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Maciej Ceglowski
Gandi, 63-●●●●●●●●●●rd Massena
(Gan●●●●aris , (Gandi) 75013
(Gandi) FR
View this contact
Maciej Ceglowski
Gandi, 63-●●●●●●●●●●rd Massena
(Gan●●●●aris , (Gandi) 75013
(Gandi) FR
View this contact
Maciej Ceglowski
Gandi, 63-●●●●●●●●●●rd Massena
(Gan●●●●aris , (Gandi) 75013
(Gandi) FR
View this contact
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Overcoming Bias: Prediction Markets
http://robinhanson.typepad.com/overcomingbias/prediction_markets
May 22, 2009. A Mencius Moldbug has written a confused and rambling 7400 word critique. Of futarchy. But since Mencius seems to have passion and potential, let me try to communicate. Most readers may prefer to skip this post; it will get tedious. Prediction markets are a fine idea, whereas decision markets are. well. retarded. . Almost every conceivable application of a decision market . does not produce accurate predictions. You can ask for a full probability distribution. If speculators kno...Institu...
Wrong Tomorrow - Overmorgen
http://www.overmorgen.com/weblog/2009/04/01/wrong_tomorrow.php
A weblog about our futures. 1 April 2009, 5:59 pm. It’s getting linked to from many places today but that’s no reason not to mention it here… Wrong Tomorrow. Is a site on which you can record the predictions made by pundits about the future in order to look back and see which came true. The site’s author, Maciej Ceglowski, describes the reasoning behind creating the site on his weblog. How would the USA fragment? What will change everything? After the credit crunch. Failing to predict the future.
Overmorgen
http://www.overmorgen.com/weblog/..
A weblog about our futures. 15 April 2009, 6:42 pm. I’m going to stop posting things here. When I started up again a few months ago I had a fair amount of free time but I’ve realised I can’t keep it up. So I’ll close the site for the moment, once again. Some things I write on my personal website. Might be related but it may not be worth following that if you’re purely interested in futures stuff. However, I’m going to try storing links to interesting future-y things in my. So, bye for now. The course is ...
Overmorgen: Misc Archives
http://www.overmorgen.com/weblog/misc
A weblog about our futures. 15 April 2009, 6:42 pm. I’m going to stop posting things here. When I started up again a few months ago I had a fair amount of free time but I’ve realised I can’t keep it up. 1 April 2009, 5:59 pm. It’s getting linked to from many places today but that’s no reason not to mention it here… Wrong Tomorrow. Is a site on which you can record the predictions made by pundits about the future in order to look back and see which came true. 21 November 2008, 5:43 pm. I’d glanced at.
The Trouble with Nonprofits (Aaron Swartz's Raw Thought)
http://www.aaronsw.com/weblog/measurenonprofit
The Trouble with Nonprofits. In the 1990s, a group of psychologists began studying what made experts expert. Their first task was to see whether experts really were expert — whether they were particularly good at their jobs. What they found was that some were and some weren’t. Champion chess players, obviously, are much better at playing chess than you and I. But political pundits, it turns out, aren’t that much better at making predictions than a random guy off the street. This isn’t to say that w...
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Beauty Hair Dresser
The Role of a Mobile Hairdresser. A Mobile Hairdresser is a hairdressing professional who works outside the premises of a beauty shop. Used Beauty Salon Equipment Review For Hairdressers. The best place to learn about used beauty salon equipment is in the cosmetology school that you are. Maintaining Healthy Hair throughout the Aging Process. Most people, especially women, define and shape their identity primarily through their hair styl. Best Short Hairstyles For 2015. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom).
wrongtogether -
Jag vill tillbaka. Jag önskar att jag kunde komma tillbaka till februari-mars 2010. Ta mig tillbaka till värmen, upplevelserna, solen, fruktdrinkarna, de lata dagarna, kulturen, stränderna och kärleken. Ikväll har jag insett hur många minnen man får under tre och ett halvt års tid. 2010-12-02 @ 23:32:37 Permalink. Vad ska man skriva efter flera månaders uppehåll? 2010-11-28 @ 12:45:20 Permalink. I går kväll var jag på hockey tillsammans med pojkvännen, något jag inte var riktigt klädd för. Det var un...
Wrongtolove-you's blog - wrong to love you .. - Skyrock.com
Wrong to love you . Ces toutes mes textes, tu prend rien! Je pourais jamais sècer de t'aimer. Même si je le voudrait, je pourait jamais car tes l'homme de ma vie pis il a pas d'chance que j'me trompe. 24/07/2009 at 3:38 PM. 06/08/2009 at 8:05 AM. Fais bientot 2mois ces fini, pis j'doit. La derniere que j'essayerais de. Subscribe to my blog! Fais bientot 2mois ces fini, pis j'doit continué ma vie. En m'disans qu'tu reviendras jamais (u). La derniere que j'essayerais de t'envoillé. Don't forget that insult...
Wrongtom
Larr; more from. Includes unlimited streaming via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more. Includes unlimited streaming of. Via the free Bandcamp app, plus high-quality download in MP3, FLAC and more. Ships out within 2 days. Afraid A You feat. Tippa Irie. Possession feat. JC Lodge. Jugglin feat. Ragga Twins (edit). Love Endure feat. Desta Zion. In South London feat. Deemas J. Repossession feat. The Correctional Horns. Dub Session feat. The Rockers. Released August 21, 2015.
横浜風俗へ行く予定を決める
wrongtones.com
WrongTongue
Saturday, April 02, 2005. Hellenistic Age, Science and medicine. The three great areas of Hellenistic scholarship were medicine, astronomy, and mathematics. Alexandria attracted Herophilus (fl. 3rd century BC) from Chalcedon, who refused to stand in awe of the accepted medical dogmas and was distinguished in systematic anatomy, and the notable physiologist Erasistratus (fl. 3rd century BC) from Ceos, who realized that the heart is the. Posted by WrongTongue @ 1:45 AM. Friday, April 01, 2005. Formerly Ada...
wrong tool – You are finite. Zathras is finite. This is wrong tool.
You are finite. Zathras is finite. This is wrong tool. My Drow are Albino. January 8, 2017. I’m Greek. And I grew up in Montreal and Athens. Growing up, I knew one black kid. And he was my first friend. And slavery was always bad. And I was a huge Dungeons and Dragons fan. As a Greek and kid who did well in science, I knew that if you stayed in the sun, you were this color. And if you stayed out of the sun, you were this color. And the evil elves that lived underground were this color:. And I said,.
wtw
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