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John Marc Thibault - Simulation, Modeling and Probability ManagementProject Planning the Probability Management Way
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Project Planning the Probability Management Way
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John Marc Thibault - Simulation, Modeling and Probability Management | smpro.ca Reviews
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Project Planning the Probability Management Way
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Applied Probability Management - Calculating Uncertainty
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Probability Management with SIPmath.
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Working In Uncertainty: Useful websites
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Matthew Leitch, educator, consultant, researcher. An overview of risk/uncertainty management. The risk management we prefer. Views on current risk management guidance and standards. By improving an organization. Ideas for students and researchers. Recommended people and associates. There are some very interesting and diverse sources of information out there on the web. Here are some I like that are relevant to Working In Uncertainty. The Society for Effectual Action. The Beyond Budgeting Round Table.
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John Marc Thibault - Simulation, Modeling and Probability Management
Simulation, Modelling and Probability Management. Project Planning and Risk Assessment:. Simulations, Models, Realistic Estimates. Eliminate the Flaw of Averages. Calculating uncertainty with averages and other single numbers results in systematic estimation errors. That is, on average, the average is wrong. Stanford's Dr. Sam Savage called this the The Flaw of Averages. These errors cause projects to be late and over-budget, resources to be short of need, and risks to be underestimated. For example, con...
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