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probabilitymanagement.com

ProbabilityManagement.org

ProbabilityManagement.org promotes the communication and calculation of uncertainty through education, best practices, and the open SIPmath standard.

http://www.probabilitymanagement.com/

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ProbabilityManagement.org promotes the communication and calculation of uncertainty through education, best practices, and the open SIPmath standard.
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ProbabilityManagement.org | probabilitymanagement.com Reviews

https://probabilitymanagement.com

ProbabilityManagement.org promotes the communication and calculation of uncertainty through education, best practices, and the open SIPmath standard.

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probabilitymanagement.com probabilitymanagement.com
1

ProbabilityManagement.org

http://www.probabilitymanagement.com/index.html

Lecture Series: The Arithmetic of Uncertainty. Washington, D.C. - 9/14/16. Houston, TX - 9/20/16. Dallas, TX - 9/21/16. Learn more about the discipline of probability management and how to use the free 3.0 SIPmath Modeler Tools. This tutorial will teach you how to create interactive risk dashboards in native Excel. Probability Management on the Rise: Gartner 2016 Hype Cycle for Data Science. Download New 3.0 Free Tools. Includes a wide array of probability distributions. Now with statistical correlation.

2

What We Do

http://www.probabilitymanagement.com/what-we-do.html

Probability Management on the Rise: Gartner 2016 Hype Cycle for Data Science. ProbabilityManagement.org is a non-profit organization that aims at improving communication of uncertainty, and applies simulation-based communication to improve actual managerial decisions and public policies. MIT’s SLOAN Management Review. To ‘What’s the right question? Director of Navy Personnel Research, Studies, and Technology. Co-founder and Chief Technology Officer of Oracle Crystal Ball. Such uncertainties drive decisio...

3

Models

http://www.probabilitymanagement.com/models.html

Companion Models to Published Articles and Presentations. The best way to learn about Probability Management is to explore interactively. NOTE: to experiment with the models below, you will need to Enable Content, if asked, and make sure that Excel is in Automatic Calculation mode. Article: Embracing the Uncertainty of the Iran Nuclear Deal. SIPmath™ Flood Model. By Sam Savage, August 2015. Files from Probability Management in Financial Planning. These SIPmath models demonstrate the examples of schedulin...

4

News & Publications

http://www.probabilitymanagement.com/news-publication.html

On this page: News. Bull; Milestone Publications. July 2016 - Probability Management on the Rise: Gartner 2016 Hype Cycle for Data Science. April 2016 - Speaking Uncertainty to Power published in Government Finance Review. May 2016 - GFOA Conference. May 2016 - CORS Practitioner Day. December 2015 - Towards a Simulation Network presented at the WinterSim annual conference. December 2014 - ProbabilityManagement.org Cited in the MIT Sloan Management Review. You can download PDF ( Part I. Takes the position...

5

About us

http://www.probabilitymanagement.com/about-us.html

Foundation for Creativity in Dispute Resolution. Sam Savage, Executive Director. The Flaw of Averages. And Consulting Professor of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford University. Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of finance at the Rady School of Management at the University of California, San Diego. Fifteen years of communications consulting including 10 years as PR manager of the Stanford University School of Medicine Blood Center. Chair, Standards Committee. The Art of the Plan Blog.

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Quantum Theory says observation affects reality. Here's to having our eyes wide open. How do you know if you haven’t tried it? May 24, 2012. Personally, the whole thing has been rather revealing for me. I’ve had a love-hate relationship with social media for a long time. I just wrote a little bit about Facebook. To me, Foursquare should be the butt of Seth Meyer’s mockery in the Weekend Update segment called “Really? Needless to say, this one aspect of our social experiment was the most onerous to me&#46...

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ProbabilityManagement.org

San Diego, CA. PM 101: Probability Management, a cure for the Flaw of Averages. PM 102: How to Build SIPmath Simulations in Excel. PM 103: Probability Management Applications. PM 104: The SIPmath Standard. ProbabilityManagement.org Making risk transparent. We are a non-profit dedicated to rethinking uncertainty through education, best practices, and our open SIPmath™ standard. The discipline of probability management uses current computer technology to address the Flaw of Averages through improvements in:.

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Probability Management

Curing the Flaw of Averages. SIPmath could be the tipping point in helping Excel users diagnose and cure the Flaw of Averages. Matthew Raphaelson - Former Banking Executive. Bringing the Arithmetic of Uncertainty to the Classroom. Investment Contest For Middle Schools, designed by Sam Savage, Harry Markowitz, and Michael Salama, based on SIPmath, with data from Morningstar Inc. Brian Putt - Chevron. Permission to be Uncertain. Shayne Kavanagh - Government Finance Officials Association. The discipline of ...

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