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Criticality(by Steve)
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Criticality | steveedney.wordpress.com Reviews
https://steveedney.wordpress.com
(by Steve)
steveedney.wordpress.com
The invalidity of risk models (or do I trust my VAR calculations) | Criticality
https://steveedney.wordpress.com/2007/11/10/the-invalidity-of-risk-models-or-do-i-trust-my-var-calculations
The invalidity of risk models (or do I trust my VAR calculations). To continue some of the stuff raised in The Black Swan. I’ll discuss Taleb’s attack on financial models based on the normal distribution, this misuse of which he describes as the Great Intellectual Fraud. I considered entitling this “Am I a fraud? The collapse of Amaranth. The question I ask is do most practitioners actually believe that their models are an accurate description of reality? Anyway onto whether what I do is essentially frau...
Into the woods | Criticality
https://steveedney.wordpress.com/2013/10/20/into-the-woods
So my wife has added a new website for her art business she is starting up. Not much there yet, but it will be growing shortly. Will be original prints and cards of her original artwork. Have a look at Into the Woods. If you are interested. If there is not much there when you visit come back in a couple of weeks and have a look as there will be then. This entry was posted on Sunday, October 20th, 2013 at 9:53 pm and is filed under politics. Feed You can leave a response. From your own site. The Rhomboids...
Ignoring false negatives | Criticality
https://steveedney.wordpress.com/2007/11/14/ignoring-false-negatives
I seem to be stuck on the exciting topic of VAR and backtesting models. Anyhow via a friend who pointed out this comment in an article in the economist. What is staggering is the last part. They had not had a single backtesting breach from 1998-2007. I wasn’t convinced the Economist got it right so I checked the UBS third quarter report. Which states it more explicitly. 8230; When backtesting revenues are negative and greater than the previous day’s VaR, a backtesting exception occurs. From your own site.
The Narrative Fallacy in Weather | Criticality
https://steveedney.wordpress.com/2007/03/20/the-narrative-fallacy-in-weather
The Narrative Fallacy in Weather. Looking back at my most recent posts on rainfall I note that they were motivated at a reaction to what Nassim Taleb. The desire people have to make a post-hoc story to so all events relate with a strict cause and effect. Journalists (amongsts others) love to try and join dots and so are typical propagators of this nonsense. Recently they have been keen to link everything weather related like the drought, to global warming. Should I worry about this though? I think this i...
More on rainfall | Criticality
https://steveedney.wordpress.com/2007/03/15/more-on-rainfall
For those unconvinced about my previous claim that, according to the BOM data, there doesn’t appear to be a drying trend on the east coast and think it might be an artifice of too broad averaging, I note that they should have a look at the trend maps found here. For example the rainfall trends from from 1900 to 2006. Indeed its not unless you compare with the 1950’s to 1970’s that you get a really marked decrease in rainfall in most of Eastern Australia. Feed You can leave a response. From your own site.
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Scales Of Justice Update | A Yobbo\'s View
https://yobbo.wordpress.com/2006/11/09/scales-of-justice-update
A Yobbo ’s View. From The Arse End Of The Anglosphere. Laquo; Arrested In Northbridge. Two MSM Blogs That Don’t Suck. Scales Of Justice Update. Guilty, received a $250 fine, $55 court costs and a spent conviction for my trouble. Lesson learned: Cops can do whatever they want whenever they want. Cost of lesson: $405. Key Quote by Magistrate: “I don’t need to see the character references, the nature of the offense is such that they aren’t necessary”. In other words, what a fucking waste of time. I totally ...
Thoughts on Freedom: My Life as a Young Australian Novelist -
http://sabhlokcity.blogspot.com/2006/08/my-life-as-young-australian-novelist.html
We have moved to alsblog.wordpress.com. Sunday, August 27, 2006. My Life as a Young Australian Novelist - Quadrant. This piece ran in the May issue of Quadrant. And the Autumn issue of the Skeptic. And has attracted some attention around the blogosphere. There doesn't seem to be an electronic version available anywhere, so I thought I'd put it up here. When the family lived up north, dad’s standard operating procedure was put the stuff on tic, then move before the debt collectors arrive. 3 I’m in my seco...
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Steve Edmonds Band
Next Jimi Hendrix Tribute Show Saturday 23rd May @ The Brass Monkey Cronulla 8:30pm. Next Sydney Harbour Cruise:. Saturday 4th July 11:45am-3:45pm.
