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rationalfuture | Culture that understands rationality | rationalfuture.wordpress.com Reviews
https://rationalfuture.wordpress.com
Culture that understands rationality (by Ivan Phillips)
rationalfuture.wordpress.com
The Rationality of Induction | rationalfuture
https://rationalfuture.wordpress.com/2012/01/05/the-rationality-of-induction
Culture that understands rationality. The Rationality of Induction. Posted by Ivan Phillips. January 5, 2012. Induction is the idea that the past is a guide to the future. We believe the Sun will rise tomorrow because it has risen in the past. Unfortunately, attempts to prove that induction is rational have failed. In An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding. Published in 1748, David Hume wrote:. Hume is the philosopher most closely associated with the problem. The short answer is no. The principles of ...
November | 2012 | rationalfuture
https://rationalfuture.wordpress.com/2012/11
Culture that understands rationality. Bayes’ Theorem: Some Intuitive Principles, Part III. Posted by Ivan Phillips. November 12, 2012. In the first two parts of this series, I expressed the practical consequences of Bayes’ theorem in terms or two informal principles: Principle I:All things being equal, the theory which predicts the a higher likelihood for the observed data is the theory most likely to be true. and: Principle II:All things are not equal because … Continue reading →. Posted by Ivan Phillips.
Bayes’ Theorem: Some Intuitive Principles, Part II | rationalfuture
https://rationalfuture.wordpress.com/2012/11/02/bayes-theorem-some-intuitive-principles-part-ii
Culture that understands rationality. Bayes’ Theorem: Some Intuitive Principles, Part II. Posted by Ivan Phillips. November 2, 2012. In my last post. I began to explain the practical implications of Bayes’ theorem in terms of simple principles. My first principle was this:. All things being equal, the theory which predicts the a higher likelihood for the observed data is the theory most likely to be true. Here is the second principle:. All things are not equal because evidence accumulates. As before, we ...
Bayes’ Theorem: Some Intuitive Principles, Part III | rationalfuture
https://rationalfuture.wordpress.com/2012/11/12/bayes-theorem-some-intuitive-principles-part-iii
Culture that understands rationality. Bayes’ Theorem: Some Intuitive Principles, Part III. Posted by Ivan Phillips. November 12, 2012. In the first two parts of this series, I expressed the practical consequences of Bayes’ theorem in terms or two informal principles:. All things being equal, the theory which predicts the a higher likelihood for the observed data is the theory most likely to be true. All things are not equal because evidence accumulates. The question seems all too easy to answer. Sinc...
Customer Service and the Curse of Fundamental Attribution Error | rationalfuture
https://rationalfuture.wordpress.com/2011/12/28/customer-service-and-the-curse-of-fundamental-attribution-error
Culture that understands rationality. Customer Service and the Curse of Fundamental Attribution Error. Posted by Ivan Phillips. December 28, 2011. This is the title of a concise article. On fundamental attribution error at the SDM Advisory Group. Rationality does not guarantee agreement, but we might get along better. Socrates must be mortal ». Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Address never made public). Socrates must be mortal.
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The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/faq.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. Rationality - Frequently Asked Questions. Is the ideal rational person emotionless? Why do I want to be rational? What is the difference between rational thinking and critical thinking? Do rational thinkers always come up with the correct answer? What is the connection between philosophy and rationality? Is rational thinking a matter for psychologists? Why is it important to be rational? Is the ideal rational person emotionless? Why do I want to be rational? If you w...
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/aboutrfi.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. The mission of the Rational Future Institute is to help people make decisions that better accord with their values by raising public awareness of the principles of rationality. Rational Future Institute FAQ. The Rational Future Institute NFP is an Illinois not-for-profit corporation. Our Board of Directors. The Rational Future Institute. Buffalo Grove, IL 60089.
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/examples.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. Here are a few examples of cognitive bias that provide a clue to the costs of irrational thinking. Do You Suffer From Decision Fatigue? Should the outcome of a parole hearing depend on the time of day when the hearing was held? This fascinating article shows just how predictable (and, in some cases, avoidable) our failures are. The Fundamental Attribution Error: It's the Situation, Not the Person. Raytheon gets $10.5M to develop "serious games". These aren't your bas...
