 businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        Business Complexity and the Global Leader | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2010/10/29/business-complexity-and-the-global-leader
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. Business Complexity and the Global Leader. Why do companies fail? We have smart people, lots of data, lots of resources, and sometimes even a successful track record. Can we learn something from how cities have grown, Rome prospered and fell, Sahara villages sustain (or decline), flocks of birds migrate? If you are interested, you can download some of the presentations here. 
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        You give complex diagrams… a bad name | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2010/12/02/you-give-complex-diagrams-a-bad-name
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. You give complex diagrams… a bad name. It’s not often that a Powerpoint page makes it to the front page of a national newspaper. Perhaps you’ve seen this page. It’s become its own meme. It was ridiculed by many, including Jon Stewart. And probably many of your Facebook. There’s a certain fluency required in understanding a complex causal loop diagram. What does this mean? 
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        How Much Oil is Leaking in the Gulf? | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2010/06/17/how-much-oil-is-leaking-in-the-gulf
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. How Much Oil is Leaking in the Gulf? The oil continues to leak, and we are now starting see the oil hit the shores. We have live images from the leak 5,000 feet below the water surface. But how much oil is actually leaking from the wellhead? Is now at 35,000 – 60,000 barrels/day. When the late May estimates came out, there was an interesting quote from Ira Leifer. Based on m...
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        Bubble Charts — What does the size mean? | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2010/09/23/bubble-charts
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. Bubble Charts — What does the size mean? A few weeks back, there was a short article in the WSJ. 8216;s recent acquisitions. A very prominent bubble chart accompanied the article (in both print and on-line). For the article in question, using a bubble chart makes sense. The punchline is something like, “wow, look at the size of the acquisitions! Reading through the article (...
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        Now I See It! (The link between visualization and creativity) | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2011/02/14/now-i-see-it-the-link-between-visualization-and-creativity
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. Now I See It! The link between visualization and creativity). We are visual people. We recall past events by the mental picture we see (or create). Words are powerful and can be precise, of course, but visual images can often leave very strong and lasting impressions in our minds. Instead, I am talking about the mental work of visualizing something. In a recent TechCrunch. 
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        Guessing how many jelly beans in a jar | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2011/04/19/guessing-how-many-jelly-beans-in-a-jar
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. Guessing how many jelly beans in a jar. How many jelly beans in a jar? Or odd shaped Lego pieces of differing size? What if the container is oddly-shaped? Or we have multiple jars? I always enjoy a good estimation challenge and find it difficult to pass up a chance to “make a guess and win it all! 8221; So what are some good strategies? 8221; Then they give up. 3a Having sai...
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        Are you good at estimating? | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2010/04/30/are-you-good-at-estimating
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. Are you good at estimating? But how good are we at estimating? Here is a little exercise. On a sheet of paper, write down 1 through 10 on the left side of the page. Next to each number, draw two blanks, so that you can provide two answers for each number. Like this:. And so on to “10”. What was the production cost of “Gone with the Wind”? But don’t scroll down or click...
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                            businesscomplexity.wordpress.com
                                        
                                        Why Your Construction Project Estimates are Wrong | Business Analytics for a Complex World
                                        https://businesscomplexity.wordpress.com/2010/10/18/why-your-construction-project-estimates-are-wrong
                                        Business Analytics for a Complex World. Tools, methods, anecdotes, and observations from clients, mentors, books and other sources. Why Your Construction Project Estimates are Wrong. WSJ’s The Numbers Guy. Most infrastructure projects end up with very large overruns. Surprised? Probably not. This is one of those casual conversation topics where many of us can point to a project close to home that have “busted the budget”. New Jersey’s rail tunnel to New York City. So why is this the case? If there are ot...
                                     
                                    
                                        
                                             sendsonline.blogspot.com
                                            sendsonline.blogspot.com
                                        
                                        SENDS & The Science of Cyberspace: 1/2/11 - 1/9/11
                                        http://sendsonline.blogspot.com/2011_01_02_archive.html
                                        SENDS and The Science of Cyberspace. Highlighting publicly accessible efforts to promote the development of a Science of Cyberspace. This effort is proposed by an interagency project known as Scientific Enhancements to Networked Domains and Secure Social Spaces (SENDS). To contribute a blog to this effort, please contact us at words@sendsonline.org. Monday, January 3, 2011. Enhancing SENDSim With Optimization. Is designed for human experimentation. The distinction between a person interacting with SENDSi...