osterhagenkey.blogspot.com
"failure is not an option ...": April 2011
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Monday, April 25, 2011. The non reality of Magritte and the GFC .". The treachery of risk graphs". Magritte - The Treachery of Images. La trahison des images, 1928–29). AAPL Iron Butterfly 340/250/250/260 @ 21st April 2011. Saturday, April 2, 2011. NAB - trespassers presecuted with vigour .". NAB Daily - 29th March 2011. NAB Daily - 1st April 2011 - New Wave 3. A conservative short term target would be to buy some May $26.50 Calls i...
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"failure is not an option ...": January 2013
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Thursday, January 17, 2013. Trading the plan .". Everybody has a plan,. Until they get punched in the face .". Mike Tyson - World Champion Boxer. Volatility is still lurking even though the VIX is down at 13. Rising markets breed complacency. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Failure is not an option .". View my complete profile. Trading the plan . Subscribe To My Podcast. ABC News : Just In. Trader blogs of merit.
osterhagenkey.blogspot.com
"failure is not an option ...": May 2011
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Sunday, May 22, 2011. Not waving, drowning in IV crush .". VIX Volatility Index as at 22nd May 2011. DOW JONES as at 22nd May 2011. So if IV is so low, how have Calendars been going over the last few months. In a word, horrible. But why is this happening. The short answer is that the VIX is really not telling us the full stroy on IV. IV of long option - (Calendar Skew * 150%). SPX ATM Calendar Skew - 22nd May 2011. June IV : 12.29%.
osterhagenkey.blogspot.com
"failure is not an option ...": September 2010
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Saturday, September 4, 2010. Asymptotically yours .". Old option traders never die,. Their Gamma just converges. To zero .". Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). Failure is not an option .". View my complete profile. Subscribe To My Podcast. ABC News : Just In. Man charged with theft of lamb but 'Ralph' still missing. MarketWatch.com - MarketWatch Breaking News Bulletins. US economy adds 177,000 private-sector jobs in August: ADP.
osterhagenkey.blogspot.com
"failure is not an option ...": February 2011
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Saturday, February 19, 2011. NAB - will the new strategy yield a share price of $15 or $35 ? NAB - Daily chart 18th Feb 2011. If we look at the daily chart of NAB as at 18th February 2010, it looks as if NAB has broken out to the repetitive extended Wave 4 channels and is heading up towards a near term target of $27 by Mid March. But has it really begun to rise? NAB - Weekly chart 18th Feb 2011. In my opinion it is not very probable.
osterhagenkey.blogspot.com
"failure is not an option ...": December 2010
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Sunday, December 5, 2010. Bonds, a smart pre indicator .". There are many ways that traders try to pre-empt a market move, many of which are based on indicators that are based on the same underlying information, so confirmation is often quite difficult. In addition indicators like moving averages, oscillators and so forth are really lagging indicators and by the time these techniques kick in your trade is often under water. More thought...
osterhagenkey.blogspot.com
"failure is not an option ...": August 2011
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Sunday, August 28, 2011. Help someone see a better future .". Way back on 15th January 2010. I raised the question around the severity of unemployment and the collateral damage it has on individuals, families and the economy. This week, Ben Bernake speaking at the Feds annual retreat at Jackson Hole Wyoming, on the economy made the following statement :. Ben Bernake - August 26th 2011. Right back in the 1940's when Keynes wrote his grou...
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"failure is not an option ...": April 2012
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Saturday, April 21, 2012. The illusion of freedom .". Freedom is possibility and anxiety is the possibility of freedom. Søren Aabye Kierkegaard, 1844. Tuesday, April 17, 2012. Welcome to the factory floor .". Midlife is the moment of greatest unfolding, when a man still gives himself to his work with his whole strength and his whole will. But in this very moment evening is born, and the second half of life begins. Over the years, five o...
osterhagenkey.blogspot.com
"failure is not an option ...": August 2013
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Sunday, August 25, 2013. The donkey pulls the pin on NAB .". Back on August 2nd I looked at the option chain for NAB and it seemed to suggest that the smart money was hedging at around the $32.50 mark indicating that in the short term over August the direction was predicted to be up from the current low around $29.50. Looking at the price chart below we can note 4 things :. NAB price chart - 23rd August 2013. The next step in refining t...
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"failure is not an option ...": "NAB leaking on the inside ...."
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Failure is not an option .". Random musings from an unbalanced mind. Saturday, September 28, 2013. NAB leaking on the inside .". The normal average daily share turnover for NAB is around 5.8 million per day, however on Thursday 26th September more than 10.7 million shares were traded before noon with the day finishing with around 15 million shares being traded. NAB share volume - 26-9-2013. NAB share price surges to drive a wave 3 high - 27-9-2013. So who is driving the interest? Retail - 5,35 Oscillator.