unlikelyvoter.com
PPP says Brownback trails Davis for re-election - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/2014/02/25/ppp-says-brownback-trails-davis-for-re-election
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. PPP says Brownback trails Davis for re-election. On February 25, 2014. Take it or leave it, but PPP polled Kansas. And while I’m sure most of the attention will be on the heated Republican primary for Senate between Pat Roberts and Milton Wolf, the race for governor was actually polled. That got my attention because it shows Republican Sam Brownback to be losing to Democrat Paul Davis. No Responses to “PPP says Brownback trails Davis for re-election”. Get it in the ...
unlikelyvoter.com
Create your own Electoral College - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/create-your-own-electoral-college
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. Create your own Electoral College. On September 4, 2011. Create your own Electoral College map! Decide for yourself who wins which states in the Presidential election, and see how the Electoral College falls out from there. Click on a state to change who wins it, or click one of the buttons below to reset the states to the baseline of a previous election. With bug or success reports. Link to your map. Syndicate UnlikelyVoter.com with RSS. Get it in the App Store!
unlikelyvoter.com
Matt Bevin is not following the Marco Rubio pattern - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/2014/02/11/matt-bevin-is-not-following-the-marco-rubio-pattern
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. Matt Bevin is not following the Marco Rubio pattern. On February 11, 2014. One of the first posts I ever made at UnlikelyVoter charted Marco Rubio’s steady rise. Against Charlie Crist in his Senate primary. Matt Bevin is not following that pattern. By the time February 2010 came around, Rubio was the one with a 20 point lead. Rubio had steadily grown from 4% in January 2009, to 20%, to 30, to 40, and finally to 60% in the polls by March 2010. Get it in the App Store!
unlikelyvoter.com
Is the New Jersey Senate race getting competitive? - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/2013/09/30/is-the-new-jersey-senate-race-getting-competitive
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. Is the New Jersey Senate race getting competitive? On September 30, 2013. There’s an old saying, that if a headline asks a question, then the answer is no. Well, in the case of this headline, that’s probably true. Quinnipiac’s latest on the race. Still shows a huge Cory Booker lead. It’s only the movement that Steve Lonegan welcomes. That showed Booker 52-Lonegan 33. In fact the last non-University poll was way back in June, when Rasmussen. Had Booker up 50-33.
unlikelyvoter.com
Poll Survey for February 13 - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/2014/02/13/poll-survey-for-february-13
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. Poll Survey for February 13. On February 13, 2014. This is a new feature I’m going to start here at Unlikely Voter. When I see a few polls that aren’t really a whole post in themselves, I’ll throw a post out wrapping them all up into one post. Public Policy Polling isn’t credible these days, with even Nate Silver calling them out, but they have put out a poll of the North Carolina senate race. No Responses to “Poll Survey for February 13”. House of Representatives S...
unlikelyvoter.com
Rubio v Crist: A Summary - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/2010/03/15/rubio-v-crist-a-summary
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. Rubio v Crist: A Summary. On March 15, 2010. I wanted to see how my single-poll model looks when I apply it to the history of a race, and selected the Florida Republican Senate primary. Between former Speaker Marco Rubio and Governor Charlie Crist. One Response to “Rubio v Crist: A Summary”. March 15, 2010 at 4:35 pm. Great blog and I see you featuring a race in my home state. Very interesting. I will keep checking your site. All my best. Get it in the App Store!
unlikelyvoter.com
Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/page/2
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. The Obama 2012 vote and religion. Gallup did a poll of religion in America, by state. I thought it would be interesting to chart that against Barack Obama’s 2012 vote share. Here are the results. Read More →. It’s now socially acceptable to question PPP. But as with Zogby in 1992, coincidentally being right does not make bad polling fundamentally sound. So I guess it’s now become acceptable, in the post-Obama political age, to begin questioning PPP. August 29, 2013.
unlikelyvoter.com
Let’s not poll the general election before anyone campaigns - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/2014/02/21/lets-not-poll-the-general-election-before-anyone-campaigns
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. Let’s not poll the general election before anyone campaigns. On February 21, 2014. People love general election matchup polling. For some it’s the ultimate way to decide which candidate is the best choice to win a primary. But even if that’s true, it is possible to run such polls too soon. Right now, it’s too soon to poll the 2016 Presidential race. Shows it’s just too soon to start polling. Paul Ryan at 77, the one man who’s been on a national ticket before. The Pa...
unlikelyvoter.com
Unskew the polls! Michigan Edition - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/2014/02/20/unskew-the-polls-michigan-edition
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. On February 20, 2014. One thing Barack Obama has done very, very well for Democrats is turn out voters. Some Democrats have also learned winning models from his campaigns, including Terry McAuliffe in Virginia. Michigan Democrats want to do the same. But so far the polls aren’t agreeing with them. No Responses to “Unskew the polls! Syndicate UnlikelyVoter.com with RSS. Or follow @UnlikelyVoter on Twitter. House of Representatives Swingometer. Get it in the App Store!
unlikelyvoter.com
Swingometer - Unlikely Voter
http://unlikelyvoter.com/swingometer
Poll Analysis and Election Projection. On May 13, 2010. Here are the Swingometers now for your viewing and experimenting pleasure. The House of Representatives Swingometer. Measures the effects of a swing in the two-party vote from the 2010 House elections. The Electoral College Swingometer. Measures the effects of a swing in the two-party vote from the 2012 Presidential elections. The 2010 House of Representatives Swings. The 2010 House of Representatives Swingometer. With bug or success reports. Or fol...
