aktieinvest.blogspot.com
aktieinvest: august 2009
http://aktieinvest.blogspot.com/2009_08_01_archive.html
28 aug. 2009. Halvvejs fra toppen i NDX. Vi ramte 1668 i NDX, hvilket oversteg 50 % fib-modstanden med nogle point. Spørgsmålet er om det er den midlertidige top. I de sidste mange måneder har det ikke givet mening at tænke på toppe, men mere bare at købe korrektionerne. Det ser ud til at der bliver købt af frygt for at blive efterladt uden aktier. Posted by Gul kage at 8/28/2009 04:14:00 PM. 25 aug. 2009. SPX 1037 - ZZ TOP. Og jeg sidder tilbage 600 kr. fattigere end i morges. 24 aug. 2009. Måske er det...
aktieinvest.blogspot.com
aktieinvest: juli 2009
http://aktieinvest.blogspot.com/2009_07_01_archive.html
30 jul. 2009. Shanghai tabte 5 % i nat, da de kinesiske myndigheder er bange for at deres stimuluspenge går til aktier og ikke til at sætte gang i økonomien. Ofte er kineserne hurtige på aftrækkeren og derfor kan dette måske være startskuddet til en tur ned. Om det er, eller hvor lang turen bliver er et andet spørgsmål. Er en dygtig trader der er god til at komme ud af sine handler, men også en dygtig analytiker, har lavet denne graf. Der skulle indikere at toppen er tæt på. 6) Do you cut winning trades ...
aktieinvest.blogspot.com
aktieinvest: Var 1017 toppen?
http://aktieinvest.blogspot.com/2009/08/var-1017-toppen.html
18 aug. 2009. Jeg beholdt tre SPX og tre NDX shorts som jeg lukkede i fredags. Det var desværre lidt for tidligt, men det gav da 600 kr. I dag har jeg så forsøgt at gå lang, hvilket viste sig at være et dårligt valg. På Zerohedge har de samlet nogle forudsigelser. Fra nogle aktieguruer bl.a. Elliot Waveren Prechter der mener vi har toppet og at vi nu går i retning af det ultimative low på under SPX 400. Yderligere bør man også læse en artikel. Strategien for i morgen afhænger lidt af hvordan Kina og Fjer...
creditnotes.blogspot.com
Notes on Credit Markets: Online Futures Game
http://creditnotes.blogspot.com/2009/03/online-futures-game.html
Notes on Credit Markets. Monday, March 30, 2009. Playing this online futures game. By CME. You can simulate a speculator or hedger and try to make money. It is a very popular. I played 15-20 times simulating a "speculator". I was averaging $700-$900 when listening to the "news" of the game. When I turned the sound off, I was averaging $1500-$2000. That's interesting! Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom). In defense of Securitization. A Year after Bear Died. Credit Investments of Warren Buffett.
creditnotes.blogspot.com
Notes on Credit Markets: December 2008
http://creditnotes.blogspot.com/2008_12_01_archive.html
Notes on Credit Markets. Wednesday, December 17, 2008. Time to Invest in High Yield Mutual Funds? High yield valuations are very compelling. Is it time to invest in this asset class? In mid October 2008, when the markets were crashing pretty hard, this asset class was one of the worst afflicted. At that time, my view was that High yield values were cheap but they would get cheaper yet. Everyone was selling at that time regardless of the value. Here are some performance results for these funds:. First obs...
creditnotes.blogspot.com
Notes on Credit Markets: March 2009
http://creditnotes.blogspot.com/2009_03_01_archive.html
Notes on Credit Markets. Monday, March 30, 2009. Playing this online futures game. By CME. You can simulate a speculator or hedger and try to make money. It is a very popular. I played 15-20 times simulating a "speculator". I was averaging $700-$900 when listening to the "news" of the game. When I turned the sound off, I was averaging $1500-$2000. That's interesting! Sunday, March 29, 2009. In defense of Securitization. I believe Krugman is making a big mistake here. Let’s remember that securitizat...
creditnotes.blogspot.com
Notes on Credit Markets: January 2009
http://creditnotes.blogspot.com/2009_01_01_archive.html
Notes on Credit Markets. Monday, January 26, 2009. CDS Volumes May be a Factor of Instability. That the scale of the risks involved in CDS market may be too large even for an exchange. I list below some of the most striking discrepancies between the CDS volume and the total debt for non-financial US corporations:. Table: CDS volumes May be Multiples of Outstanding Debt. CDS market takes physical delivery issue one step further. Even after a credit event, most contracts can be settled by cash as oppos...
creditnotes.blogspot.com
Notes on Credit Markets: CDS of GE
http://creditnotes.blogspot.com/2009/03/cds-of-ge.html
Notes on Credit Markets. Thursday, March 5, 2009. GE is in the news once again! This venerable company, probably the best industrial firm in the world, is being hugely discounted in the market. Its equity below $7, market cap below $70 B, credit markets are pricing its bonds and CDS as if it might go bankrupt. Two questions can be asked: Does GE have a real risk of bankruptcy? If not, what is the reason for such violent reaction in the markets? First, does GE have real bankruptcy risk? GE Capital benefit...
creditnotes.blogspot.com
Notes on Credit Markets: June 2009
http://creditnotes.blogspot.com/2009_06_01_archive.html
Notes on Credit Markets. Monday, June 8, 2009. CMBS Long or Short? Investing in CMBS may be one of the best ways to put money to work for those with fixed income type risk-return mandates. At the same time, record defaults are in cards for commercial mortgages asset class. Are these statements contradictory? Indeed, there would be strong proponents of both of these theses. Perhaps, they are both right? How could that be? It is hard to predict, especially if it involves the future. Banks and insurers make...
