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Bayesian Statistics Blog | An attempt to follow and understand Bayesian statisticsAn attempt to follow and understand Bayesian statistics
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Bayesian Statistics Blog | An attempt to follow and understand Bayesian statistics | bayesianstats.wordpress.com Reviews
https://bayesianstats.wordpress.com
An attempt to follow and understand Bayesian statistics
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xkcd is getting close | Bayesian Statistics Blog
https://bayesianstats.wordpress.com/2009/03/08/xkcd-is-getting-close
Xkcd is getting close. March 8, 2009 at 12:44 pm · Filed under Bayesianism in Society. After an episode about significance. Xkcd has now reached the intellectual stage of joking about correlation and causation. And how they might — or might not — relate to each other. So the question is: when is he [= MAP gender of comic creator] going to mention Bayes in some way? And then I’ll sue for patent infringement. I might be joking. 1 Comment ». November 9, 2012 @ 11:46 am. Feed for comments on this post.
How many meanings can Bayesian statistics have? or When can I get off this ship? | Bayesian Statistics Blog
https://bayesianstats.wordpress.com/2009/02/12/how-many-meanings-can-bayesian-statistics-have-or-when-can-i-get-off-this-ship
How many meanings can Bayesian statistics have? Or When can I get off this ship? February 12, 2009 at 4:34 pm · Filed under Paradigmatic matters. 183;Tagged andrew gelman. Andrew Gelman, whose blog. Is always a good read (and is also updated much more often than this one! Provoked a discussion about the different “meanings” of Bayesian statistics. You might find the comments there interesting; I admit I found the whole thing a little hair-splitting for my taste. The theorem per se offers no difficulty, s...
“Is risk management too complicated and subtle for InfoSec?” — I think just mathematics is too complicated and subtle for some people | Bayesian Statistics Blog
https://bayesianstats.wordpress.com/2009/09/16/is-risk-management-too-complicated-and-subtle-for-infosec-i-think-just-mathematics-is-too-complicated-and-subtle-for-some-people
8220;Is risk management too complicated and subtle for InfoSec? 8221; — I think just mathematics is too complicated and subtle for some people. September 16, 2009 at 11:06 am · Filed under Applications. It’s interesting to see how knowledge of Bayesian methods exists in certain fields while ignorance of the details leads to weird conclusions concerning their usage. A good example of this phenomenon is this mangling of the two-envelope problem. The takedown is painstakingly given here. There is clearly mu...
Glymour vs Dawid: fight! fight! fight! | Bayesian Statistics Blog
https://bayesianstats.wordpress.com/2010/02/14/glymour-vs-dawid-fight-fight-fight-2
Glymour vs Dawid: fight! February 14, 2010 at 3:28 pm · Filed under Uncategorized. This delightful example of an academic hissy fit is from almost a year ago, but still has the power to shock in its lack of professionalism. I hope it shatters the all-too-common stereotype amongst some people of academics as calm intellectuals who want nothing more than to hear each other’s honestly help views. Phooey to that. Is trying to sell, though. But that still doesn’t quite explain what. Be at ease. Absolutely...
Oh dear indeed | Bayesian Statistics Blog
https://bayesianstats.wordpress.com/2010/01/31/oh-dear-indeed
January 31, 2010 at 11:01 am · Filed under Bayesianism in Society. From one of Tim Worstall’s “Oh dear” posts. Maybe inequality and poverty in modern Britain are important and maybe they’re not. It’s entirely possible to argue it either way and to a large extent depends upon your Bayesian priors. So naturally I had to reply. No indication thus far that the blog author has taken this on board…. Is it better that Bayesian concepts are invoked incorrectly rather than not at all? 2 Comments ». January 31, 20...
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Optimization « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/optimization
It's a Bayesian world! Bayesian networks are great tools for building decision models. Why does one care? Because if you are performing a multiobjective optimization (the only type of optimization that really counts in the real world), you need to figure out which of the possible (Pareto optimal) solutions you most prefer. In the medical field, there is always uncertainty which leads to probabilities which leads us to Bayesian networks. One comment on “ Optimization. 4 March 2013 at 2:34 pm.
