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VOTAMATIC | Forecasts and Polling Analysis for the 2012 Presidential Election

Forecasts and Polling Analysis for the 2012 Presidential Election

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VOTAMATIC | Forecasts and Polling Analysis for the 2012 Presidential Election | votamatic.org Reviews
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VOTAMATIC | Forecasts and Polling Analysis for the 2012 Presidential Election | votamatic.org Reviews

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Forecasts and Polling Analysis for the 2012 Presidential Election

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1

Drew | VOTAMATIC

http://votamatic.org/author/vota5487

Polling Analysis and Election Forecasting. Drew Linzer is a statistician and survey scientist based in Oakland, CA. He was previously an Assistant Professor of Political Science at Emory University. Drew holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of California, Los Angeles. Forecasting the 2016 Elections. Bull; August 8, 2016 • Uncategorized. Bull; 8 Comments. Welcome to Votamatic for the 2016 presidential election campaign. All of the data and results from 2012. Sneak preview: Other election f...

2

Final Estimates Tomorrow Morning | VOTAMATIC

http://votamatic.org/final-estimates-tomorrow-morning

Polling Analysis and Election Forecasting. Final Estimates Tomorrow Morning. Bull; November 5, 2012 • Uncategorized. Bull; 40 Comments. I entered nearly 50 new state polls in the most recent model update, posted earlier today. There have been over 30 additional polls released since then. I’ll wait a few more hours to see if any more come out, then run the model one more time, overnight. My final estimates will be ready in the morning. Final Estimates Tomorrow Morning. November 5, 2012 at 4:31 pm. While 5...

3

Evaluating the Forecasting Model | VOTAMATIC

http://votamatic.org/evaluating-the-forecasting-model

Polling Analysis and Election Forecasting. Evaluating the Forecasting Model. Bull; November 15, 2012 • Uncategorized. Bull; 7 Comments. Since June, I’ve been updating the site with election forecasts and estimates of state-level voter preferences based on a statistical model. That combines historical election data with the results of hundreds of state-level opinion polls. As described in the article. 8211; but months in advance of the election as well. With the election results (mostly) tallied. In state...

4

Looking for House Effects | VOTAMATIC

http://votamatic.org/looking-for-house-effects

Polling Analysis and Election Forecasting. Looking for House Effects. Bull; September 27, 2012 • Uncategorized. Bull; 5 Comments. There’s been a lot of talk lately about how the presidential polls. So let’s look at how well – or poorly – some of the major survey firms are actually performing this year. All polls contain error, mainly from the limitations of random sampling. But there are lots of other ways that error can creep into. Errors, but sometimes systematic biases – or. There are a number of piec...

5

Election Day Forecast: Obama 332, Romney 206 | VOTAMATIC

http://votamatic.org/election-day-forecast-obama-332-romney-206

Polling Analysis and Election Forecasting. Election Day Forecast: Obama 332, Romney 206. Bull; November 6, 2012 • Uncategorized. Bull; 91 Comments. With the last set of polls factored into the model, my final prediction is Obama to win 332 electoral votes, with 206 for Romney. This is both the median and the modal outcome in my electoral vote simulation, and corresponds to Obama winning all of his 2008 states except Indiana and North Carolina. And Josh Putnam at FHQ. Nate Silver, at his FiveThirtyEight.

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Drew Linzer: The stats man who predicted Obama's win - BBC News

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-20246741

Also in the News. Drew Linzer: The stats man who predicted Obama's win. Share this with Email. Share this with Facebook. Share this with Twitter. Share this with Pinterest. Share this with WhatsApp. Share this with Linkedin. Http:/ www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-20246741. Read more about sharing. Nate Silver of the New York Times explains the science of presidential predictions. In September we called Drew Linzer, an assistant professor of political science at Emory University, to ask for his predictions.

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Snowden is NOT trying to Protect Romania and Russia! | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/2015/08/03/snowden-is-not-trying-to-protect-romania-and-russia

Surfing the Science of the Political. Snowden is NOT trying to Protect Romania and Russia! August 3, 2015. Here are some past dissertation workings that were determined to be superb ramblings. Enjoy:. The authoritarian state is intrusive because the panopticon means that the denizen is never. In order to withdrawal all power from the people, and into the distributive (and redistributive) hands of the state. Ie, charges brought against individual in jail). Capitalism, further, admonishes the panopticon be...

