Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. (by Justin Esarey)
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Political Methodology | Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. | politicalmethodology.wordpress.com Reviews
https://politicalmethodology.wordpress.com
Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. (by Justin Esarey)
politicalmethodology.wordpress.com
Blogs and Academic Tenure | Political Methodology
https://politicalmethodology.wordpress.com/2013/08/11/blogs-and-academic-tenure
Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. Blogs and Academic Tenure. A recent article in the Chronicle of Higher Education. Caught my attention the other day with its argument that academic blogging should be credited toward a person’s scholarly record when considering the person for tenure. I was motivated to think again about that argument when I read Hans Noel’s response to the Chronicle article ( posted to his own blog. With what I hope was a tinge of intentional irony).
Political Methodology | Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. | Page 2
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Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. February 27, 2013. How to make a scientific result disappear. Nathan Danneman (a co-author and one of my graduate students from Emory) recently sent me a New Yorker article. From 2010 about the decline effect, the tendency for initially promising scientific results to get smaller upon replication. Wikipedia. Can summarize the phenomenon as well as I can:. In 1991, Danish zoologist Anders Møller discovered a connection between symmetry a...
A brief reflection on stats blogging | Political Methodology
https://politicalmethodology.wordpress.com/2013/02/28/a-brief-reflection-on-stats-blogging
Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. A brief reflection on stats blogging. The really great reaction I had to yesterday’s post. About bias in published relationships got me thinking some “deep thoughts” about blogging as a statistical researcher. Good news: the post I made yesterday got a lot of attention! Bad news: there were a lot of (fortunately minor! Errors and bugs in the post that didn’t interfere with the overall point, but certainly were annoying! I think that, on...
Justin Esarey | Political Methodology
https://politicalmethodology.wordpress.com/author/justinesarey
Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. September 30, 2013. Credibility Toryism: Causal Inference, Research Design, and Evidence. I’m now posting my methodological ramblings on The Political Methodologist; check out a post here! In a prior post on my personal blog. I argued that it is misleading to label matching procedures as causal inference procedures (in the Neyman-Rubin. I think they come from? 1,426 more words. August 11, 2013. Blogs and Academic Tenure. With these stip...
Contributors | Political Methodology
https://politicalmethodology.wordpress.com/contributors
Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. Is an Assistant Professor of Political Science. Who specializes in political methodology. His areas of expertise include detecting and presenting context-specific relationships, model specification and sensitivity, the analysis of binary data, laboratory social experimentation, and promoting thoughtful inference (and thinking about inference) by using technology to make methodological resources available to the scholarly public.
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The right kind of variance | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/10/06/the-right-kind-of-variance
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 6, 2014. The right kind of variance. Or, How I learned to stop worrying and love event data. The reason for this is obvious when you consider the underlying variance structure. First, to predict something that changes, say dissident-government conflict. The nature of relationships between political parties. You need predictors that change. In fact, with enough data, you are bound to find some correlations purely due to chance. So sometimes it’s good to have co...Coding ...
Games on networks, with application to Thai politics | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2013/10/19/games-on-networks-with-application-to-thai-politics
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 19, 2013. Games on networks, with application to Thai politics. The top rug shows the different parties that are in power in Thailand during the observation period, with markers for changes in power. The bottom plot shows conflictual events in Thailand from 1998 on. Six dead in shootout in Thai south. Thailand begins monitoring of Facebook, YouTube and LINE. Next post →. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Here are our members.
Student Advice: Should I Go to Graduate School? If So, Where Should I Go? | The Political Methodologist
https://thepoliticalmethodologist.com/2014/01/18/student-advice-should-i-go-to-graduate-school-if-so-where-should-i-go
Submit an Article or Blog Post. Society for Political Methodology. An International Methodology Colloquium? Asian Political Methodology Meeting →. Student Advice: Should I Go to Graduate School? If So, Where Should I Go? January 18, 2014. So, here’s a topic for undergraduates thinking about entering a PhD program this Fall: should you go to graduate school? And if you receive more than one offer, which should you choose? Specifically, I think the following questions should be foremost in your mind:.
Prediction versus Explanation? | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2013/10/31/prediction-versus-explanation
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. October 31, 2013. Is an early warning system designed to help US policy analysts predict a variety of international crises. This project was created at the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency in 2007. Gated) described the early phase of the project in 2010, including assessments of its accuracy, and a WIRED article in 2011 criticized ICEWS. For missing the Arab Spring–at a time when the project was only focused on Asia. In an article ( here for now. In Foreign Policy,.
Political Parties, the Eurozone Crisis, and ICEWS Data | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/01/16/political-parties-the-eurozone-crisis-and-icews-data
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. January 16, 2014. Political Parties, the Eurozone Crisis, and ICEWS Data. Large-scale event data based on worldwide media reports already help us to explain and forecast crises events. Such as civil wars or insurgencies. But the millions of data points provided by ICEWS or GDELT. Are a treasure trove for social scientists interested in all kinds of topics, whether they involve violence or not. And the Comparative Manifestos Project. I use the ICEWS event data to analyze the way...
cassyld | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/author/cassyld
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. Civilian Victimization and Social Networks. September 9, 2014. This question eventually led me to co-organize a national survey in Mexico in July 2012, with my colleague Sandra Ley Gutierrez, focusing on the consequences of criminal victimization. In this survey, I collected original data on 1,000 kinship networks as a way to capture social networks at the individual level. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Here are our members.