Uncertainty in Kaplan-Meier curves « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/2016/03/16/uncertainty-in-kaplan-meier-curves
It's a Bayesian world! Uncertainty in Kaplan-Meier curves. This post is indirectly related to things Bayesian. One of the nodes in a Bayes net I have been working on is the tumor control probability (TCP) for oropharyngeal cancer. Where do we get the TCP values? Well, what is the variance? This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Uncertainty and decision making. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Address never made public). Notify m...
When prior beliefs interfere… « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/2015/06/22/when-prior-beliefs-interfere
It's a Bayesian world! When prior beliefs interfere…. I have written before ( here). About the influence prior beliefs have on how people act. Two recent events (one lecture, one book) have led me to further contemplate this. This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Medical physicists are Bayesians? Uncertainty and decision making →. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Address never made public). Notify me of new comments via email.
Bread and Bayes « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/bread-and-bayes
It's a Bayesian world! I recently took a course in artisanal bread baking at San Francisco Baking Institute. I just took the one week course for beginners/amateurs. They have much more extensive courses both in bread baking and patisserie. Here are some examples of my week’s output:. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Address never made public). You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. ( Log Out. View Full Profile →.
Bayes' blog « It's a Bayesian world! « Page 2
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/page/2
It's a Bayesian world! Newer posts →. Utility of Fisher’s p-value. An article in Nature takes another (and long-needed) look at this near-religious symbol of scientific correctness:. Http:/ www.nature.com/news/scientific-method-statistical-errors-1.14700. Here is one paragraph to give you a taste:. 8220;One result is an abundance of confusion about what the P. Consider Motyl’s study about political extremists. Most scientists would look at his original P. Value is.”. An interesting chain of connections.
Medical physicists are Bayesians? « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/2015/04/06/medical-physicists-are-bayesians-2
It's a Bayesian world! Medical physicists are Bayesians? A look at whether medical physics are Bayesians through the example of maintenance of certification (MOC). All of this still leaves us with the question: Why do we care whether medical physicists are Bayesians or frequentists? One good reason has been in the news recently, namely, personalized medicine. How will we ever obtain the required numbers of patients if everything is personal? ABR Maintenance of Certification. P(good MOC) P(good MOC) [1].
Observations « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/observations
It's a Bayesian world! Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Address never made public). You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. ( Log Out. You are commenting using your Twitter account. ( Log Out. You are commenting using your Facebook account. ( Log Out. You are commenting using your Google account. ( Log Out. Notify me of new comments via email. Uncertainty in Kaplan-Meier curves. Uncertainty and decision making.
Photos « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/photos
It's a Bayesian world! Photos I like for no good reason. Flower at Arenal, Costa Rica. Toucan at Corcovado, Costa Rica. Sunset at Corcovado, Costa Rica. Sketch of scene for German movie in 1920’s (from show at the Getty). 8220;Urban Light” by Chris Burden, LACMA. Medieval stained glass window, Getty Museum. Swimming pool, Arenal, Costa Rica. Leave a Reply Cancel reply. Enter your comment here. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Address never made public). View Full Profile →.
Standard Gamble is now becoming real life « Bayes' blog
https://markpsite.wordpress.com/2014/06/05/standard-gamble-is-now-becoming-real-life
It's a Bayesian world! Standard Gamble is now becoming real life. An article in the NY Times. In decision theory, there is a concept of “utility” which is basically a quantitative measure of how much one values something. In economic terms, this value is relatively easy to assess since you are usually dealing with either actual money or something with monetary value. In health care, it is not so straightforward. Would you rather live 10 years with pain or 5 years without? And tagged dry mouth. You are co...
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bayesiansoftware.com - This website is for sale! - bayesian software Resources and Information.
The owner of bayesiansoftware.com. Is offering it for sale for an asking price of 349 USD! This webpage was generated by the domain owner using Sedo Domain Parking. Disclaimer: Sedo maintains no relationship with third party advertisers. Reference to any specific service or trade mark is not controlled by Sedo nor does it constitute or imply its association, endorsement or recommendation.
