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mattdickenson.com

Matt Dickenson

This is my personal blog about programming, machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and more.

http://www.mattdickenson.com/

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Matt Dickenson | mattdickenson.com Reviews
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This is my personal blog about programming, machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and more.
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1 matt dickenson
2 book reviews
3 projects
4 talks
5 popular posts
6 recent posts
7 third wave web
8 unusually unreliable
9 book review originals
10 falsehoods programmers believe
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matt dickenson,book reviews,projects,talks,popular posts,recent posts,third wave web,unusually unreliable,book review originals,falsehoods programmers believe,academia to industry,epstein on athletes,constitutional forks revisited,github for government
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Matt Dickenson | mattdickenson.com Reviews

https://mattdickenson.com

This is my personal blog about programming, machine learning, Bayesian statistics, and more.

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The "Manual for Civilization" Project: A Library for the End of the World

http://mattdickenson.com/2015/03/02/the-manual-for-civilization-project-a-library-for-the-end-of-the-world

The "Manual for Civilization" Project: A Library for the End of the World. Mar 2, 2015. With the subtitle, "How to Rebuild Our World from Scratch," you can probably guess the genre of. I read this ambitious book over the holidays, hoping that I could learn some of the basics of fields I'm less familiar with such as organic chemistry and medicine. On that front the book delivers, but does it live up to its title? Initiative, started by The Long Now Foundation. Seemed especially good; his book. By James Sc...

2

Aviation, Suicide, and the Germanwings Crash

http://mattdickenson.com/2015/04/20/aviation-suicide-and-the-germanwings-crash

Aviation, Suicide, and the Germanwings Crash. Apr 20, 2015. Note: If you are struggling with thoughts of depression or suicide, please refer to the resources at the end of the post. Four weeks ago tomorrow, a Germanwings A320 crashed in the French Alps resulting in the deaths of all 150 individuals on board. I will not recount the details. Here, but investigators who were able to reconstruct the events leading up to the crash found evidence. If this crash makes you more likely to drive instead of fly, yo...

3

What Can Software Developers Learn from Tigers?

http://mattdickenson.com/2015/07/06/what-can-software-developers-learn-from-tigers

What Can Software Developers Learn from Tigers? Jul 6, 2015. Is a powerful way of modeling the world. Objects encapsulate data and behavior, and can interact and be composed in many useful ways. As developers, one question we often consider is which types (in both technical and non-technical sense of the word) of objects to privilege by building them into our systems. Is an Address a proper object, or is it just a bit of data that can be encapsulated under a User? A century ago it might have been their p...

4

Statistical Thinking and the Birth of Modern Computing

http://mattdickenson.com/2013/01/18/statistical-thinking-and-the-birth-of-modern-computing

Statistical Thinking and the Birth of Modern Computing. Jan 18, 2013. Caption id="attachment 1997" align="alignright" width="300"]. John von Neumann and the IAS computer, 1945[/caption]. What do fighter pilots, casinos, and streetlights all have in common? These three disparate topics are all the subject of statistical thinking that led to (and benefitted from) the development of modern computing. This process is described in. I was unaware of the deep connection with statistics. 9 Never guess blindly.

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Games on networks, with application to Thai politics | Predictive Heuristics

https://predictiveheuristics.com/2013/10/19/games-on-networks-with-application-to-thai-politics

Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 19, 2013. Games on networks, with application to Thai politics. The top rug shows the different parties that are in power in Thailand during the observation period, with markers for changes in power. The bottom plot shows conflictual events in Thailand from 1998 on. Six dead in shootout in Thai south. Thailand begins monitoring of Facebook, YouTube and LINE. Next post →. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Here are our members.

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Members | mdwardlab.com

http://www.mdwardlab.com/pages/members

Michael D. Ward. Mikes primary interests are in international relations (spanning democratization, globalization, international commerce, military spending, as well as international conflict and cooperation), political geography, as well as mathematical and statistical methods. His website is www.duke.edu/web/methods. Though it is a bit (well perennially) out of date. Andys research is centered on how quantitative methods can be applied to (military) intelligence problems. Florian is a PhD student with a...

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Prediction versus Explanation? | Predictive Heuristics

https://predictiveheuristics.com/2013/10/31/prediction-versus-explanation

Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 31, 2013. Is an early warning system designed to help US policy analysts predict a variety of international crises. This project was created at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency in 2007. Gated) described the early phase of the project in 2010, including assessments of its accuracy, and a WIRED article in 2011 criticized ICEWS. For missing the Arab Spring–at a time when the project was only focused on Asia. In an article ( here for now. In Foreign Policy,.

predictiveheuristics.com predictiveheuristics.com

Political Parties, the Eurozone Crisis, and ICEWS Data | Predictive Heuristics

https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/01/16/political-parties-the-eurozone-crisis-and-icews-data

Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. January 16, 2014. Political Parties, the Eurozone Crisis, and ICEWS Data. Large-scale event data based on worldwide media reports already help us to explain and forecast crises events. Such as civil wars or insurgencies. But the millions of data points provided by ICEWS or GDELT. Are a treasure trove for social scientists interested in all kinds of topics, whether they involve violence or not. And the Comparative Manifestos Project. I use the ICEWS event data to analyze the way...

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cassyld | Predictive Heuristics

https://predictiveheuristics.com/author/cassyld

Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. Civilian Victimization and Social Networks. September 9, 2014. This question eventually led me to co-organize a national survey in Mexico in July 2012, with my colleague Sandra Ley Gutierrez, focusing on the consequences of criminal victimization. In this survey, I collected original data on 1,000 kinship networks as a way to capture social networks at the individual level. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Here are our members.

predictiveheuristics.com predictiveheuristics.com

Uncategorized | Predictive Heuristics

https://predictiveheuristics.com/category/uncategorized

Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. A primer on web scraping with R. October 28, 2014. The current data situation on the Web. Not pictured: landing net R. Image from commons.wikimedia.org. This is a guest post by Simon Munzert, PhD student at the University of Konstanz, who is currently on a visit at the Lab. And its potential for so. Still, during my short stay at the Lab as a visiting scholar I had the opportunity to give a little introduction to various web scraping techniques using R. August 27, 2014. Collabo...

predictiveheuristics.com predictiveheuristics.com

实验室文章:迈向冲突预测的新时代 | Predictive Heuristics

https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/08/27/实验室文章:迈向冲突预测的新时代

Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. August 27, 2014. 为了呈现冲突研究在过去几年的重大进展,本文重新检视Fearon and Laitin (2003)这份奠定冲突研究基础的文献,从而比较和凸显预测分析在近几年的进展。 站在修正Fearon and Laitin的基础上,我们利用年度层次以下的事件时间解析数据来建构冲突预测模型,并且运用层级模型(hierarchical model)来追踪估计变量在不同国家属性群集中的变化。 在左边的红线表示负向的错误预测(false negative),但在右边白色表示正向的错误预测(false positive),一个高配适度的预测应该会有比较多的红色部分 事件发生 在图的右侧。 Next post →. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Which has our conflict forecasts. Here are our members. Good coup, bad coup.

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Civilian Victimization and Social Networks | Predictive Heuristics

https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/09/09/civilian-victimization-and-social-networks

Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. September 9, 2014. Civilian Victimization and Social Networks. This question eventually led me to co-organize a national survey in Mexico in July 2012, with my colleague Sandra Ley Gutierrez, focusing on the consequences of criminal victimization. In this survey, I collected original data on 1,000 kinship networks as a way to capture social networks at the individual level. Find out more at cassydorff.com. For more information and contact details, please visit cassydorff.com.

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