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/resources.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. A Glossary of Terms. The Marvels and the Flaws of Intuitive Thinking. Edge Master Class 2011 by Daniel Kahneman [9.12.11]. A List of Cognitive Biases. Nassim Nicholas Taleb: A Crazier Future. Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the author of The Black Swan. Julia Galef on Rationality. Books On Cognitive Bias. Ellen Kaplan, Michael Kaplan. Thinking Fast And Slow. Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment. Richard H. Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein.
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/index.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. Welcome to the Rational Future Institute! The goal of the Rational Future Institute is to create a cultural awareness of the principles of ideal rationality and of the ways we humans predictably deviate from rational thinking. The RFI is non-partisan, and does not advocate for specific conclusions to social, scientific, moral or political arguments. Our focus is on ideal rational methods and creating public awareness of cognitive bias. What is rational thinking?
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/local.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. The Rational Future Institute does not yet have a charter of local chapters. However, you are welcome to create a local group to discuss rational culture. We suggest Meetup.com as an effective way to organize meetings and events:. Find a Meetup group near you. Meetup.com is a commercial service. The RFI is not affiliated with Meetup.com. Tutorials on Bayesian Inference. Book reviews or discussions. Illustrations of specific cognitive biases.
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/rationality.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. Rationality is something we all value, but which most of us find difficult to clearly define. We tend to think were rational and others are not. We tend to think that we know whats rational and what isnt. But if we cant precisely define rationality, how can we be sure? On this page, well briefly outline the subject of rational thinking, and provide links to more in-depth material. Weve compiled a handful of examples. List also describe studies of cognitive bias.
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/getinvolved.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. Please join us on Google. And keep up to date with the latest news. We post articles and news at our blog at rationalfuture.wordpress.com. Join a Local Discussion Group. Our first meetup group! The Chicago Rational Future Meetup Group. You can join or start a local Meetup group.
The Rational Future Institute
http://www.rationalfuture.org/news.html
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. The best way to keep up with day-to-day news is to add us on Twitter. Well link to relevant news articles and to original content we post on the RationalFuture blog. T he Chicago Rational Future Meetup Group. Click through for a list of upcoming meetup events.
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Getting to Smarter Systems Faster | Just another WordPress.com site
Getting to Smarter Systems Faster. Just another WordPress.com site. Extending, Integrating and Adopting Systems and Software Engineering Solution. April 16, 2014. Those of you interested in learning more about extending, integrating and adopting Systems and Software Engineering solution should check out my colleague’s blog. Stefan is in IBM Services and writes about his experiences here. http:/ rtcpractise.wordpress.com. Rational Engineering Lifecycle Manager has just EGA’d v4.0.6! February 28, 2014.
The Rational Future Institute
CULTURE THAT UNDERSTANDS RATIONALITY. Welcome to the Rational Future Institute! The goal of the Rational Future Institute is to create a cultural awareness of the principles of ideal rationality and of the ways we humans predictably deviate from rational thinking. The RFI is non-partisan, and does not advocate for specific conclusions to social, scientific, moral or political arguments. Our focus is on ideal rational methods and creating public awareness of cognitive bias. What is rational thinking?
rationalfuture | Culture that understands rationality
Culture that understands rationality. Bayes’ Theorem: Some Intuitive Principles, Part III. Posted by Ivan Phillips. November 12, 2012. In the first two parts of this series, I expressed the practical consequences of Bayes’ theorem in terms or two informal principles:. All things being equal, the theory which predicts the a higher likelihood for the observed data is the theory most likely to be true. All things are not equal because evidence accumulates. The question seems all too easy to answer. Sinc...
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Low Fees Foreign Exchange Transfers at Great Exchange Rates | RationalFX
Site Settings: USA, U.S. Dollar. Select Home Country -. British Indian Ocean Territory. Federated States of Micronesia. Saint Vincent and the Grenadines. Saint kitts and Nevis. South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands. Turks and Caicos Islands. Property and mortgage payments. Education and tuition fees. Our Business Development team. FX strategy and dealing. Register for a business account. Or call our client registration team. British Indian Ocean territory (US Dollar). Czech Republic (Czech Koruna).
