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Measure of Doubt

Which Cognitive Bias is Making NFL Coaches Predictable? February 5, 2017. In football, it pays to be unpredictable (although the “ wrong way touchdown. That’s why it surprised Brian Burke, formerly of AdvancedNFLAnalytics.com (and now hired by ESPN) to see a peculiar trend. Football teams seem to rush a remarkably high percent on 2nd and 10 compared to 2nd and 9 or 11. What’s causing that? His insight was that 2nd and 10 disproportionately followed an incomplete pass. This generated two hypotheses:.

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Measure of Doubt | measureofdoubt.com Reviews
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Which Cognitive Bias is Making NFL Coaches Predictable? February 5, 2017. In football, it pays to be unpredictable (although the “ wrong way touchdown. That’s why it surprised Brian Burke, formerly of AdvancedNFLAnalytics.com (and now hired by ESPN) to see a peculiar trend. Football teams seem to rush a remarkably high percent on 2nd and 10 compared to 2nd and 9 or 11. What’s causing that? His insight was that 2nd and 10 disproportionately followed an incomplete pass. This generated two hypotheses:.
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Measure of Doubt | measureofdoubt.com Reviews

https://measureofdoubt.com

Which Cognitive Bias is Making NFL Coaches Predictable? February 5, 2017. In football, it pays to be unpredictable (although the “ wrong way touchdown. That’s why it surprised Brian Burke, formerly of AdvancedNFLAnalytics.com (and now hired by ESPN) to see a peculiar trend. Football teams seem to rush a remarkably high percent on 2nd and 10 compared to 2nd and 9 or 11. What’s causing that? His insight was that 2nd and 10 disproportionately followed an incomplete pass. This generated two hypotheses:.

INTERNAL PAGES

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Maximizing utility | Measure of Doubt

https://measureofdoubt.com/category/maximizing-utility

An Atheist’s Defense of Rituals: Ceremonies as Traffic Lights. May 29, 2014. The idea of a coming-of-age ceremony has always been a bit strange to me as an atheist. Sure, I attended more than my fair share of Bat and Bar Mitzvahs. The same goes with weddings – does a couple’s relationship really change in a significant way marked by a ceremony? Or do two people gradually fall in love and grow committed to each other over time? Just thinking your way to a new status isn’t very effective: Okay, now I’m a m...

2

An Atheist’s Defense of Rituals: Ceremonies as Traffic Lights | Measure of Doubt

https://measureofdoubt.com/2014/05/29/an-atheists-defense-of-rituals-ceremonies-as-traffic-lights

The Matrix Meets Braid: Artificial Brains in Gunfights. An Atheist’s Defense of Rituals: Ceremonies as Traffic Lights. May 29, 2014. The idea of a coming-of-age ceremony has always been a bit strange to me as an atheist. Sure, I attended more than my fair share of Bat and Bar Mitzvahs. The same goes with weddings – does a couple’s relationship really change in a significant way marked by a ceremony? Or do two people gradually fall in love and grow committed to each other over time? Just thinking your way...

3

Rationality | Measure of Doubt

https://measureofdoubt.com/category/rationality

Why Decision Theory Tells You to Eat ALL the Cupcakes. June 17, 2013. Imagine that you have a big task coming up that requires an unknown amount of willpower – you might have enough willpower to finish, you might not. You’re gearing up to start when suddenly you see a delicious-looking cupcake on the table. Do you indulge in eating it? According to psychology research and decision-theory models, the answer isn’t simple. Conflicting Decision Theory Models. The strangeness lies in the difference between tw...

4

Math | Measure of Doubt

https://measureofdoubt.com/category/math

How has Bayes’ Rule changed the way I think? June 4, 2013. People talk about how Bayes’ Rule is so central to rationality, and I agree. But given that I don’t go around plugging numbers into the equation in my daily life, how does Bayes actually affect my thinking? A short answer, in my new video below:. This is basically what the title of this blog was meant to convey — quantifying your uncertainty.). Colbert Deconstructs Pop Music, Finds Mathematical Nerdiness Within. September 12, 2012. First of all: ...

5

Jesse Galef | Measure of Doubt

https://measureofdoubt.com/author/jessegalef

An Atheist’s Defense of Rituals: Ceremonies as Traffic Lights. May 29, 2014. The idea of a coming-of-age ceremony has always been a bit strange to me as an atheist. Sure, I attended more than my fair share of Bat and Bar Mitzvahs. The same goes with weddings – does a couple’s relationship really change in a significant way marked by a ceremony? Or do two people gradually fall in love and grow committed to each other over time? Just thinking your way to a new status isn’t very effective: Okay, now I’m a m...

