prob 62.8%. Prob from intrade.com. Pivotal state: New Mexico - using a methodology suggested by noteconomics. To the con...
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