Bayesian Solutions
Bayesian approaches to extract knowledge from data are versatile and powerful, and efficiently scale up to handle complex analyses on very large data sets. Is specialised in the development and use of Bayesian statistical techniques in functional genomics making the link ‘from genotype to phenotype’. Missing or hidden heritability? The Bayesian Solution: the heritability is not missing, but hiding in many small effects. Which have to be identified simultaneously. Left, bottom: the Bayesian recovery of SN...
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Teorema de Bayes - Bayesian Statistics World
Suscribirse a este canal RSS. Teorema de Bayes (1). Expresa la probabilidad condicional de un evento aleatorio A dado B en términos de la distribución de probabilidad condicional del evento B dado A y la distribución de probabilidad marginal de sólo A. En términos más generales y menos matemáticos, el teorema de Bayes es de enorme relevancia puesto que vincula la probabilidad de A dado B con la probabilidad de B dado A. Martes, 25 Octubre 2016 20:10. La explicación del teorema de Bayes. De cualquiera de ...
Bayesian Statistics Blog | An attempt to follow and understand Bayesian statistics
Bad Bayes still bad. March 24, 2010 at 11:58 am · Filed under Statistical blunders. 183;Tagged climate science. A notorious “climate change” blogger, is alleged to also be a statistician. He certainly seems to know something about time series. Thanks to this investigation. We know that Tamino is Grant Foster. Writer of “blog diatribe”-style. His affiliation in the linked paper is “Tempo Analytics, Westbrook, Maine”, but I can’t find any other reference to it online). Kent Holsinger sends along this.
Quantitative Technical Analysis — Home Page
160; Home. 160; Blog (with Resources, Activities, About, Contact). Quantitative Technical Analysis — Home Page. This website is the home for the book,. Quantiative Technical Analysis,. An Integrated Approach to Trading System Development and Trading Management. By Dr Howard Bandy. The book discusses trading system development and trading management. The key word is confidence. The primary limitation is risk. The focus of the book is risk. Assessing your personal risk tolerance. The trading management...
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Sėkmingai užregistruotas UAB "Interneto vizija" kliento vardu ir šiuo metu yra pilnai aktyvuotas bei paruoštas naudojimui. Norite nukreipti bayesiantest.com? Prisijunkite prie savo paskyros klientų sistemoje. Ties skyriumi "Paslaugos" pasirinkite nuorodą Plačiau. Pasirinkite domeno pavadinimą ir paspauskite mygtuką Nukreipti. Po pakeitimų domenas pradės veikti per 1 val. Ieškote kur patalpinti bayesiantest.com? Svetainės talpinimas arba kitaip hostingas (angl. web hosting. Informacija apie .com.
bayesiantesting.com - Domenai, domenų registravimas - UAB "Interneto vizija"
Sėkmingai užregistruotas UAB "Interneto vizija" kliento vardu ir šiuo metu yra pilnai aktyvuotas bei paruoštas naudojimui. Norite nukreipti bayesiantesting.com? Prisijunkite prie savo paskyros klientų sistemoje. Ties skyriumi "Paslaugos" pasirinkite nuorodą Plačiau. Pasirinkite domeno pavadinimą ir paspauskite mygtuką Nukreipti. Po pakeitimų domenas pradės veikti per 1 val. Ieškote kur patalpinti bayesiantesting.com? Svetainės talpinimas arba kitaip hostingas (angl. web hosting. Informacija apie .com.
Probability Puzzles
Friday, November 28, 2014. I chanced on this excellent puzzle on the net that tends to reveal a cognitive bias in our heads against Bayesian reasoning. The puzzle statement is quite simple. You are given four cards. Each card has a letter on one side and number on the other side. You are told the statement "If there is a D on one side, there is a 5 on the other side". Which two cards would you flip over to validate the statement? The original article is here. Tuesday, September 2, 2014. Some good books t...
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