Steve Edmonds - State Farm Insurance Agent in Orillia, ON
We noticed some missing or incomplete information. Please add the requested information. Skip to Main Content. Please enter search text. Sport and Leisure Vehicles. Financial Tools and Resources. Find a Repair Facility. Why Choose State Farm? 4337 Burnside Line RR 4. Orillia, ON L3V 6H4. 4337 Burnside Line Unit 7. Orillia, ON L3V 6H4. View map and get directions. View map and get directions. Mon-Fri 9:00am to 5:00pm. Your message was sent, and we will contact you. Sorry,we're having technical problems.
steve edmondson | an admixture of thoughts, essays, and pictures, in no particular order… just as they come to me.
An admixture of thoughts, essays, and pictures, in no particular order… just as they come to me. February 5, 2012 by steveedmondson. Welcome to WordPress.com. After you read this, you should delete and write your own post, with a new title above. Or hit Add New. On the left (of the admin dashboard. To start a fresh post. Are some suggestions for your first post. You can find new ideas for what to blog about by reading the Daily Post. Make some changes to this page. Blog at WordPress.com.
Steve Edmonson
Steve was just starting to build this page, when we got the following news, and thought that the new website can wait, this would be a good place to post some info about some old friends who passed away recently. If you want to contact Steve directly for more info, his e-mail is edmoblues@comcast.net. This site will be more a personal site for Steve, those of you looking for info on. The Jackie Payne Steve Edmonson Band. Steve Edmonson, Leon Blue, Trudy Lynn and Phillip Walker in Memphis Judy Edmonson.
Steven M. Edmundson
Criticality
20 October, 2013. So my wife has added a new website for her art business she is starting up. Not much there yet, but it will be growing shortly. Will be original prints and cards of her original artwork. Have a look at Into the Woods. If you are interested. If there is not much there when you visit come back in a couple of weeks and have a look as there will be then. 14 November, 2007. Which states it more explicitly. In third quarter we suffered our first backtesting exceptions 16 in total since 1998&#...
Steve Edreff Photography
January 16, 2017. January 16, 2017. Some photos I took the this week . To my Facebook followers , it seems they don’t follow the link to see the photos posted on wordpress . Most just like the photo attached to the link and stop there . So if your looking for more photos please follow the link . New camera new photos. January 14, 2017. January 14, 2017. A few photos from 1st day out . January 11, 2017. January 11, 2017. January 9, 2017. January 9, 2017. January 8, 2017. January 8, 2017. January 6, 2017.
SteveEdson
Using the future of JavaScript, today. Start using ES6 features in your code, now. Creating development environments with Vagrant and Ansible. Use virtual machines to improve your development. Automating optimisations with Gulp. Gulp is a powerful task runner, that when used correctly, can vastly improve your workflow. Track Codeship on the go. Unified tool for developers. Steve Edson – 2015.
Blog de steveedu44 - my life - Skyrock.com
Mot de passe :. J'ai oublié mon mot de passe. Lu tous le monde ba voila c mon new blog laissé vos com merci a. Mise à jour :. Abonne-toi à mon blog! Tite expilcation te la tecktonik. EXPLICATION IMPORTANTE SUR LA DANSE TECKTONIK :. Tecktonik est une marque déposée , c'est une soirée , ce sont des t-shirt. En aucun cas nous ne sommes clients de cette marque si on danse l'electro. Ou si on s'habille fashion. Citations du site officiel tecktonik :. Ni Les jeans slim ou meme les t shirt moulants! D'accord la...
Blog de Steveedu62 - Blog de Steveedu62 - Skyrock.com
Mot de passe :. J'ai oublié mon mot de passe. Slt tout le monde! Lacher le maximum de com! Mise à jour :. Abonne-toi à mon blog! Age : 17 ans. Aniv : 14 mars (oubli pa). Msn : Demande@hotmail.fr. Laiss des coms stp. N'oublie pas que les propos injurieux, racistes, etc. sont interdits par les conditions générales d'utilisation de Skyrock et que tu peux être identifié par ton adresse internet (23.21.86.101) si quelqu'un porte plainte. Ou poster avec :. Posté le vendredi 12 décembre 2008 15:02.
Their Profile - steveedu77160 - Skyrock.com
The position of the blocks have been saved. Sunday, 27 July 2014 at 4:09 AM. Thursday, 31 July 2014 at 3:42 PM. Je vais sur mon new on discuté sur mon new. Thursday, 31 July 2014 at 3:43 PM. Wed, July 23, 2014. Status: Taken avec Greylu43. Here for: To find love. My star sign : Pisces. Post to my blog. Here you are free.
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