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probability, puzzles, bayesian, inference, statistics, data mining, R programming, machine learning, optimization, expectation maximization
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Probability Puzzles: The Chakravala Algorithm in R
http://www.bayesianthink.blogspot.com/2014/06/the-chakravala-algorithm-in-r.html
Sunday, June 1, 2014. The Chakravala Algorithm in R. A class of analysis that has piqued the interest of mathematicians across millennia are Diophantine equations. Diophantine equations are polynomials with multiple variables and seek integer solutions. A special case of Diophantine equations is the Pell's equation. The name is a bit of a misnomer as Euler mistakenly attributed it to the mathematician John Pell. The problem seeks integer solutions to the polynomial. X {2} - Dy {2} = 1. A drawer has (x ) ...
Probability Puzzles: The Two Strategies
http://www.bayesianthink.blogspot.com/2014/04/the-two-strategies.html
Thursday, April 17, 2014. Q: You are in a game where you get to toss a pair of coins once. There are two boxes (A and B) holding a pair each. Box A's coins are fair however B's coins are biased with probability of heads being (0.6 ) and (0.4 ) respectively. You are paid for the expected number of heads you will win. Which of the boxes should you pick? Machine Learning: The Art and Science of Algorithms that Make Sense of Data. A: The expected number of heads if you chose box A is easy to calculate as.
Probability Puzzles: Hopping Robots and Reinforcement Learning
http://www.bayesianthink.blogspot.com/2014/05/hopping-robots-and-reinforcement.html
Wednesday, May 7, 2014. Hopping Robots and Reinforcement Learning. Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning (Information Science and Statistics). For the sake of simplicity, lets assume the following scenario. A robot is placed (at random) on flat plank of wood which has some sticky glue in the center. To its left there is a hole which damages the robot a bit and to its right is a reward which is its destination, as shown in the figure below. The robot has the following capabilities. To slow down learnin...
Probability Puzzles: The Best Books for Time Series Analysis
http://www.bayesianthink.blogspot.com/2014/02/the-best-books-for-time-series-analysis.html
Tuesday, February 11, 2014. The Best Books for Time Series Analysis. If you are looking to learn time series analysis, the following are some of the best books in time series analysis. Introductory Time Series with R (Use R! Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning (Information Science and Statistics). This is excellent book to own for scientists and engineers wanting to use time series methods in machine learning, forecasting and regression. Great charts and fairly readable text. A good book which cover...
Probability Puzzles: Santa's Dice Game
http://www.bayesianthink.blogspot.com/2013/12/santas-dice-game.html
Sunday, December 22, 2013. Q: Santa offers you to play a game of dice. You get to roll a dice six times. You can stop rolling whenever you wish and you get the dollar amount shown on that roll. What is an optimal strategy to maximize your payoff? Probability and Statistics (4th Edition). A: Let us take a moment and think through this. At each point in the sequence of rolls you make, you have a decision to make. Do you keep rolling or do you stop and walk away with what is being "offered" to you? Looking ...
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Teorema de Bayes - Bayesian Statistics World
Suscribirse a este canal RSS. Teorema de Bayes (1). Expresa la probabilidad condicional de un evento aleatorio A dado B en términos de la distribución de probabilidad condicional del evento B dado A y la distribución de probabilidad marginal de sólo A. En términos más generales y menos matemáticos, el teorema de Bayes es de enorme relevancia puesto que vincula la probabilidad de A dado B con la probabilidad de B dado A. Martes, 25 Octubre 2016 20:10. La explicación del teorema de Bayes. De cualquiera de ...
Bayesian Statistics Blog | An attempt to follow and understand Bayesian statistics
Bad Bayes still bad. March 24, 2010 at 11:58 am · Filed under Statistical blunders. 183;Tagged climate science. A notorious “climate change” blogger, is alleged to also be a statistician. He certainly seems to know something about time series. Thanks to this investigation. We know that Tamino is Grant Foster. Writer of “blog diatribe”-style. His affiliation in the linked paper is “Tempo Analytics, Westbrook, Maine”, but I can’t find any other reference to it online). Kent Holsinger sends along this.
Quantitative Technical Analysis — Home Page
160; Home. 160; Blog (with Resources, Activities, About, Contact). Quantitative Technical Analysis — Home Page. This website is the home for the book,. Quantiative Technical Analysis,. An Integrated Approach to Trading System Development and Trading Management. By Dr Howard Bandy. The book discusses trading system development and trading management. The key word is confidence. The primary limitation is risk. The focus of the book is risk. Assessing your personal risk tolerance. The trading management...
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bayesiantesting.com - Domenai, domenų registravimas - UAB "Interneto vizija"
Sėkmingai užregistruotas UAB "Interneto vizija" kliento vardu ir šiuo metu yra pilnai aktyvuotas bei paruoštas naudojimui. Norite nukreipti bayesiantesting.com? Prisijunkite prie savo paskyros klientų sistemoje. Ties skyriumi "Paslaugos" pasirinkite nuorodą Plačiau. Pasirinkite domeno pavadinimą ir paspauskite mygtuką Nukreipti. Po pakeitimų domenas pradės veikti per 1 val. Ieškote kur patalpinti bayesiantesting.com? Svetainės talpinimas arba kitaip hostingas (angl. web hosting. Informacija apie .com.
Probability Puzzles
Friday, November 28, 2014. I chanced on this excellent puzzle on the net that tends to reveal a cognitive bias in our heads against Bayesian reasoning. The puzzle statement is quite simple. You are given four cards. Each card has a letter on one side and number on the other side. You are told the statement "If there is a D on one side, there is a 5 on the other side". Which two cards would you flip over to validate the statement? The original article is here. Tuesday, September 2, 2014. Some good books t...
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BayesianWatch | Bayesian argument analysis in action
Bayesian argument analysis in action. Steven Pinker’s The Sense of Style. Asymp; 3 Comments. Being a professional writer (as most academics are), I have read many books on style. Most of them are opinionated, fussy and annoying such as Strunk and White’s most (in)famous book,. The Elements of Style. Some are opinionated, fussy and amusing such as Fowler’s. A Dictionary of Modern English Usage. The Sense of Style: The Thinking Person’s Guide to Writing in the 21st Century. 1 Look things up. Humans are...
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