Uncategorized | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/category/uncategorized
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. A primer on web scraping with R. October 28, 2014. The current data situation on the Web. Not pictured: landing net R. Image from commons.wikimedia.org. This is a guest post by Simon Munzert, PhD student at the University of Konstanz, who is currently on a visit at the Lab. And its potential for so. Still, during my short stay at the Lab as a visiting scholar I had the opportunity to give a little introduction to various web scraping techniques using R. August 27, 2014. Collabo...
mdwardlab | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/author/mdwardlab
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. A primer on web scraping with R. October 28, 2014. The current data situation on the Web. Not pictured: landing net R. Image from commons.wikimedia.org. This is a guest post by Simon Munzert, PhD student at the University of Konstanz, who is currently on a visit at the Lab. And its potential for so. Still, during my short stay at the Lab as a visiting scholar I had the opportunity to give a little introduction to various web scraping techniques using R. August 27, 2014. Collabo...
实验室文章：迈向冲突预测的新时代 | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/08/27/实验室文章：迈向冲突预测的新时代
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. August 27, 2014. 为了呈现冲突研究在过去几年的重大进展，本文重新检视Fearon and Laitin (2003)这份奠定冲突研究基础的文献，从而比较和凸显预测分析在近几年的进展。 站在修正Fearon and Laitin的基础上，我们利用年度层次以下的事件时间解析数据来建构冲突预测模型，并且运用层级模型(hierarchical model)来追踪估计变量在不同国家属性群集中的变化。 在左边的红线表示负向的错误预测(false negative)，但在右边白色表示正向的错误预测(false positive)，一个高配适度的预测应该会有比较多的红色部分 事件发生 在图的右侧。 Next post →. Predictive Heuristics is the Ward Lab's blog. We also live on this website. Which has our conflict forecasts. Here are our members. Good coup, bad coup.
Civilian Victimization and Social Networks | Predictive Heuristics
https://predictiveheuristics.com/2014/09/09/civilian-victimization-and-social-networks
Blog by Ward Lab @ Duke U. September 9, 2014. Civilian Victimization and Social Networks. This question eventually led me to co-organize a national survey in Mexico in July 2012, with my colleague Sandra Ley Gutierrez, focusing on the consequences of criminal victimization. In this survey, I collected original data on 1,000 kinship networks as a way to capture social networks at the individual level. Find out more at cassydorff.com. For more information and contact details, please visit cassydorff.com.
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Political Merchandise | Political TShirts, Bumper Stickers, Buttons And Magnets
Political TShirts, Bumper Stickers, Buttons And Magnets. Find all the political merchandise. You could possibly want…from political tshirts. Whether you’re looking for. Merchandise, we’ve got everything you need! This Month’s Featured Political Merchandise:. Be Sociable, Share!
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Metaphors in American Politics | Your guide to political metaphors used in American media - Andrew J. Gallagher, Ph.D.
Metaphors in American Politics. Your guide to political metaphors used in American media – Andrew J. Gallagher, Ph.D. For Students and Teachers. MLK Day 2018 Resistance! January 15, 2018. Martin Luther King Jr. In honor of Martin Luther King, Jr. Day this year, I would like to note a couple milestones. For the blog, I recently passed the mark of writing this blog for five years. Gulp! For more information.). Kente cloth from Ghana – a single garment? So, what does all of this have to do with metaphors?
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Political Methodology | Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science.
Substantively significant discussion of quantitative social science. September 30, 2013. Credibility Toryism: Causal Inference, Research Design, and Evidence. I’m now posting my methodological ramblings on The Political Methodologist; check out a post here! Originally posted on The Political Methodologist. In a prior post on my personal blog. I argued that it is misleading to label matching procedures as causal inference procedures (in the Neyman-Rubin. I think they come from? 1,426 more words. Caught my...
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Political Middle Ground | Searching for truth in a world of polarized politics
Searching for truth in a world of polarized politics. Political Parties halt Progress say College Students. College students are often considered disinterested in politics. We don’t care about elections, the state of the nation or what’s going to happen to our country in the future–and in some cases that is true. But for many young Americans the reason they’re not paying attention is not because they don’t care, rather they feel…. Continue reading →. Originally posted on Towson News. Eric Mextaxas, autho...
Political Mileage
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Political Mileage
Naidu Becomes Laughing Stock In Delhi. Andhra division must be peaceful: PM. Mahesh Babu Totally Confused. Beautiful Girl Repenting For Wrong Step. Reel Buzz: Aaha. What A Kiss! Hyderabad-born Satya Nadella is Microsoft's new CEO. Social Network Quenching Sexual Perversions. Kids close to pets connect better with people. Indian-American kills daughter in murder-suicide bid. Homage to Padma Vibhushan Dr Akkineni in Dallas. Talented Hero Focuses On Comedy? Which Tollywood Hero 'Blesses' This Sex Bomb?
Political Millennial
I Want to Want to Vote for Hillary. January 29, 2016. January 29, 2016. I’ve tried to get this all written out several times, but there is such an exhaustive array of things that Hillary has done to turn me off I’ll try my best:. Not only did Senator Clinton argue against same sex marriage on the floor of the house, she also supported her husband’s disgustingly anti-gay Defense of Marriage Act (before she was against it as public opinion shifted). She. She voted for it. Secretary Clinton has offered a st...
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