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Meditation | wallowinmaya

https://wallowinmaya.com/category/meditation

Another Catcher for the Why. Thoughts on Happiness (2) [Happiness Sequence, Part 3]. January 26, 2015. Previously: Happy by Habit, Thoughts on Happiness (1)] 9. Seeing the positive Stupid and/or irrational people can really annoy me. Someone just has to say that “evolutionary psychology is biologistic” and my day is ruined. The fact is that the irrationality, overconfidence and … Continue reading →. Joy in the merely Real. Stress: How UDT, the Multiverse and Stoicism can Help. Joy in the merely Real.

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Multiverse | wallowinmaya

https://wallowinmaya.com/category/multiverse

Another Catcher for the Why. Stress: How UDT, the Multiverse and Stoicism can Help. April 7, 2016. Some ways of viewing and interpreting reality (or certain parts of it) can make you much more productive and happy than others, although they are not less accurate than other, more “pessimistic stances” of viewing and interpreting the world 1. In this post, … Continue reading →. Thoughts on Happiness (2) [Happiness Sequence, Part 3]. January 26, 2015. Joy in the merely Real. January 20, 2015. January 3, 2015.

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For the promotion of rigour and rationality: Grooming tribal monarchs

http://randomprocessed.blogspot.com/2015/07/grooming-tribal-monarchs.html

For the promotion of rigour and rationality. When institutions (states, businesses, etc.) need cash they forget their principles. My French friends are upset at the recent decision of the state to forget the principle of equality of all citizens and close a beach in Vallauris for the pleasure of a tribal king and his entourage of 1000 people. They've even constructed a lift (=elevator) for the use of the monarch. 9679; Story in French here. 9679; Story in English here. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom).

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For the promotion of rigour and rationality: Ramadan in places where the sun does not set

http://randomprocessed.blogspot.com/2015/06/ramadan-in-where-sun-does-not-set.html

For the promotion of rigour and rationality. Ramadan in places where the sun does not set. Ramadan is a period, around this time of the year, when Muslims are supposed to fast during daylight and eat when the sun sets. (And fasting means eating nothing and drinking nothing, not even water or beer.) That's supposed to be a religious duty commanded by god. The issue is this however: In Uppsala, the sun hardly sets these days and further north it does not set at all. Sure, one would argue, they had. Conclus...

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For the promotion of rigour and rationality: May 2015

http://randomprocessed.blogspot.com/2015_05_01_archive.html

For the promotion of rigour and rationality. When I lived in other places, e.g., in Edinburgh, I used to go to the cinema regularly, actually mostly to the legendary Filmhouse. And to the Cameo. My Japanese cinema list. In it, one can find films by Kenji Mizoguchi (such as Ugetsu Monogatari. And the Crucified Lovers. All highly recommended), by Hiroshi Simizu (such as Mr Thank You. A real must) and by Yasujiro Ozu (such as Late Spring. Which one should watch at least twice). Unfortunately, Tokyo Story.

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For the promotion of rigour and rationality: Citation nonsense

http://randomprocessed.blogspot.com/2015/06/citation-nonsense.html

For the promotion of rigour and rationality. We're at the era of the Internet. So, for many, knowledge and research evaluation has been translated to counting citations: the more citations you have, the better you are. So they think. But, of course, they're wrong. I won't insult anybody's intelligence by presenting obvious arguments that show how faulty the process above is. I leave it as an exercise for the reader. However, one should ask . Well, again the answer is obvious. Dear T. Konstantopoulos,.

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For the promotion of rigour and rationality: February 2015

http://randomprocessed.blogspot.com/2015_02_01_archive.html

For the promotion of rigour and rationality. About a year ago, I discovered a very interesting short video by Richard Feynman. Responding to the question of what happens when we hold two magnets next to one another. His answer was brilliant. Where distances obey the Pythagorean theorem. I found out that the physicist is Eric Rogers. Links to this post. Subscribe to: Posts (Atom). What measure theory is about. It's about counting, but when things get too large. The principle of dynamic programming. Refuse...

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links |

http://depletedcranium.com/category/links

Archive for the ‘Links’ Category. Laquo; Previous Entries. A wonderful and inspirational Facebook page. Wednesday, April 1st, 2015. A happy April first to all! As I promised, I have not abandoned this blog. After a hiatus, I will be back in the near future with many more posts. In the mean time, I suggest this Facebook Page. Where you can gain your share of daily wisdom and inspiration on things like natural health and organics! Excellent Article On the Origin of Chemtrail Conspiracy Theories. I have not...