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There are FOUR Political Traditions in America | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/2015/05/04/there-are-four-political-traditions-in-america

Surfing the Science of the Political. There are FOUR Political Traditions in America. May 4, 2015. An infamous Frenchman named Tocqueville toured America nearly 200 years ago. He wrote about the American political culture in great detail. He expounds four major political traditions that Americans all subscribe to on some level. On the one hand, some geographical regions are dominant in either liberalism. May 4, 2015. A Response to The Browser: Thanks. Political Science’s 2nd Law? I See TWO Political Trad...

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Who is a “republican Republican”? | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/2015/05/11/who-is-a-republican-republican

Surfing the Science of the Political. Who is a “republican Republican”? May 11, 2015. Hi, much progress has been made on my dissertation. Here is an idea that didn’t make the grade:. In this way, multiple traditions probably should not been seen as a competition of power and agency between political spectrums; rather, a specific case study provides an opportunity to attempt to capture a sample for how each political spectrum positively contributes to American political discourse. Just an observation.

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Term Limits | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/2015/04/28/term-limits

Surfing the Science of the Political. April 28, 2015. I agree. A poli-sci discussion about Michigan term-limits has shown that the lack of institutional memory (new blood meet new rules) has partially enabled special interests to coopt members into factions whereby representatives serve special interests in order to get a corporate job after term-limited. Why limit the terms of elected officials? Presidential Candidate Dr. Rand Paul thinks, We have all seen the consequence of long-term incumbencies&#...

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Database | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/database

Surfing the Science of the Political. Political scientists sometimes create databases for their research and post those datasets on public sites. This online space is where I post my databases. Dataset 1: ( link. Iraqi Reconstruction Obligated Dollars. 2004-2006. 10,543 contracts. Paper under review. On page 1, in excel, is the full database. On page two is variable 1 information. On page three is variable 2 information. The indicators, and all other relevant information, will be uploaded in July, 2014.

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Teaching | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/teaching

Surfing the Science of the Political. In a Teaching Portfolio,. You may consider including: Teaching Philosophy. Student Evaluation [PS 1010. Master of Arts in Teaching Degree. Microsoft Office Master Certification. Basic computers), Online Teaching Certification. How I Use Blackboard. Cooperative Learning in Mass Lecture Halls. Teaching Style], Online Teaching and Learning Method. Teaching and Learning Conference 2013 Paper. Wayne State University Graduate Transcript. For hated it and a fist. What, exac...

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“I am your Darwinian mistake!” | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/2015/07/08/i-am-your-darwinian-mistake

Surfing the Science of the Political. 8220;I am your Darwinian mistake! July 8, 2015. Awesome piece, here. Americans widely share the idea that they live in a Republic, which relies on transparency and info distribution mechanisms to ensure the federal government remain flexible and amenable to our social, economic, and political reality (all the way in a true one). The GAO is an excellent example! July 8, 2015. Feel the Editing of “republicanism”? GAO: Insert Time to Dispense Change! You are commenting ...

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Dear Gov. Walker, I Would Respectfully Decline | Political Pipeline

https://politicalpipeline.wordpress.com/2015/06/20/dear-gov-walker-i-would-respectfully-decline

Surfing the Science of the Political. Dear Gov. Walker, I Would Respectfully Decline. June 20, 2015. I would like to thank Gov. Scott Walker for emailing me the following message. I added the NUMBERS to the message for my reply:. Let’s get right to the point. 1) I am nearing a decision on whether to seek the Republican nomination for President of the United States and the strong support I receive in the coming days will help me decide. To solidify your status as one of my top supporters. 6) They will sto...

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VOTAMATIC | Forecasts and Polling Analysis for the 2012 Presidential Election

Forecasts and Polling Analysis for the 2012 Presidential Election. 2014 Senate and Governor Forecasts. Bull; November 4, 2014 • 0 Comments. This election season, I’ve been doing some work with the Daily Kos Elections. Team to track and forecast the midterm Senate and Gubernatorial elections. To see our predictions, click over to the Senate Outlook. You can also read more about our modeling approach here. For Election Night resources, I can recommend:. The Daily Kos Elections liveblog. Since June, I&#8217...

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