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probabilitymanagement.org

Probability Management

ProbabilityManagement.org promotes the communication and calculation of uncertainty through education, best practices, and the open SIPmath standard.

http://www.probabilitymanagement.org/

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Probability Management | probabilitymanagement.org Reviews
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ProbabilityManagement.org promotes the communication and calculation of uncertainty through education, best practices, and the open SIPmath standard.
<META>
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1 my account
2 what we do
3 sipmath
4 20 standard
5 models
6 news
7 about us
8 tools
9 blog
10 annual 2018 conference
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my account,what we do,sipmath,20 standard,models,news,about us,tools,blog,annual 2018 conference,register here,watch the video,transforming risk,aggregating risk,what's new,communication of uncertainties,calculation with uncertainties,donate,back to top
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Probability Management | probabilitymanagement.org Reviews

https://probabilitymanagement.org

ProbabilityManagement.org promotes the communication and calculation of uncertainty through education, best practices, and the open SIPmath standard.

INTERNAL PAGES

probabilitymanagement.org probabilitymanagement.org
1

Tools

https://www.probabilitymanagement.org/tools.html

The SIPmath Modeler Tools for Excel v3.0. Introduction: The Goose that lays golden eggs. An add-in to Excel that makes it easy to create Data Table simulation models, which then run on their own without any macros or add-ins. Demo: 1 Million Monte Carlo trials in 4 seconds. 10,000 before your finger leaves the enter key). Leverage @RISK and Crystal Ball. RISK from Palisade and Crystal Ball from Oracle are perfect platforms for generating SIP libraries for use in interactive simulations in Excel.

2

About us

https://www.probabilitymanagement.org/about-us.html

Foundation for Creativity in Dispute Resolution. Sam Savage, Executive Director. The Flaw of Averages. And Consulting Professor of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford University. Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor of finance at the Rady School of Management at the University of California, San Diego. Fifteen years of communications consulting including 10 years as PR manager of the Stanford University School of Medicine Blood Center. Chair, Standards Committee. The Art of the Plan Blog.

3

ProbabilityManagement.org

https://www.probabilitymanagement.org/index.html

Lecture Series: The Arithmetic of Uncertainty. Washington, D.C. - 9/14/16. Houston, TX - 9/20/16. Dallas, TX - 9/21/16. Learn more about the discipline of probability management and how to use the free 3.0 SIPmath Modeler Tools. This tutorial will teach you how to create interactive risk dashboards in native Excel. Probability Management on the Rise: Gartner 2016 Hype Cycle for Data Science. Download New 3.0 Free Tools. Includes a wide array of probability distributions. Now with statistical correlation.

4

SIPmath

https://www.probabilitymanagement.org/sip-math.html

How does SIPmath work? NOTE: To experiment with the Excel examples below, you will need to Enable Content, if asked, and make sure that Excel is in Automatic Calculation mode. The first Excel example requires Excel 2010 or later. The following models below require 2007 or later. SIPmath™ part 1: Calculating with Uncertainties. The Sparkland demonstration of SIP math. Screenshot of the Excel example. SIPmath™ part 2: The Model that Launched 1,000 Mutual Funds. The SIP math Portfolio model.

5

Standards

https://www.probabilitymanagement.org/standards.html

The open SIPmath 2.0 Standard. The Unambiguous Communication of Uncertainty. A coherent set of SIPs that preserve statistical relationships between uncertainties is known as a Stochastic Library Unit with Relationships Preserved (SLURP). Vendors Supporting Probability Management. Several vendors, listed below, have begun to explicitly support the discipline of probability management. Autobox, from Automatic Forecasting Systems - Click for video. Analytica, from Lumina Systems. Davies Consulting has devel...

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Winter Simulation Conference 2015

http://www.wintersim.org/2015/vendorwkshp.html

Morning Workshops, 10:00am-12:00pm. Choose only one from this time group. Practical Solutions to Agent-Based Problems with Arena. Know No Bounds: The Emulate3D Framework Approach. DIY Online Simulation Tools for Business Education. Nova and NovaOL: The Newest, and Most Flexible Simulation Platform for Teaching and High End Research. Afternoon Session 1, 12:30-2:30pm. Choose only one from this time group. Unique Capabilities of AnyLogic 7.2. FlexSim VSM (Value Stream Mapping). In order to provide the best...

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Winter Simulation Conference 2015

http://www.wintersim.org/2015/exhibits.html

WSC 2015 provides a unique opportunity to reach key simulation practitioners and researchers from all disciplines in the industry, government and university sectors. Expected attendance is 700 . Reserve your space today! Contact: Sandy Owens, INFORMS, sandy.owens@informs.org. Averill M. Law and Associates. FlexSim Software Products, Inc. Frontline Systems, Inc. Imagine That, Inc. VMS Solutions Co. Ltd. Sunday, Dec. 6, 12:00pm-5:00pm. Monday, Dec. 7,. Tuesday, Dec. 8, 9:30am-5:00pm. Charles M. Macal.

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Investment Portfolio

https://forio.com/app/showcase/investment-portfolio-stock-market-simulation

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Evidence based spirituality - Paraplu

https://www.paraplu.nl/wiki/Evidence_based_spirituality

The religion of the future will be a cosmic religion. It should transcend personal God and avoid dogma and theology. Covering both the natural and the spiritual, it should be based on a religious sense arising from the experience of all things natural and spiritual as a meaningful unity.". De 14' Dalai Lama. To be purified in the Mysteries, to get to know the splendors of the worship of Demeter, and so become the best ambassadors of Eleusis and the Athenian democracy.". Ervaring van Absolute Eenheid.

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ProbabilityManagement.org

San Diego, CA. PM 101: Probability Management, a cure for the Flaw of Averages. PM 102: How to Build SIPmath Simulations in Excel. PM 103: Probability Management Applications. PM 104: The SIPmath Standard. ProbabilityManagement.org Making risk transparent. We are a non-profit dedicated to rethinking uncertainty through education, best practices, and our open SIPmath™ standard. The discipline of probability management uses current computer technology to address the Flaw of Averages through improvements in:.

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Probability Management

Curing the Flaw of Averages. SIPmath could be the tipping point in helping Excel users diagnose and cure the Flaw of Averages. Matthew Raphaelson - Former Banking Executive. Bringing the Arithmetic of Uncertainty to the Classroom. Investment Contest For Middle Schools, designed by Sam Savage, Harry Markowitz, and Michael Salama, based on SIPmath, with data from Morningstar Inc. Brian Putt - Chevron. Permission to be Uncertain. Shayne Kavanagh - Government Finance Officials Association. The discipline of ...

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