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Time in Art | laura:horne

https://laurahorne.wordpress.com/2015/04/02/time-in-art

Learning – thinking – writing. April 2, 2015. The Table by Andre Derain. In last Friday’s ideas-letter (which you can view here. Article about Lonni Sue Johnson, an artist with amnesia. One question the article explored was how a person with complete hippocampal damage — and therefore with only a two-minute window of memory — experiences time. Her sister, Aline, hypothesized the following:. Imagine living in a narrow sliver of the present,’ Aline told me. ‘How could you get a sense of continuity? Fill in...

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Teaching Critical Thinking – FtBConscience

https://ftbcon.wordpress.com/2015/01/25/teaching-critical-thinking

Atheism with a conscience. Con Schedule on Lanyrd. This will always be the most current. Our 2013 YouTube Playlist. All the sessions from FtBCon2013! Our 2014 YouTube Playlist. All the sessions from FtBCon2014! Our 2015 YouTube Playlist. Use this to talk to other attendees and submit questions to session mods! Official FtBCon Twitter Feed. Ashley F. Miller. Consider The Tea Cosy. Dispatches from the Culture Wars. Greta Christina's Blog. On the Margin of Error. Science for the People. Temple Of The Future.

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Musings of a Developer | Scratch pad for things I learn as I go along

Musings of a Developer. Scratch pad for things I learn as I go along. February 29, 2016. Running JS unit tests in Visual Studio and on TeamCity. Getting set up to run JS unit tests locally (via Visual Studio with Resharper):. Download and install PhantomJS http:/ phantomjs.org/download.html. Stick the contents of the zip somewhere. You can now right-click and run unit tests as you would for C# ones. Command line build step, Executable with parameters:. Test results show up in the normal way under the Tes...

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Measure of Doubt

I think we ought always to entertain our opinions with some measure of doubt. I shouldn't wish people dogmatically to believe any philosophy, not even mine." Bertrand Russell. Saturday, August 29, 2015. Longtime readers of this, the second best blog called Measure of Doubt. Will have picked up on the fact that your noble is author is slightly OCD. Titles are always one word and I only ever have one picture, which appears in the top left corner. Here are Batman and Superman. Looking down. A completely dif...

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Measure of Doubt

Which Cognitive Bias is Making NFL Coaches Predictable? February 5, 2017. In football, it pays to be unpredictable (although the “ wrong way touchdown. That’s why it surprised Brian Burke, formerly of AdvancedNFLAnalytics.com (and now hired by ESPN) to see a peculiar trend. Football teams seem to rush a remarkably high percent on 2nd and 10 compared to 2nd and 9 or 11. What’s causing that? His insight was that 2nd and 10 disproportionately followed an incomplete pass. This generated two hypotheses:.

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A Measure of Faith | Investigating the collision of faith, science and reason

A Measure of Faith. Investigating the collision of faith, science and reason. I took advantage of the new .blog top-level domain. To do something I’ve wanted to do for some time – I’ve transitioned the blog to my own hosting account, now resident at measureoffaith.blog. A while back I wrote a post titled “What is a moral claim”. First, some moral epistemology. I have found that the discussion of morality, particularly in the God debate, often focuses on moral ontology – we like to talk about what m...

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Measure of Faith

A Christian blog, based on Bible scripture, to boost your measure of faith. 8220;Life By The Numbers”. February 17th, 2012. For I say, through the grace given unto me, to every man that is among you, not to think of himself more highly than he ought to think; but to think soberly, according as God hath dealt to every man the measure of faith. How BIG Is Your Faith? Can I do anything about the size of my faith? Join me as we learn about one of the most critical aspects of our Christian walk, our faith.

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Measure of Faith Ministries - Online

London, KY US. New Creature in a harsh world. Bible Study and Worship Video. Audio Messages and Songs. A Ministry to WIN the World. OUR MISSION IS HELPING PEOPLE FIND THEIR WAY BACK TO GOD AND TO TURN THEIR LIVES AROUND IMPACTING SOCIETY FOR THE KINGDOM. Take the first step toward personal renewal join us for worship and Bible study here on the web anytime! Measure of Faith Ministries We Love To Pray For Your Needs. Measure Of Faith Ministries. Measure Of Faith Ministries.

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A Measure of Faith | Investigating the collision of faith, science and reason

A Measure of Faith. Investigating the collision of faith, science and reason. Religions of the Ancient Mediterranean. August 6, 2015. Wow, it’s been nearly 6 months since my last post. How did that happen? Oh well. I still have a lot of posts in the works, and someday I hope to actually finish and publish them, but for now I just wanted to offer a podcast recommendation. Is a religious studies professor at York University in Toronto and runs a podcast called Religions of the Ancient Mediterranean. 8220;s...